More Weakness Likely for Stock Market S&P 500 Index
Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market Mar 21, 2009 - 02:01 AM GMT
The S&P 500 had an interesting week. In the aftermath of the FOMC
announcement on Wednesday, the SPX climbed to 803.24 to make new recovery
highs off of the March low. However, let¹s notice that the high for the
week failed to penetrate significant resistance represented by the declining
10-week moving average and the Jan-Mar down trendline, and, in fact,
reversed to the downside to close the week at 768.54.
The SPX closed about 18 points off of the low and about 35 points off of the high of the week, which suggests strongly that ³distribution² and profit-taking have emerged after the failure to hurdle the above-mentioned key resistance levels. My sense right now is that more weakness is directly ahead that should press the SPX to at least 740-735.
ETF traders may short the SPY via the ProShares Single Leveraged Short S&P (NYSE: SH), as my intermediate-term work is warning me that after a meaningful correction of the March upmove (that started two weeks ago), another upleg in that instrument will emerge.
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By Mike Paulenoff
Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction
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