Best Financial Markets Analysis Article All of the action from October 2009 to the present represents a developing large base pattern prior to a potent upmove, or it represents a sideways congestion period ahead of another major downleg within the dominant bear trend. That said, however, my near-term work indicates that regardless of the outcome of the sideways pattern, the Semiconductor HLDRs ETF (NYSE: SMH) should be in the midst of a loop up to 18.00 and possibly 18.60 in any case. At this juncture, from a big picture perspective, only a smash beneath the 2/24 low at 15.82 will invalidate the current rally scenario.

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction

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