Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24
At These Levels, Buying Silver Is Like Getting It At $5 In 2003 - 28th Oct 24
Nvidia Numero Uno Selling Shovels in the AI Gold Rush - 28th Oct 24
The Future of Online Casinos - 28th Oct 24
Panic in the Air As Stock Market Correction Delivers Deep Opps in AI Tech Stocks - 27th Oct 24
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! - 27th Oct 24
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's - 27th Oct 24
7 Days of Crypto Opportunities Starts NOW - 27th Oct 24
The Power Law in Venture Capital: How Visionary Investors Like Yuri Milner Have Shaped the Future - 27th Oct 24
This Points To Significantly Higher Silver Prices - 27th Oct 24
US House Prices Trend Forecast 2024 to 2026 - 11th Oct 24
US Housing Market Analysis - Immigration Drives House Prices Higher - 30th Sep 24
Stock Market October Correction - 30th Sep 24
The Folly of Tariffs and Trade Wars - 30th Sep 24
Gold: 5 principles to help you stay ahead of price turns - 30th Sep 24
The Everything Rally will Spark multi year Bull Market - 30th Sep 24
US FIXED MORTGAGES LIMITING SUPPLY - 23rd Sep 24
US Housing Market Free Equity - 23rd Sep 24
US Rate Cut FOMO In Stock Market Correction Window - 22nd Sep 24
US State Demographics - 22nd Sep 24
Gold and Silver Shine as the Fed Cuts Rates: What’s Next? - 22nd Sep 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks:Nothing Can Topple This Market - 22nd Sep 24
US Population Growth Rate - 17th Sep 24
Are Stocks Overheating? - 17th Sep 24
Sentiment Speaks: Silver Is At A Major Turning Point - 17th Sep 24
If The Stock Market Turn Quickly, How Bad Can Things Get? - 17th Sep 24
IMMIGRATION DRIVES HOUSE PRICES HIGHER - 12th Sep 24
Global Debt Bubble - 12th Sep 24
Gold’s Outlook CPI Data - 12th Sep 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

How Financial Markets Deregulation Picked Our Pockets

Stock-Markets / Market Regulation Jan 16, 2009 - 09:30 AM GMT

By: Money_Morning

Stock-Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: “I have a funny feeling that we're not in Kansas, anymore.” Like Dorothy's sublime observation of the surreal in “The Wizard of Oz,” our taking stock of where we are in the vortex of this economic tornado leads us to the same scary observation.

It also forces us to ask some tough questions – questions for which there may be no simple answers. Key among them:


  • Where are we?
  • How did we get here?
  • How do we get home?

There are innumerable opinions as to how we got where we are – not to mention about who and what caused the housing bubble, the credit crisis, the insolvency of banks, the implosion of markets and the slippery slope to potential reprise of the Great Depression . All the opinions and bad directions aside, we would not have crashed if we had not thrown away the regulatory map that had been designed to guide us.

In 1980, stirring winds of change began buffeting the regulatory edifice that for decades had protected us from unsound banking practices. Ultimately, the safe harbors of pragmatic and prudent regulation, born of the Great Depression, were swept away. And deregulation unleashed unmitigated greed.

In the ensuing rush for profits – under the bigger-is-better banner – the unfettered and unchecked growth of illusive financial instruments and excessive leverage spawned an unprecedented concentration of systemic risk . The result has been a global financial catastrophe of truly biblical proportions.

Death by Derivatives

It used to be that new financial products were only allowed to come to market after a thorough examination by several different regulators who each weighed in on how the product might affect the portion of the market that they supervised. While that was a cumbersome process, it served to keep dangerous products off the shelves of institutional and retail investors.

In the brave, new deregulated world of today, however, the story is very different. Indeed, it's frightening to conclude that toxic products with nuclear potential were manufactured and stockpiled in every neighborhood in America.

The specific products – structured collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs) and credit default swaps (CDS) – are “ derivative ” products that stand out as being particularly egregious. There were no regulations against creating newfangled, incendiary residential and commercial mortgage products that, only on their surface, looked like other tried-and-true securitized mortgage products. Imagine your kids being given real guns and told they were just like the toys they were used to, only better.

As for credit default swaps , only in a deregulated world could a “product” of such massive destructive power be allowed to proliferate into a $60 trillion market, impact virtually any company it targets for destruction and not be subject to even a single rule or regulation. In the absence of any regulation, credit default swaps have become a financial plague. If you need proof, just look at what happened with insurer American International Group Inc . ( AIG ).

Even in an appropriately regulated marketplace, sound products are subject to changing market conditions. In a properly regulated product market, regulated ratings agencies would provide transparent, researched and documented analyses of the products they rate, and would also adjust their ratings in a timely manner to reflect changing conditions. One of the reasons we are here in this mess is that the debt-rating agencies were not regulated.

That's right: No one was watching the watchers.

You Can't Rate What You Can't See

Incongruously and deceptively, ratings agencies are paid handsomely by the issuers of the products they rate , who would like high ratings on their products so they can sell more of them, more easily, and for greater profits.

Ratings are vital to ascertaining the risk and reward relative to the market price of products. Ratings agencies and the existing business model they work under must be changed and strenuously regulated.

“Buyer beware” might be acceptable advice when shopping in a regulated financial supermarket. But, in the current deregulated market, it is a prescription for suicide. And without proper regulation, dangerous products stamped “rating agency approved” proliferated.

That was bad enough.

But these toxic products were then distributed by co-conspirators in the age-old game of “heads I win, tails you lose.” The existing, self-serving, self-policing regulatory regime that oversees financial professionals is a very unfunny joke.

Regulations with repercussions must replace the thin veil that covers and covers-up the criminal and stupid individuals and firms that prey on retail customers and unsuspecting institutional clients alike. The financial-services industry is about products and professionals. Without better oversight of the individuals and the companies involved, there will be no confidence in the integrity of the financial system.

As far as regulating other intermediaries at such non-bank institutions as mortgage originators, they need to come under a united umbrella and be regulated, not separately, but under a comprehensive apparatus.

Of the multiple failures of inadequate regulation, one in particular is responsible for the coalescing of destructive forces that imploded the world as we knew it: There is no mechanism to monitor and dilute the inordinate concentration of risk that leverage and greed conspired to allay in a gross gambit for profitability.

The build up of systemic risk was largely a byproduct of deregulation, or non-existent regulation. Banks merged with investment banks and stand-alone investment banks borrowed more and more to compete with commercial bank subsidiaries that had access to massive depositor capital. Meanwhile, giant hedge funds were borrowing from banks and investment banks to leverage returns, all in a machismo-fueled competitive frenzy to out-earn each other.

They all ended up in the same small sandbox holding the same lottery tickets for a dance with the school prom queen. When everyone realized that the queen had already been spoken for, their mass exodus to cash in their lottery tickets created the great de-leveraging and the sell-off that swept through all the world's markets. Where were the regulators?

The Crisis of Confidence

There are, no doubt, free-market disciples who will argue that regulation actually created the problems we are facing. While the theory makes for good debate, the reality is that greed is a part of human nature, which can't be regulated away.

The truth is that our system of regulatory protections has been hollowed out while we watched. And what's left is inadequate. In order to fix a banking crisis – which is what we're faced with now – the very first task, and the most important step of all, is to restore confidence. Or create it anew.

Without appropriate, transparent and dynamic regulation, there will be no recovery. The world has changed and the financial system must change with it. Only a new, comprehensive, transparent and protective regulatory apparatus can save future investors from again experiencing the financial horrors of the past.

The time for change is now.

[ Editor's Note : Money Morning Contributing Editor Shah Gilani, a retired hedge-fund manager and noted expert on the global financial crisis, will host a post-Inauguration " Web summit " that talks about the pending regime change in Washington and what it means for investors in the coming months.

The session this Thursday (Jan. 22) - entitled " The Regime Change in Washington Triggers War on Wall Street " - is free of charge to investors who register in advance. It will start at 7 p.m. EST.

Those who tune in can expect to get candid insights not available on your favorite cable-TV finance show or in the business section of your local newspaper.

“Wall Street doubletalk got us into this crisis; I hear more excuses than straight talk. Most of the dialogue is noise," said Gilani, the editor of the " Trigger Event Strategist " and a commentator who is known for his deep connections inside the investment-banking world of Wall Street. "The truth may be difficult to swallow, but without hearing it, there's not much hope for finding the right way out of the maze."

Gilani will show investors how to interpret recent moves by lawmakers and their cronies to unlock the credit markets, and what's really behind the recent machinations taking place in the power alleys of Wall Street and in the halls of government down on Capitol Hill. With this insight, investors will be able to proactively strengthen their investing portfolios in the face of an escalating credit crisis and deteriorating financial markets - whose ripple effects are only now manifesting themselves in Europe, India and other markets abroad. Investors should sign up early; those who do will be able to also submit questions in advance for Gilani's consideration. Click here for more information, including instructions on how to sign up for the free web summit. ]

By Shah Gilani
Contributing Editor

Money Morning/The Money Map Report

©2009 Monument Street Publishing. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), of content from this website, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Monument Street Publishing. 105 West Monument Street, Baltimore MD 21201, Email: customerservice@moneymorning.com

Disclaimer: Nothing published by Money Morning should be considered personalized investment advice. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed as personalized investment advice. We expressly forbid our writers from having a financial interest in any security recommended to our readers. All of our employees and agents must wait 24 hours after on-line publication, or 72 hours after the mailing of printed-only publication prior to following an initial recommendation. Any investments recommended by Money Morning should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

Money Morning Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in