LRCX Stock Split
Companies / Corporate Earnings Dec 18, 2024 - 03:08 PM GMTInvestors in Lam Research the 11th stock on my AI list get 10 new crispy shares for every one held, the normal pattern for most stocks is to rise into a split and fall afterwards as a sell the news event. Lam Research did bottom out $720 on 10th September and since rose to a recent high of $860 so a 20% rally, though in reality the stock has not done anything other than follow the script for the correction window that runs from Mid July to at least Mid October following it's FOMO run to $1120.
(Charts courtesy of stockcharts.com)
I currently stand at 50% invested of target exposure (1.7%) after trimming hard into the high down to 25% invested (1.8%) in advance of it's 36% price drop due to extreme over valuation at the time of 190% of it's PE range (Column V), current at 121% still not cheap but a lot less over valued when many were FOMO-ing into the top. This illustrates the problem when folk just focus on the stock charts, they are literally flying blind, a ship without a rudder, valuations act as an anchor so one understands the degree to which the stock is drifting away from reality to over and under valuations and act accordingly. Further attenuated by the Forward PE Range, a best guess of how future earnings are likely to impact the stock price some of which tends to be discounted in the present which is at 77% for LRCX, so 122% current vs 77% future which allows one to accumulate in the present for future earnings at sub $752 depending on how much one already holds i.e. the primary objective is to maintain exposure all whilst one tries to ride the over valuation waves via trimming the FOMO and buying the dips.
This article is an excerpt from my recent extensive analysis that was first made available to patrons who support my work - Stock Market October Correction Window Into Post US Election Rip the Face Off the Bears Rally
CONTENTS
Presidential Election Year Seasonal Trend
What Does a Strong September Mean for the Stock Market?
Stock Market Up 8 Out of First 9 months
Republican vs Democrat Presidents and the Stock Market
2025 Mid Decade Year
The Risks are to the Upside!
Presidential Cycle - Best time to buy stocks
AI Tech Stocks Portfolio
LRCX Stock Split
META $596
Nvidia 5X to 30X
CEREBUS IPO NVIDIA KILLER?
Never Buy an IPO
STOP LOSSES
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Bubble Drivers
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Bitcoin Counting Down To Pump to New All Time Highs!
MSTR No Brainer
CRYPTO EXIT STRATEGY REVISITED
STOCKS BEAR MARKET STRATEGIES
CAPTALISNG ON THE NEXT BEAR MARKET
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Most Recent Analysis - Trump Stocks and Crypto Mania 2025 Incoming as Bitcoin Breaks $100k Barrier
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Global Liquidity Prepares to Fire Bull Market Booster Rockets
Fed December Rate Cut
Stocks Bubble 2025
S&P Big Picture Road Map
Moores Law is NOT Dead, it is ACCELERATING!
AI Stocks Investing Perception
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Learn to Be the Man In the Middle
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Bitcoin Forgives You!
Bitcoin Seasonal Trend
Bitcoin - How the Bull Market Could End
Bitcoin Dominance Drop Triggers Alt Season
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CRYPTO EXIT STRATEGY
COINBASE
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Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Get High on Donald Trump Pump
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Stock Market October Correction Window Into Post US Election Rip the Face Off the Bears Rally
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By Nadeem Walayat
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Nadeem Walayat has over 30 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.
Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk
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