US Bond Market Long-term Trend

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The screeching that one hears from the likes of Michael "Big Short" Burry is that the US Bond market is about to collapse. We'll all I can see when looking at the long-term chart is that since the pandemic panic bond market spike of March 2020, bonds have been in a correction against it's primary bull trend, and that correction appears to have ENDED.

So just as the shrill calls of bond market doom reached their most vocal the bond market bottomed and started trending higher. So unless the likes of Michael Burry are right once more than clearly the bond market has resumed it's bull market aided by infinite Fed quantitative easing. Looking at this chart one can clearly see that late 2018 was a GREAT time to buy bonds and why April 2020 was a great time to SELL bonds, but right now, we are pretty much in the middle of the bond market trading range which favours upwards price pressure rather than downwards regardless of what Michael Burry tweets should happen.

Michael "Big Short" Burry CRASH, HYPERINFLATION Bond Market COLLAPSE WARNING!

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Nadeem Walayat has over 30 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

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