AMAZON - AMZN AI Machine Learning Stock Investing
Companies / Amazon Jul 01, 2019 - 02:23 PM GMTWhere to invest to profit from the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend. I have ranked these stocks in in terms of risk vs reward and volatility. Do remember that when investing in the stock market that your capital is at risk. There are NO SURE BETS!
If you've not already done so then watch my following video from November 2016 which illustrates why everything will start to change exponentially by 2021.
Machine Intelligence has become a broad church that has fragmented or branched off into a myriad of sectors and the number keeps expanding every year. Many years ago I broke the machine intelligence mega-trend down into 9 key sectors that I have now further fragmented into 10 by basically adding Cyber Security as the following list illustrates, the 10 key machine mega-trend sectors to invest in.
For a primer on how to invest in AI Stocks then see my following recent video:
Top 10 AI Stocks
The stocks are ranked in order of priority. Also to further break down the list, I consider the first 5 stocks as PRIMARY i.e. the most important. The next 3 as of SECONDARY importance and finally 2 far more risky TERTIARY stocks.
The stocks analysis is being published in reverse order (10 to 1) as this analysis has first been made available to Patrons who support my work: https://www.patreon.com/posts/top-10-ai-stocks-25779914
PRIMARY AI STOCKS
2. AMAZON - AMZN
What's Amazon got to do with AI? EVERYTHING! This monster online retailer that began as a online book store is now responsible for putting high streets and shopping malls out of business right across the western world, and given it's approach towards full spectrum dominance of online sales and expansion into digital media it's definitely got an insatiable appetite towards developing its consumer knowledge based AI systems, targeting consumers with products they want to buy in it's ever expanding inventory of goods and services such as its Alexa voice service.
Whilst on the back end Amazon is increasingly automating it's business, warehouse full of AI controlled robots, picking and packing orders to be shipped ultimately by drones, all geared towards driving down costs. But Amazons going beyond it's online store business branching into servers and cloud based AI computing services such as Amazon Lex, Amazon Polly and Amazon Rekognition.
Amazon Financials
Current Price | $1781 | |
Market Cap | $871bn | |
Enterprise Value | $882bn | |
Total Cash | $41.5bn | |
Net Income | $10bn | |
P/E Ratio | 88.46 | |
Forward P/E | 44.56 | |
Dividend Yield | Nill | |
Sales Growth | 30.9% | |
Price to Sales Ratio (lower better) | 3.22 | |
Price to Cash Flow Ratio (lower better) | 16.93 | |
PEG Ratio (lower better) | 1.47 | |
Debt to Equity (lower better) | 113.18 | |
Stock Price 3 Year Change | 187% | |
Ratio to S&P | 490% |
Amazons financials are robust, notably strong sales growth. High P/E not as important as it may first appear as illustrated by forward P/E. Though debt ratio looks a bit high. Plenty of cash.
Trend - Amazon launched itself into space during 2018! Those who invested several years ago are sitting on a tidy return. However, since the August 2018 peak Amazon has been under performing, and is far more very volatile than the likes of Googie, Basically expect a roller coaster ride when investing in Amazon. In terms of deviation from the S&P, well it does tend to do its own thing. So perhaps keep a closer eye or a smaller position is in order.
Long-term Investing - VERY Strong Long-term returns (187% of S&P).
Conclusion - Amazon is definitely a stock to accumulate to leverage the machine intelligence mega-trend , Whilst volatility is high, however that shouldn't really matter in terms of the very long-term.
Again this the whole of this analysis has first been made available to Patrons who support my work: https://www.patreon.com/posts/top-10-ai-stocks-25779914
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Nadeem Walayat
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Nadeem Walayat has over 30 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.
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