Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24
Dubai Deluge - AI Tech Stocks Earnings Correction Opportunities - 18th Nov 24
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24
At These Levels, Buying Silver Is Like Getting It At $5 In 2003 - 28th Oct 24
Nvidia Numero Uno Selling Shovels in the AI Gold Rush - 28th Oct 24
The Future of Online Casinos - 28th Oct 24
Panic in the Air As Stock Market Correction Delivers Deep Opps in AI Tech Stocks - 27th Oct 24
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! - 27th Oct 24
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's - 27th Oct 24
7 Days of Crypto Opportunities Starts NOW - 27th Oct 24
The Power Law in Venture Capital: How Visionary Investors Like Yuri Milner Have Shaped the Future - 27th Oct 24
This Points To Significantly Higher Silver Prices - 27th Oct 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

My Favorite Real Estate Strategies: Rent to Live, Buy to Rent

Housing-Market / US Housing Feb 16, 2019 - 05:45 PM GMT

By: Harry_Dent

Housing-Market Did you read Andrea Riquier’s two articles on Market Watch last year about real estate strategies?

Definitely worth it!

The first was “The new housing play: helping priced-out renters become long-distance landlords.”

It was a strategy aimed at people living in unaffordable areas like San Francisco, Los Angeles, Miami, or New York.

Rent in those areas to avoid the high purchase costs and a major bubble burst (when it inevitably comes). Then use your freed-up borrowing power to buy a house in an affordable area where renting for income is more lucrative, and far less risky. We’re talking places with high percentages of single-family rentals, like Detroit, Las Vegas, or Kansas City and a few more listed below.




Except for Baltimore, these cities aren’t on the expensive coasts. Rather, they’re more towards the center of the country.

They have more struggling middle- or lower-income families who can’t afford to buy, even in these less over-valued areas. And besides Denver – to a degree – none of these are bubble cities that are likely to crash and crucify you.

Pick your poison…

In her second article called “Pick your poison,” Riquier showed that there are two ways to make money in real estate.

Look at this chart that rates areas by quality of life.



The “A” areas appreciate the most at 21% annually. That’s about twice as much as the “B” and “C” areas.

The worst – “F” areas – have slightly negative appreciation rates at -0.4%.

While “F” areas are NOT places you want to buy, “A” areas are the worst at this time because they’re out of reach of most buyers and will get hit the worst when this second real estate bubble bursts.

Now, look at the average rental returns…

They’re the highest in the poorer “F” areas, at 10.1%, which is damn good.

Rentals don’t vary as much as appreciation and are still good at 7.9% in the “A” areas. But there, again, your risk is that the property value falls by 30% to 50% while you own it and wipes out many years of rental gains.

The rental appreciation rates are also higher in the lower quality areas.

There are now online companies – Roofstock, Home Union, Investability, and OwnAmerica – that help you identify, purchase, and manage such long-distance rentals.

One of the best sites at this point appears to be Roofstock.com. They charge a 2.5% brokerage fee to the seller, and 0.5% to the buyer. That’s cheaper than the standard 6% commission.

The ultimate strategy…

But here’s the ultimate strategy, and you should do this NOW, before the next crash, while it’s easier to borrow.

In the crash, rentals will tend to hold up. Housing prices will fall.

Use your equity and cash flow from owned rentals to buy the far cheaper foreclosures (often by just taking over the payments at a discount), then rent them out for even more profits.

This is what the smart money did during and after the 2008 crisis.

Hedge funds and individual investors bought single family houses for cheap, then rented them out for strong, positive cash flow.

And it gave them the potential to both buy more as the downturn progressed and to sell down the road when the market was better.

Single-family rentals attract older, more family-oriented renters that stay twice as long as they would in apartments (three years compared to one and a half years on average). And they’re less likely to default or burning down the house!

You can choose to sell the houses in a better market later down the road, and your renters may become the buyers.

Or you can just keep renting them out at stronger returns and then buy the house of your dreams in a once-expensive city of your choice when its bubble finally bursts!

Harry

http://economyandmarkets.com

Follow me on Twitter @HarryDentjr

P.S. Another way to stay ahead is by reading the 27 simple stock secrets that our Seven-Figure Trader says are worth $588,221. You’ll find the details here.

Harry studied economics in college in the ’70s, but found it vague and inconclusive. He became so disillusioned by the state of the profession that he turned his back on it. Instead, he threw himself into the burgeoning New Science of Finance, which married economic research and market research and encompassed identifying and studying demographic trends, business cycles, consumers’ purchasing power and many, many other trends that empowered him to forecast economic and market changes.

Copyright © 2019 Harry Dent- All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Harry Dent Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in