Is the US Dollar About to Trigger a Stock Market Meltdown?
Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018 Aug 17, 2018 - 02:48 PM GMTOne of the greatest Fed gaffes in history was former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke’s 2007 claim that the subprime meltdown was “contained” and would not “seriously hurt the economy.”
What followed was the 2008-Crisis… the largest, most systemic crisis in 80 years.
Fast forward to today, and this time around Fed Chair Jerome Powell seems to think that the Fed’s hawkishness is NOT having any noticeable effect on the markets. Bear in mind, the $USD is going straight up, and most Emerging Market stocks are in full fledged crises, down 20%+ this year.
There are only two ways to read this.
1) Powell is clueless about the impact the Fed is on the markets and doesn’t believe this situation will spread to US stocks.
2) Powell KNOWS what he is doing and simply doesn’t care because again he doesn’t believe this situation will spread to US stocks.
Regardless of which it is, Powell is wrong if he thinks the US is immune to global contagion. The fact is that since the 2016 bottom, globally stock markets have been trading in sync based on projections of global growth.
Not anymore. And if the EM space is anything to go by, the US markets are on VERY thin ice.
On that note, the time to prepare for market carnage is NOW before it hits.
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Graham Summers
Phoenix Capital Research
http://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com
Graham also writes Private Wealth Advisory, a monthly investment advisory focusing on the most lucrative investment opportunities the financial markets have to offer. Graham understands the big picture from both a macro-economic and capital in/outflow perspective. He translates his understanding into finding trends and unde74rvalued investment opportunities months before the markets catch on: the Private Wealth Advisory portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 three of the last five years, including a 7% return in 2008 vs. a 37% loss for the S&P 500.
Previously, Graham worked as a Senior Financial Analyst covering global markets for several investment firms in the Mid-Atlantic region. He’s lived and performed research in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and the United States.
© 2018 Copyright Graham Summers - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.
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