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Gold Plunges Despite Feds Stagflation Warning

Commodities / Gold & Silver Aug 06, 2008 - 11:12 AM GMT

By: Mark_OByrne

Commodities Gold finished trading in New York yesterday at $878.90, down $20.50 and silver was down 56 cents to $16.57. Gold has recovered somewhat in Asian and early European trading and is trading at $885.20/885.70 per ounce (1200 GMT).


With commodities and oil falling again yesterday, gold continued its recent poor performance. Gold suffered technical damage yesterday with a close below the 200 day moving average at $887/oz. A weekly close below $887/oz would be even more damaging. The short term trend remains down however gold's long term fundamentals remain sound and should result in gold remaining above strong support above the old resistance at the old all time nominal record high at $850.

The PGMs (platinum group metals) have had vicious sell offs in the last month but are up strongly today – platinum by 6.3% and palladium by nearly 4%.

As expected the Federal Reserve voted to keep its key lending rate steady at 2.0% for the second consecutive meeting with only Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher voting for a rate hike.  

In the accompanying statement, the Fed acknowledged the continuing risks posed by stagflation – they warned that upside risks to inflation are a "significant concern," but kept the focus on downside risks to growth.

Stagflation is a real risk to many international economies right now and this should see gold remain strong in the coming months.



Gold and Silver
Gold is trading at $885.20/885.70 per ounce (1200 GMT).
Silver is trading at $16.65/16.70 per ounce (1200  GMT).

PGMs
Platinum is trading at $1627/11633 per ounce (1200  GMT).
Palladium is trading at $370/375 per ounce (1200  GMT).

By Mark O'Byrne, Executive Director

Gold Investments
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Disclaimer: The information in this document has been obtained from sources, which we believe to be reliable. We cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. It does not constitute a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any investment. Any person acting on the information contained in this document does so at their own risk. Recommendations in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Individual circumstances should be considered before a decision to invest is taken. Investors should note the following: The value of investments may fall or rise against investors' interests. Income levels from investments may fluctuate. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value of, or income from, investments denominated in foreign currencies. Past experience is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

All the opinions expressed herein are solely those of Gold & Silver Investments Limited and not those of the Perth Mint. They do not reflect the views of the Perth Mint and the Perth Mint accepts no legal liability or responsibility for any claims made or opinions expressed herein.

Mark O'Byrne Archive

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