Technical Overview:
Short Term Trend:                            Bullish
Medium Term Trend:                      Bullish
Long Term Trend:                            Rising From Neutral.
Long Stochastics:                                            Overbought
Short Stochastics:                                           Overbought
Vix:                                                    Very Low/ Risk High.
McC. Oscillator:                               Bullish
A/D Line:                                           Bullish

This market is very much overbought. However, the McClennan Oscillator indicates that prices could easily move higher without too much effort as its price is positioned in the middle of its current trading range.

We can observe from the charts below that with The Dow Industrials and The S & P 500 their 100 Daily Moving Averages (DMA) have crossed their 200 DMA, which is bullish. This gives good technical support to the breakouts to new highs. The only cause for caution is the fact that the Dow Transport Index has not reached new highs. Thus according to Dow Theory we do not have a buy signal yet. This divergence indicates that there is now above average risk in the market and given that the VIX is close to an all-time low in its trading cycle I would advise caution until market resilience has been tested through a VIX “spike” to around the 17.50 price level.

Charts Courtesy of StockCharts.com

Christopher Quiqley

B.Sc., M.M.I.I. Grad., M.A.
http://www.wealthbuilder.ie

Mr. Quigley was born in 1958 in Dublin, Ireland. He holds a Bachelor Degree in Accounting and Management from Trinity College Dublin and is a graduate of the Marketing Institute of Ireland. He commenced investing in the stock market in 1989 in Belmont, California where he lived for 6 years. He has developed the Wealthbuilder investment and trading course over the last two decades as a result of research, study and experience. This system marries fundamental analysis with technical analysis and focuses on momentum, value and pension strategies.

Since 2007 Mr. Quigley has written over 80 articles which have been published on popular web sites based in California, New York, London and Dublin.

Mr. Quigley is now lives in Dublin, Ireland and Tampa Bay, Florida.

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Christopher M. Quigley Archive

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