SPX bounced almost precisely at the Head & Shoulders neckline at 2040.00, after having complete another impulsive decline. It appears to have attempted a 50% retracement of that decline at 2055.00 thus far. The bounce may have relieved the oversold condition enough to attempt another decline, but the bear market doesn’t gain strength until 2040.00 is broken.

There may be some interest in keeping the market flat through options expiration. If so, VIX and its derivatives may be under attack by the algos. That suggests another low in the VIX derivatives before the change in trend.

Today is the Pi date for VXX and VIX. This may mean a final push lower from which the reversal may be made.

Alternatively, it may also mean a final breakout above the downtrend line, which may have already happened yesterday in the VIX.

Who ever said this was easy?

Regards,

Tony

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As a State Registered Investment Advisor, The Practical Investor (TPI) manages private client investment portfolios using a proprietary investment strategy created by Chief Investment Officer Tony Cherniawski. Throughout 2000-01, when many investors felt the pain of double digit market losses, TPI successfully navigated the choppy investment waters, creating a profit for our private investment clients. With a focus on preserving assets and capitalizing on opportunities, TPI clients benefited greatly from the TPI strategies, allowing them to stay on track with their life goals.

Disclaimer: The content in this article is written for educational and informational purposes only. There is no offer or recommendation to buy or sell any security and no information contained here should be interpreted or construed as investment advice. Do you own due diligence as the information in this article is the opinion of Anthony M. Cherniawski and subject to change without notice.

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