A Few Facts About Gold That Nay-Sayers Conveniently Ignore
Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016 May 05, 2016 - 04:08 AM GMTBy: Graham_Summers
We continue to see articles by so called “experts” trashing Gold and Silver as investments. Gold is everything from a “Pet Rock” to a “Dumb Investment” or “Barbarous Relic.”
Do these people even bother doing research? Or are they just stock shills?
First and foremost, you cannot compare Gold’s performance relative to stocks anywhere before 1967.
Why?
Because Gold was pegged to currencies up until that point. Any comparison of Gold’s performance relative to other asset classes prior to 1967 is completely misleading because Gold’s performance was limited by currency pegging.
However, once began to be de-pegged in 1967, the story changes.
As Bill King notes, Gold’s performance has absolutely DEMOLISHED that of stocks post 1967. The below chart normalizes both asset classes.
As you can see, even with Gold having lost nearly 40% of its value since 2011, and stocks soaring to all time highs over 2,100 on the S&P 500, the comparison isn’t even close.
This outperformance has continued recently despite the Fed juicing the market at every turn.
Between the year 2000 and today, stocks have been in two of the biggest stock bubbles in history. Over this time period the Fed has done almost nothing but prop stocks up by printing money or maintaining interest rates far below where they should be.
And yet, Gold has once again CRUSHED stocks’ performance. Again, the comparison isn’t even close (and that includes Gold’s terrible performance from 2011 onwards).
Despite these two facts, you rarely if ever see pro-Gold articles appear in the media.
It’s odd… for an asset class that less than 1% of investors actually own, “reporters” and “analysts” sure spend an awful lot of trashing it. How come they don’t spend an equal amount of time trashing uranium or other under-owned asset? Why spend so much time focusing on an asset that so few people even own?
Probably because:
- Gold doesn’t generate any revenue for financial institutions (brokers, investment managers, etc.)
- Gold doesn’t benefit the banks, as you can store it if your own safe.
- Gold and its performance run counter to the view that you can generate wealth via money printing.
At the end of the day, buying Gold represents pulling your money from the financial system… which is the last thing the Fed wants anyone to do.
Meanwhile, as Central Banks turn up the printing presses again, Gold is once again beginning to show signs of life, turning upwards against all major currencies.
We believe the next leg up is about to begin for Gold. Those who remember form the last Gold bull market in the ‘70s, it was the second leg of Gold’s bull market that saw the most gains.
From 1970 to 1974, Gold rose 550%. It then took two-year breather before beginning its second, much larger leg up. During that second leg, it rose over 900% in value.
If Gold were to stage a similar move now, it would rise to over $10,000 per ounce.
On that note…
We’re currently preparing for a similar situation today.
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Best Regards
Graham Summers
Phoenix Capital Research
http://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com
Graham also writes Private Wealth Advisory, a monthly investment advisory focusing on the most lucrative investment opportunities the financial markets have to offer. Graham understands the big picture from both a macro-economic and capital in/outflow perspective. He translates his understanding into finding trends and undervalued investment opportunities months before the markets catch on: the Private Wealth Advisory portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 three of the last five years, including a 7% return in 2008 vs. a 37% loss for the S&P 500.
Previously, Graham worked as a Senior Financial Analyst covering global markets for several investment firms in the Mid-Atlantic region. He’s lived and performed research in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and the United States.
© 2016 Copyright Graham Summers - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.
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