SPX May Have Topped this Morning
Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016 Apr 11, 2016 - 04:57 PM GMTSPX topped out at 2062.93 and promptly turned back down. New short positions may be added here. Confirmation comes beneath Short-term support at 2051.37. Stops may be put in at 2065.00 to 2067.50.
ZeroHedge comments, “This morning's 160 point spike in Dow Futures - out of nowhere - was predicated on hopes of an Italian bank bailout. While this may seem like an odd reason to "buy buy buy" US equities, in the new normal, it really is not.. and when put in context, the 'bounce' in EU banks should do more to scare than soften investors' concerns...”
VIX was temporarily under pressure, but was only lower than Friday’s low by a tick. Investors aren’t buying the bailout story.
TNX eased back down without making a new high, as well. This supports the thesis of equities resuming their decline.
USD/DXY made a new low at 93.75 and appears to be going lower. The target again is between 93.65 and 93.40. Those who are short USD should be taking profits and stepping aside for a bounce at their discretion.
Gold futures challenged its Cycle Top by rallying to 1259.60 this morning. That appears to complete the retracement and may also be a good short entry with a stop at 1288.00.
Crude made a high this morning at 40.65, challenging the mid-Cycle resistance at 40.35. It has since declined below resistance.
This may also be a good short entry. The stop on this one would have to be 42.50. If my analysis is correct, this decline may be a barn burner.
Regards,
Tony
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