Most Popular
1. Banking Crisis is Stocks Bull Market Buying Opportunity - Nadeem_Walayat
2.The Crypto Signal for the Precious Metals Market - P_Radomski_CFA
3. One Possible Outcome to a New World Order - Raymond_Matison
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Apple AAPL Stock Trend and Earnings Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
6.AI, Stocks, and Gold Stocks – Connected After All - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Stock Market CHEAT SHEET - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.US Debt Ceiling Crisis Smoke and Mirrors Circus - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Silver Price May Explode - Avi_Gilburt
10.More US Banks Could Collapse -- A Lot More- EWI
Last 7 days
Stock Market Volatility (VIX) - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 25th Mar 24
The Federal Reserve Didn't Do Anything But It Had Plenty to Say - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Breadth - 24th Mar 24
Stock Market Margin Debt Indicator - 24th Mar 24
It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - 24th Mar 24
Stocks: What to Make of All This Insider Selling- 24th Mar 24
Money Supply Continues To Fall, Economy Worsens – Investors Don’t Care - 24th Mar 24
Get an Edge in the Crypto Market with Order Flow - 24th Mar 24
US Presidential Election Cycle and Recessions - 18th Mar 24
US Recession Already Happened in 2022! - 18th Mar 24
AI can now remember everything you say - 18th Mar 24
Bitcoin Crypto Mania 2024 - MicroStrategy MSTR Blow off Top! - 14th Mar 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - 11th Mar 24
Gold and the Long-Term Inflation Cycle - 11th Mar 24
Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - 11th Mar 24
Two Reasons The Fed Manipulates Interest Rates - 11th Mar 24
US Dollar Trend 2024 - 9th Mar 2024
The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - 9th Mar 2024
Investors Don’t Believe the Gold Rally, Still Prefer General Stocks - 9th Mar 2024
Paper Gold Vs. Real Gold: It's Important to Know the Difference - 9th Mar 2024
Stocks: What This "Record Extreme" Indicator May Be Signaling - 9th Mar 2024
My 3 Favorite Trade Setups - Elliott Wave Course - 9th Mar 2024
Bitcoin Crypto Bubble Mania! - 4th Mar 2024
US Interest Rates - When WIll the Fed Pivot - 1st Mar 2024
S&P Stock Market Real Earnings Yield - 29th Feb 2024
US Unemployment is a Fake Statistic - 29th Feb 2024
U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - 29th Feb 2024
What a Breakdown in Silver Mining Stocks! What an Opportunity! - 29th Feb 2024
Why AI will Soon become SA - Synthetic Intelligence - The Machine Learning Megatrend - 29th Feb 2024
Keep Calm and Carry on Buying Quantum AI Tech Stocks - 19th Feb 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Why is Gold Price up Nearly $60 this Morning?

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016 Feb 12, 2016 - 10:48 AM GMT

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Commodities

It has something to do with Yellen’s not dovish enough Congressional testimony.  It has something to do with global financial system problems associated with low interest rates.  It also has something to do with emerging countries at the doorstep of penury.  And last but not least, it has something to do with disinflationary pressures that threaten the financial system and world economy as a whole. However, these things, albeit good reasons to own gold, would normally play out in the price over an extended period of time.


Let’s dig a little deeper – beneath the popular generalities being bandied about the past several days – to discover the reasons why gold would move so forcefully over such a short period of time.

I find three:

  1.  In this quirky zirpy, nirpy world, gold offers a return, like cash, even if the price stays put.  Gold looks the most rational choice in this lop-sided, anti-savings investment environment.  As it is, gold, at this writing, is up 17.5% on the year – a bonanza in this economy and a magnet for smart money around the world.
  2.  Knowing that gold would likely become a safe-haven getaway for weary, burnt out investment capital, the shorts decided that covering their positions might be in their best interest.  As this is written, the proverbial mad dash for the exit has already begun.
  3. Capital flight. At the beginning of 2016, financial authorities in Europe signaled that investors could be called upon in the form of bail-ins to take losses in the event of bank failures, not just as stockholders, but as bondholders and depositors as well.  Policy-makers, then, should not be surprised if such renderings cause a little angst panic among investors, and a general flight in the direction of gold.

I won’t paint the bigger picture on the immediate effects of these developments at this time with respect to gold, in the interest of getting some analysis out there for our clientele to consider. There are probably other factors driving gold at the moment, but I see the combination of those three as the chief determinant. They offer some explanation as to why gold has moved so quickly and with such determination since the beginning of the year.

Do I think gold is too high now?  No.  Owning gold has become a matter of practicality. We will get the standard pull-backs and we should consider those healthy events, but given the circumstances I do not expect the demand to abate. Gold began the year considerably oversold and, in my view, it still has some catching up to do.  Let me put it this way:  Given the current situation with the major currencies, do you think present prices will dissuade China (for example) from further adding to its reserves or put a damper on the various repatriation efforts underway?

By Michael J. Kosares
Michael J. Kosares , founder and president
USAGOLD - Centennial Precious Metals, Denver

Michael J. Kosares is the founder of USAGOLD and the author of "The ABCs of Gold Investing - How To Protect and Build Your Wealth With Gold." He has over forty years experience in the physical gold business.  He is also the editor of Review & Outlook, the firm's newsletter which is offered free of charge and specializes in issues and opinion of importance to owners of gold coins and bullion.  If you would like to register for an e-mail alert when the next issue is published, please visit this link

Disclaimer: Opinions expressed in commentary e do not constitute an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any precious metals product, nor should they be viewed in any way as investment advice or advice to buy, sell or hold. Centennial Precious Metals, Inc. recommends the purchase of physical precious metals for asset preservation purposes, not speculation. Utilization of these opinions for speculative purposes is neither suggested nor advised. Commentary is strictly for educational purposes, and as such USAGOLD - Centennial Precious Metals does not warrant or guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information found here.

Michael J. Kosares Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in