Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold and Silver Markets Brief - 18th Feb 25
Harnessing Market Insights to Drive Financial Success - 18th Feb 25
Stock Market Bubble 2025 - 11th Feb 25
Fed Interest Rate Cut Probability - 11th Feb 25
Global Liquidity Prepares to Fire Bull Market Booster Rockets - 11th Feb 25
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: A Long-Term Bear Market Is Simply Impossible Today - 11th Feb 25
A Stock Market Chart That’s Out of This World - 11th Feb 25
These Are The Banks The Fed Believes Will Fail - 11th Feb 25
S&P 500: Dangerous Fragility Near Record High - 11th Feb 25
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Get High on Donald Trump Pump - 10th Feb 25
Bitcoin Break Out, MSTR Rocket to the Moon! AI Tech Stocks Earnings Season - 10th Feb 25
Liquidity and Inflation - 10th Feb 25
Gold Stocks Valuation Anomaly - 10th Feb 25
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto's Under President Donald Pump - 8th Feb 25
Transition to a New Global Monetary System - 8th Feb 25
Betting On Outliers: Yuri Milner and the Art of the Power Law - 8th Feb 25
President Black Swan Slithers into the Year of the Snake, Chaos Rules! - 2nd Feb 25
Trump's Squid Game America, a Year of Black Swans and Bull Market Pumps - 24th Jan 25
Japan Interest Rate Hike - Black Swan Panic Event Incoming? - 23rd Jan 25
It's Five Nights at Freddy's Again! - 12th Jan 25
Squid Game Stock Market 2025 - 5th Jan 25

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Why Gold Price is going down, in Two Words: IT's NOT !

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015 Dec 20, 2015 - 09:21 PM GMT

By: Denali_Guide

Commodities

          So as ephemeral as anything is to “prove” by math, we can observe and draw the following conclusion, that REAL METAL GOLD is priced far differently than PAPER CONTRACTS settled in Dollars.  Having not “proved” this but empirical observations to illustrate and support this enduring phenomena, we conclude that: “Currencies fluctuate, at different rates against MANDATORY DELIVERIES of METAL GOLD vs. PAYMENT in any given currency.”


A restatement of this, is that: “Currencies are valued at differing rates by the currency of their transactions.”  Which again circles back to the question of intrinsic and enduring value of either, Metal Gold, or Paper Contracts.  So for 'Probably Cause”, it is my conclusion that the USA manipulates its own currency for its own policy ends.  Given the pricing fluctuations in the Monetary Metals, it seems evident to me, that suppression has been ongoing.

          So what is the reality here, now?    This morning, Sat, Dec 19, the price for a once ounce gold coin, lowest of the Major Three, Maple Leaf, American Eagle or Austrian Philharmonic, is U$D 1205.24, per coined metal ounce, FOB, for Pickup in Ontario.  There will be a lot of “I can get it cheaper conjecture which I will leave out of this.  That is my cost, today for a 1 oz coin, payment vs. Physical delivery into my possession.   Indeed a far cry from the KRIMEX kuote of  U$D 1066.10 per ounce of paper promise delivered in NYC.  Which is real, which offers certainty and which is of greater integrity or intrinsic value ?

To address this question, it has been my conclusion that, subsequent to the USA losing its

TRIPLE A, Highest Credit Rating of AAA, that the financial powers that be in the USA intensified their physical, financial and psychological war on the perception of the value of gold, to the extent of their resources.  This is, in my view, because, any question of the creditworthiness of the USA, would hinder its drive to control, directly, or indirectly virtually the finances of the entire Global community( and thus the remainder of all policy, globally).


The so-called “Scarlet Letter” devised under Sec. 311 of the US Treasury Code is the first weapon used to isolate financial institutions, then host countries, To bring them into de facto compliance with US Policies including suppression of the the pricing of monetary metals in many currencies.  While effective on smaller countries, it has not worked across the board, and been, from what I see, of little avail forcing other countries to devalue Gold.  The pressure on everyone, globally, to suppress Gold's perceived value, would be consistent with trying to maintain the highest possible credit rating for the USA.

          So in this game of smoke and mirrors, and the fog of financial war, and deception involved, I use my best reckoning to figure that the Canadian Royal Mint's Gold inventory Exchange Tradeable Receipts (MNT.To)give us an insight to the undistorted value of Metal Gold.

Since arbitrage is a very real and effective tool to bring to equilibrium to market inequities, I favor the comparisons using a real delivery vehicle for metal Gold, to ascertain the most valid of supposed pricing systems now used to attempt price discovery of metal Gold in a public arena of fair and open markets.  Given the persistent  differences between Paper Gold Contracts and Mandatory Deliverable Gold Receipts, I favor the Mandatory Delivery Vehicles to be the truer of the pair.

          So like we see on “Whack-a-Mole”, Gold's value is persistent, like water, and pops up in any space available.  Despite the Full Spectrum Dominance exerted by the largest empire yet seen on Planet Earth, only 'some' perceptions relative to Gold's value have changed.  Again, in my opinion, the remainder and majority remain unchanged.  Both metals, Silver and Gold, have, with their respective over and undershoots of median value, have maintained their value in historic zones of purchasing power.  Under and overshooting the median values will continue due to the passions of humans, for Gold and Silver.  I don't think fiat and unbacked currencies will fare so well.

By Denali Guide

http://denaliguidesummit.blogspot.ca

To the the charts involved, go here, to my Public Stock Charts Portfolio, and go to the last section.  All charts update automatically. http://stockcharts.com/public/1398475/tenpp/1

© 2015 Copyright Denali Guide - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in