Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

The U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.3-0.4% on Wednesday, as investors reacted to some economic data releases. Our yesterday's bearish intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index extends its consolidation following October rally, as it continues to trade below resistance level of 2,100. The next important level of resistance is at around 2,130, marked by late May all-time high. On the other hand, support level is at 2,020-2,050:

S&P500 Futures Daily Chart

Expectations before the opening of today's trading session are positive, with index futures currently up 0.3-0.4%. The main European stock market indexes have been mixed so far. Investors will now wait for the Initial Claims number release at 8:30 a.m. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) trades within an intraday uptrend, as it retraces some of yesterday's move down. The nearest important level of resistance is at 2,060-2,070, and support level is at around 2,030-2,040, as the 15-minute chart shows:

S&P500 Futures 15-Minute Chart

The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) follows a similar path, as it bounces off support level of 4,600. On the other hand, level of resistance is at 4,650, among others, as we can see on the 15-minute chart:

NASDAQ100 Futures 15-Minute Chart

Concluding, the broad stock market extended its short-term move down yesterday, as investors reacted to economic data releases. We continue to maintain our speculative short position (2,088.35, S&P 500 index). Stop-loss is at 2,140 and potential profit target is at 1,990 (S&P 500 index). You can trade S&P 500 index using futures contracts (S&P 500 futures contract - SP, E-mini S&P 500 futures contract - ES) or an ETF like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF - SPY. It is always important to set some exit price level in case some events cause the price to move in the unlikely direction. Having safety measures in place helps limit potential losses while letting the gains grow.

Thank you.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Trading Strategist
Stock Trading Alerts
SunshineProfits.com

Stock market strategist, who has been known for quality of his technical and fundamental analysis since the late nineties. He is interested in forecasting market behavior based on both traditional and innovative methods of technical analysis. Paul has made his name by developing mechanical trading systems. Paul is the author of Sunshine Profits’ premium service for stock traders: Stock Trading Alerts.

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Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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