Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24
Dubai Deluge - AI Tech Stocks Earnings Correction Opportunities - 18th Nov 24
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24
At These Levels, Buying Silver Is Like Getting It At $5 In 2003 - 28th Oct 24
Nvidia Numero Uno Selling Shovels in the AI Gold Rush - 28th Oct 24
The Future of Online Casinos - 28th Oct 24
Panic in the Air As Stock Market Correction Delivers Deep Opps in AI Tech Stocks - 27th Oct 24
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! - 27th Oct 24
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's - 27th Oct 24
7 Days of Crypto Opportunities Starts NOW - 27th Oct 24
The Power Law in Venture Capital: How Visionary Investors Like Yuri Milner Have Shaped the Future - 27th Oct 24
This Points To Significantly Higher Silver Prices - 27th Oct 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Big Drop Still Looms, GDX Pulling Back

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015 Oct 19, 2015 - 07:40 AM GMT

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Stock-Markets

Last time I wrote, I was expecting a large drop in the stock market. Early on, in my blog, I stated that I believed I was wrong and that the BIG drop would not occur until late October/early November. I stated that the 7 week low could occur as early as October 13/14. I also stated that there was a TLC low due in that time frame. Also, there was the fact that Jupiter was making a trine aspect to Pluto by October 15 and that was potentially bullish, at least in the short term. Also, I was concerned that GLD and GDX were not confirming the recent move up.


From October 14 to October 16, the SPX rallied from about 1990 to near 2033. I see many money flow and momentum divergences on that move up, and believe we will have a short, sharp drop into October 20th to near SPX 1972. We have a Hanging Man on the SPY, the recently developed 21 TD top from July 20th (series July 20, August 18, September 17), and a Y wave of an XYZ bull flag. In addition, we have a Bradley turn due October 17th, Venus opposing Neptune after the market closed Friday, while Mars conjuncts Jupiter on October 17th. The two days following OPEX October tend to be very bearish, and we also have a three week low due on October 20th.

All this action points to an important topping process on both the GDX and the SPX. I believe the top of this move off of the September 30th/Oct 1 lows is still forthcoming, but we still have the 5/10 week lows looming around November 3; so overall, l I believe THE major top of this counter trend rally is NOT yet in and will not likely occur until around Oct 26/28. Bottom line: a quick scary sell-off into Tuesday where the strong money starts buying this market once again setting us up for an end of month top of significance in both markets. This will likely be tied to the FED meeting of October 28. Ironically, we have Mercury and Mars crossing the same spot Mercury crossed in late August before the August 18-24 collapse, and that is the recent solar eclipse. This follows George Bayer's rule of the relationship between the Sun and Mercury.

My own e-wave/cycle read is suggesting a possible drop to the upper 1700's SPX by November 3 (with a possible SPY below 1760). GDX is coming off of an IMP (I've gone over IMP's before) and is due to go just under Touch Point 1 near $15.08/.12 by Tuesday or Wednesday next week. One more rally is expected in gold and GDX into late October before going back into the bear market mode.

S&P500 Hourly Chart

GDX Hourly Chart

If this pattern and cycle continues in the stock market, we may not see a final low of this bear market move until late December or early January to my long time target of SPX 1700 . This would also guarantee the chop continues.

Brad Gudgeon

Editor of The BluStar Market Timer

www.blustarmarkettimer.info

The BluStar Market Timer was rated #1 in the world by Timer Trac in 2014, competing with over 1600 market timers. This occurred despite what the author considered a very difficult year for him. Brad Gudgeon, editor and author of the BluStar Market Timer, is a market veteran of over 30 years. The website is www.blustarmarkettimer.info To view the details more clearly, you may visit our free chart look at www.blustarcharts.weebly.com Copyright 2015. All Rights Reserved

Copyright 2015, BluStar Market Timer.  All rights reserved.
Disclaimer:  The above information is not intended as investment advice.  Market timers can and do make mistakes.  The above analysis is believed to be reliable, but we cannot be responsible for losses should they occur as a result of using this information.  This article is intended for educational purposes only. Past performance is never a guarantee of future performance.

Brad Gudgeon Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in