Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24
Dubai Deluge - AI Tech Stocks Earnings Correction Opportunities - 18th Nov 24
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24
At These Levels, Buying Silver Is Like Getting It At $5 In 2003 - 28th Oct 24
Nvidia Numero Uno Selling Shovels in the AI Gold Rush - 28th Oct 24
The Future of Online Casinos - 28th Oct 24
Panic in the Air As Stock Market Correction Delivers Deep Opps in AI Tech Stocks - 27th Oct 24
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! - 27th Oct 24
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's - 27th Oct 24
7 Days of Crypto Opportunities Starts NOW - 27th Oct 24
The Power Law in Venture Capital: How Visionary Investors Like Yuri Milner Have Shaped the Future - 27th Oct 24
This Points To Significantly Higher Silver Prices - 27th Oct 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Three Profitable Investment Trends in China

Companies / China Stocks Jun 10, 2008 - 08:37 AM GMT

By: Money_and_Markets

Companies

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI just returned from China and boy was it an informative trip.

Of course, you have to understand that when I travel to Asia, I don't limit my conversation to just corporate bigwigs. I chat up anybody who can give me information about the economy and that includes people like taxi drivers, bellmen, waitresses, retail clerks, other traveling businesspeople, and even students.


This trip was no exception. In many ways, I learned more from regular, everyday Chinese people on the frontlines than CEOs. Today, I'd like to share three potentially lucrative trends I witnessed firsthand on the streets of China.

Trend #1) A different type of oil.

Oil prices have been dominating the headlines but the average Chinese consumer isn't that concerned about the high price of gasoline. Why not? Because most people in China ride bikes (scooters that get 100 miles a gallon) or use public transportation. So the cost of oil isn't a major issue to them.

There is an oil, however, that the Chinese do care deeply about: cooking oil, the price of which has skyrocketed along with other food products.

 
As fields of rapeseed are harvested for bio-fuel, the price of cooking oil has soared across China.

The latest inflation data for China showed that while overall consumer prices increased by 8.5%, food prices climbed by a whopping 22.1% over the last 12 months. Food inflation is a heck of a lot more important than energy inflation in developing countries because the working class has to spend a disproportionate amount of their income on food.

How can you make money with this trend? My advice would be to give some thought to investing in companies in the Chinese food chain. This includes nearly everything agricultural; seed, fertilizer, and beef/chicken/pork producers. I would also recommend taking a hard look at Real Wealth Report , a newsletter that has absolutely nailed the most profitable way to invest in food stocks.

Trend #2) Aussies, Aussies everywhere .

The number of Australians visiting China — both for business and personal travel — has exploded. I don't know what the exact numbers are, but I was amazed at how many Australians I saw running around China compared to my previous trips.

Being the nosy guy that I am, I talked to every Australian that I could. While every one of them had a different story, I found that many of them were employed in or somehow benefiting from high commodity prices.

Australia is one of the richest natural resource countries in the world and the huge demand for those resources from China has enriched Australia.

How can you make money with this trend? You may want to consider investing in the same Australian companies that are making it possible for all those Australians to visit China: Alumina (AWC), BHP Billiton (BHP), Lihir Gold (LHR), and Rio Tinto (RHP) are just a few examples to consider.

Trend #3) The restaurant business is booming!

For the first time, I was invited into the home of a Chinese family. 'Home' is actually a generous description because nobody — including the fabulously rich — lives in a home. Everybody lives in what we would call a condo and most are so small that there is barely enough room to sleep, let alone cook a meal.

The home I visited had one tiny bathroom, one large communal room that doubled as both a living room and bedroom, and a kitchen that was roughly the size of a small closet. Keep in mind that this layout was crammed into roughly 600 square feet!

" Now you know why we eat out so much. We have no room to cook ," said my host.

It's no wonder that China has four million full-service restaurants, seven times as many as the U.S. And China's 1.4 billion people spent more than 1 trillion yuan (U.S. $126 billion) dining out last year, a 13% increase from 2006 according to the Chinese Ministry of Commerce. Over the last 15 years, restaurant sales have increased by more than 10% a year.

McDonald's is not the largest U.S. restaurant chain in China. That position belongs to KFC, owned by Yum! Brands, which currently has more than 900 quick-service restaurants.
McDonald's is not the largest U.S. restaurant chain in China. That position belongs to KFC, owned by Yum! Brands, which currently has more than 900 quick-service restaurants.

How you can make money from this trend? Lots of American restaurant companies are aggressively expanding to China, and none has been more successful than Yum Brands (YUM).

The name may sound funny, but the Little Sheep (0968.HK) is another restaurant chain worth your investigation. Little Sheep is a chain of 'hot pot' restaurants that is famous for its Mongolian-style mutton dishes.

Little Sheep is hugely popular in China. In 2006, it grabbed an amazing 11.8% of all the full-service restaurant business! There are currently only 350 Little Sheep restaurants across China, but the company will be using the proceeds from its recent IPO to finance an aggressive expansion plan. At 27 times 2008 earnings, the stock is a little pricey, so I would wait for a pullback.

My overall conclusion on China ...

Let the indomitable Chinese spirit power your investment returns.

The first thing I saw when I stepped off the plane in Hong Kong was martial arts movie star Jackie Chan singing on TV. Chan, along with 400 other Asian celebrities, were participating in a televised concert to raise funds for Sichuan earthquake relief.

While watching Jackie Chan sing (he isn't bad, by the way), I was struck at how unified a country of 1.4 billion people had become. The death and economic toll are tragic, but the spirit and perseverance of the Chinese people was heartwarming.

That same perseverance is the reason why the Chinese economy is growing so rapidly and the #1 reason I'm so bullish on China. I don't credit the government for embracing capitalism or manufacturers for taking advantage of China's cheap labor. What I credit is the industrious work ethic of the Chinese people I met on my trip, and hundreds of millions of others just like them.

Bottom Line: Make sure your portfolio has a meaningful exposure to China and its industrious Asian neighbors. How meaningful? That depends on your time horizon and tolerance for risk, but I think anybody who has time on his/her side might want to give serious consideration to putting at least 20% of their equity portfolio into Asia. I really believe that Asia may well be the most profitable part of your portfolio going forward.

Best wishes,

Tony

This investment news is brought to you by Money and Markets . Money and Markets is a free daily investment newsletter from Martin D. Weiss and Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil. Dr. Weiss is a leader in the fields of investing, interest rates, financial safety and economic forecasting. To view archives or subscribe, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com .

Money and Markets Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in