Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Tesla $460, Bitcoin $107k, S&P 6080 - The Pump Continues! - 16th Dec 24
Stock Market Risk to the Upside! S&P 7000 Forecast 2025 - 15th Dec 24
Stock Market 2025 Mid Decade Year - 15th Dec 24
Sheffield Christmas Market 2024 Is a Building Site - 15th Dec 24
Got Copper or Gold Miners? Watch Out - 15th Dec 24
Republican vs Democrat Presidents and the Stock Market - 13th Dec 24
Stock Market Up 8 Out of First 9 months - 13th Dec 24
What Does a Strong Sept Mean for the Stock Market? - 13th Dec 24
Is Trump the Most Pro-Stock Market President Ever? - 13th Dec 24
Interest Rates, Unemployment and the SPX - 13th Dec 24
Fed Balance Sheet Continues To Decline - 13th Dec 24
Trump Stocks and Crypto Mania 2025 Incoming as Bitcoin Breaks Above $100k - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Multiple Confirmations - Are You Ready? - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Monster Upleg Lives - 8th Dec 24
Stock & Crypto Markets Going into December 2024 - 2nd Dec 24
US Presidential Election Year Stock Market Seasonal Trend - 29th Nov 24
Who controls the past controls the future: who controls the present controls the past - 29th Nov 24
Gold After Trump Wins - 29th Nov 24
The AI Stocks, Housing, Inflation and Bitcoin Crypto Mega-trends - 27th Nov 24
Gold Price Ahead of the Thanksgiving Weekend - 27th Nov 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast to June 2025 - 24th Nov 24
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24
Dubai Deluge - AI Tech Stocks Earnings Correction Opportunities - 18th Nov 24
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Bitcoin Price Still in a Bearish Environment

Currencies / Bitcoin Jan 20, 2015 - 06:02 PM GMT

By: Mike_McAra

Currencies

In short: no speculative positions.

The price of Bitcoin is not all that matters in the Bitcoin community. Developments in the protocol and particularly in the ease-of-use and security departments are extremely important, in our opinion, for the success of the cryptocurrency. A new feature for the Bitcoin system, called Bitcoin Box, has recently come out. This is a kind of terminal that allows to process Bitcoin transaction without the access to the Internet, we read on CoinDesk:


A prototype cryptocurrency point-of-sales (POS) terminal called Bitcoin Box can process transactions without the need for an Internet connection. Instead it relies on Near Field Communications (NFC) and Bluetooth to enable payments.

The device has been developed by Hive developer Jan Vornberger, who said the customer simply needs to touch their smartphone on the device and it completes the transaction via Bluetooth.

(...)

Vornberger explained the benefits of offline bitcoin transactions:

"So far, most bitcoin POS solutions rely on simply having the customer broadcast the bitcoin transaction over the bitcoin network. This can be unreliable, as sometimes the shop system does not see the transaction immediately, resulting in delays."

We're very much interested to see how this evolves. If this really helps in speeding up the transaction times, it would be a significant step forward as far as the ease of paying with Bitcoin is concerned. One of the major problems with how Bitcoin transactions work today, apart from the lack of vendors accepting cryptocurrencies, is the fact that confirming a Bitcoin transaction might be lengthy process, making it very difficult for customers to pay with Bitcoin for goods and services just as they would pay using a credit card.

Even if the Bitcoin Box itself is not the device that will make Bitcoin payments a lot easier, we can expect to see this kind of technology, or technology inspired by it used in other kinds of extensions to the Bitcoin system.

For now, let's focus on the charts.

On BitStamp, we saw Bitcoin move above a possible declining trend line. This is a positive sign but it was only one day above the line and the volume was not very significant, at least not in comparison with the recent volatile moves. It was also lower than on the day before. Yesterday, we wrote:

There's been some important clarification here. Bitcoin hasn't really shot up like it did in April 2014 and the lack of a move up is, in our opinion, some indication that the market might actually still be weak in the short term. We think this tilts the short-term outlook to more bearish.

Today (...), the action on BitStamp has been muted - Bitcoin hasn't moved much and the volume has been relatively weak. We still see the currency above $200 but below a possible declining trend line. Our best bet here would be a period of trading between $200 and $250 followed by a move down to $150 or even lower.

Bitcoin ended yesterday above $215, but today the move has been down to around $205 (this is written before 9:00 a.m. ET). The volume hasn't been particularly strong or weak for that matter. The most bearish indication here might be that Bitcoin hasn't really gone up so far and that the general trend seems to remain down. The most bullish indication is that Bitcoin has stayed above $200 but the move above the possible recent trend line might end up being erased today (this is far from certain, though).

On the long-term BTC-e chart, we saw Bitcoin on the move up but the move itself was relatively weak. There was no move above any trend lines visible on the chart. Bitcoin stayed above $200 (dashed red line in the chart) but the move was not very strong.

Today, the move has been down but the volume hasn't been really strong. All of this seems to suggest that the recent move has already run out of steam. This points to lower Bitcoin prices in the weeks to come but the entry point for a short trade doesn't seem to be here just now since the fact that Bitcoin has largely remained above $200. As such, the situation is still unclear enough, in our opinion, to open any speculative positions in the market.

Summing up, we don't support any short-term positions at the moment.

Trading position (short-term, our opinion): no positions.

Regards,

Mike McAra
Bitcoin Trading Strategist
Bitcoin Trading Alerts at SunshineProfits.com

Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Mike McAra and Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Mike McAra and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. McAra is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Mike McAra’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Mike McAra, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in