Energy and Natural Resources Bull Market Investing
News_Letter / Resources Investing May 31, 2008 - 07:46 PM GMTBy: NewsLetter
The world is now several years into the commodities secular bull market that is expected to span many decades. Undoubtedly the market trends will contain many mini-bear markets within the overall bull market as prices are bid higher by speculators chasing limited supply as we have witnessed with rice these past few weeks and are likely to witness with crude oil later this year.
Energy and Natural Resources Bull Market Investing
The world is now several years into the commodities secular bull market that is expected to span many decades. Undoubtedly the market trends will contain many mini-bear markets within the overall bull market as prices are bid higher by speculators chasing limited supply as we have witnessed with rice these past few weeks and are likely to witness with crude oil later this year. However every mini-bear market will prove an excellent long-term buying opportunity, as the primary driving forces for the secular commodity bull markets will not go away i.e.
Therefore, despite near term corrections, it is important for investors for the long-run to have adequate exposure to the natural resources sector, both for making profits and protecting the value of your wealth from government actions to debase the value of their respective currencies. In this end there are many, ETF's and investment trusts available that help spread the risk amongst the resource sectors that are each at different stages of their current impulse bull markets or corrective bear market phases. Your analyst primarily looking at ways of avoiding the destruction of hard earned wealth through high real inflation rates. Nadeem Walayat,
By: Kurt_Kasun The peaceful co-existence between commodity-related investments and most sectors which comprise the broader US Stock indices, is drawing to a close. As inflation tightens its grip over the world economy, US treasuries and stocks (consumer-related, tech, and financials) will suffer while investments in tangible assets will see their gains accelerate higher. I consider the terms "inflation" and "currency debasement" to be largely synonymous. The bottom line is that purchasing power is going to drastically decline. Income and wealth is not going to keep up with rising prices for goods and services for the US consumer. Hard asset investments will emerge as the sole safe haven against the deleterious effects of inflation.
By: Money_and_Markets Nearly every natural resource under the sun is about to enter the second, most powerful phase of their bull markets, eventually reaching dizzying heights that make today's record prices seem tame by comparison. Almost everyone would scoff if I gave you my peak projections for copper, uranium, corn, wheat, and each of the other commodities I follow. They'd probably lock me up in Bellevue!
By: Gary_Dorsch “A trend in motion, will stay in motion, until some outside force, knocks it off its course!” After watching the parabolic rise in crude oil prices, doubling from a year ago, to above $130 a barrel last week, central bankers who under-estimated the power and resiliency of the “crude oil vigilantes”, are now praying for a “Bubble” that is destined to burst under its own weight, and at a moment's notice.
By: Jim_Willie_CB An important swing in the pendulum is due to manifest itself in the near future. Leverage with gold mining stocks and silver mining stocks depends upon containment of costs. Whether of energy costs (primarily diesel), or materials (like steel & lumber), or labor itself (also in shortage), even equipment (rigs in dire shortage with long waiting periods), the mining firms need to contain costs in order to make their stocks effective investments from which to exploit the rising gold & silver prices. The biggest breakout in the entire collection of commodity prices during the last two months has been in crude oil, with much attention given it.
By: Zeal_LLC I've never seen any other commodity generate such a fanatical following as silver. There are many investors and speculators interested in nothing but silver and its miners. There are financial newsletters focused solely on silver. This metal's ecosystem, birthed by a legendary superspike over 28 years ago, is totally unique.
By: Money_and_Markets Sean Brodrick writes: All eyes are on oil as the price of crude trends higher and higher. But one of the rules of smart investing is to look at things others have ignored or written off, because you might find real bargains there.
By: John_Mauldin Goldman Sachs recently forecasted that oil would be at $141 a barrel by the end of the year, and rising to $200 a barrel in the not too distant future. I have seen other forecasts calling for oil to slip significantly under $100 a barrel before starting yet another bull market. I have written for years that we are not going to run out of oil or energy, just cheap oil. I was just in South Africa, where much of their gas and diesel comes from coal gasification. At one time this was an expensive way to make gas, and South Africans had to pay more for their gas than the rest of the world. Now, it is getting close to "par" to the cost of gas in the US, and is cheaper than gas in Europe.
By: Nadeem_Walayat Crude oil continued to hit its new all time high of $128 today by closing above $127 for the first time, up 96% in 12 months and 165% in 3 years. The impact of the price hike is both inflationary and deflationary at the same time. Inflationary as oil is the life blood of the functioning of global economies and thus resulting in across the board price hikes. Deflationary impacts as the price hike acts as a tax on the consumer from fuel pumps to food stores thus leaving less money in the hands of the consumer to pay for the necessities let alone for luxuries.
By: Joseph_Dancy Long term supply and demand trends continue to keep energy prices elevated. The easiest to locate and cheapest oil to produce on the global scale has been for the most part found. Many of the major older fields are in decline. New production tends to be more expensive to develop, and access to potential fields is increasingly restricted by nationalistic concerns as governments try to control resources to benefit their own citizens. In many areas a shortfall of drilling and production equipment exists.
By: Joseph_Dancy Long term global demand and supply trends in the agricultural sector remain very favorable for investors. New and expanding biofuel facilities, growing global population, and the upgrading of diets in many Asian countries continues to increase demand for grains at a rapid pace. For more indepth analysis on the financial markets make sure to visit the Market Oracle on a regular basis.
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