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Will the European Union Reindex Stock Markets to 100 points?

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014 Dec 17, 2014 - 04:16 PM GMT

By: Wim_Grommen

Stock-Markets The introduction of the euro brought the citizens of Europe many advantages, including  uniformity. It would be nice if that uniformity also applied to the comparison of the various stock exchanges. An index point is not a fixed unit in time and does not have any historical significance, so the European citizen may therefore not attach any significance for the future. Comparing index points to their history and also comparing the various stock exchanges makes no sense. The time is ripe to reindex European stock exchanges to 100 points.


Reindexing to 100 points has many advantages

After the introduction of a single currency for Europeans, it is important that the EU also creates uniformity in the stock exchanges. Because a stock market index has no relevant future value, the time is ripe to re-index stock markets to 100 points. The re-indexing of the stock exchanges to 100 points can be easily implemented.
For each stock market index, a so-called DIVISOR100-value is introduced.
The value of each DIVISOR100 is determined by the number of index points from the final position of a stock market at a certain date, eg. December 31, 2013 divided by 100. On December 31, 2013 the AEX ended at 401.79 and thus AEX_DIVISOR100 gets the value 4.0179 (401.79 divided by 100). The DAX ended December 31, 2013 at 9552.16 and thus DAX_DIVISOR100 gets the value 95.5216 (9552.16 divided by 100).

AEX_DIVISOR100

4.0179

DJIA_DIVISOR100

165.7666

DAX_DIVISOR100

95.5216

S&P500_DIVISOR100

18.4836

FTSE100_DIVISOR100

67.4909

NASDAQ_DIVISOR100

41.7659

CAC40_DIVISOR100

42.9595

NIKKEI_DIVISOR100

162.9131

BEL20_DIVISOR100

29.2382

HANGSENG_DIVISOR100

233.0639

Table: Overview of values ​​for DIVISOR100 for the various stock exchanges

Dividing the number of points of each stock market by the DIVISOR100-value, the stock market is reindexed at 100 points. The AEX ended on December 31, 2013 at 401.79, and the number of points for the AEX is now divided by 4.0179, the value of the AEX_DIVISOR100. The DAX ended December 31, 2013 at 9552.16 and the number of points on the DAX is now divided by 95.5216, the value of the DAX_DIVISOR100. To this the indexes of these stock exchanges on reindex-date January 1, 2014 are at 100 points.

The advantage of this method of re-indexing is that each stock market retains its own characteristic properties, such as composition and calculation and that the history of the market chart also is retained. The technical analyst can still continue to apply the same methods to the stock market graph and recognize patterns in the graph.

For the citizens of Europe the stock markets are much more transparent with this reindexing.

The closing position of the market prices at June 30, 2014 without reindexing:

AEX

413.59

DJIA

16826.60

DAX

9833.07

S&P

1960.23

FTSE100

6743.90

NASDAQ

4408.18

CAC40

4422.84

NIKKEI

15162.60

BEL20

3127.21

HANGSENG

23190.72

The closing position of the market prices at June 30, 2014 after reindexing:

AEX_2014_100

102.91

DJIA_2014_100

101.51

DAX_2014_100

102.94

S&P500_2014_100

106.05

FTSE100_2014_100

99.92

NASDAQ_2014_100

105.54

CAC40_2014_100

102.95

NIKKEI_2014_100

93.07

BEL20_2014_100

106.96

HANGSENG_2014_100

99.50

 

At a glance, citizens can see how a stock market is doing compared to the 100 points. He sees immediately what percentage the index declined or rose from January 1, 2014. Comparing market indices inside and outside Europe is a piece of cake. The emotion factor in the current formulas of the market indices, the reluctance and or euphoria of investors caused by large fluctuations in points  is greatly reduced by the re-indexing, and hence the rationality of citizens and investors will predominate.

Transition and costs

In order for the citizens of Europe to get used to the idea of ​​re-indexing of the exchanges, the old index values can still be published alongside the new index values ​​during a transition period​​. In due course they will only have a view for the new index values​​. The cost of this project for the European citizens will be nil; the formulas that calculates market indices are already changed several times annually.

For additional background information:

The Dow Jones Industrial Average: a Fata Morgana

Stock Market Indices Are Fata Morganas

Wim Grommen

Mr. Grommen was a teacher in mathematics and physics for eight years at secondary schools. The last twenty years he trained programmers in Oracle-software. The last 16 years he studied transitions, social transformation processes, the S-curve and transitions in relation to market indices. Articles about these topics have been published in various magazines / sites in The Netherlands and Belgium.

Copyright 2014 © Wim Grommen - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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