Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24
At These Levels, Buying Silver Is Like Getting It At $5 In 2003 - 28th Oct 24
Nvidia Numero Uno Selling Shovels in the AI Gold Rush - 28th Oct 24
The Future of Online Casinos - 28th Oct 24
Panic in the Air As Stock Market Correction Delivers Deep Opps in AI Tech Stocks - 27th Oct 24
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! - 27th Oct 24
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's - 27th Oct 24
7 Days of Crypto Opportunities Starts NOW - 27th Oct 24
The Power Law in Venture Capital: How Visionary Investors Like Yuri Milner Have Shaped the Future - 27th Oct 24
This Points To Significantly Higher Silver Prices - 27th Oct 24
US House Prices Trend Forecast 2024 to 2026 - 11th Oct 24
US Housing Market Analysis - Immigration Drives House Prices Higher - 30th Sep 24
Stock Market October Correction - 30th Sep 24
The Folly of Tariffs and Trade Wars - 30th Sep 24
Gold: 5 principles to help you stay ahead of price turns - 30th Sep 24
The Everything Rally will Spark multi year Bull Market - 30th Sep 24
US FIXED MORTGAGES LIMITING SUPPLY - 23rd Sep 24
US Housing Market Free Equity - 23rd Sep 24
US Rate Cut FOMO In Stock Market Correction Window - 22nd Sep 24
US State Demographics - 22nd Sep 24
Gold and Silver Shine as the Fed Cuts Rates: What’s Next? - 22nd Sep 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks:Nothing Can Topple This Market - 22nd Sep 24
US Population Growth Rate - 17th Sep 24
Are Stocks Overheating? - 17th Sep 24
Sentiment Speaks: Silver Is At A Major Turning Point - 17th Sep 24
If The Stock Market Turn Quickly, How Bad Can Things Get? - 17th Sep 24
IMMIGRATION DRIVES HOUSE PRICES HIGHER - 12th Sep 24
Global Debt Bubble - 12th Sep 24
Gold’s Outlook CPI Data - 12th Sep 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

UK NHS Ebola Catastrophe, Out of Control Outbreak Within Weeks

Politics / NHS Oct 08, 2014 - 01:27 AM GMT

By: N_Walayat

Politics

The case of the Spanish nurse contracting Ebola from a Spanish patient flown into Spain from West Africa and going onto infect others as patient zero for the outbreak with more than 50 being monitored, illustrates the myth of competency that surrounds the western public sector health services in that at least for 1/3rd of the time the public health services only tend to go through the motions of providing a health service which whilst most of the time the consequences for lack of consistency in competency is only to the detriment of the patient, however Ebola is completely unforgiving where any lack of competency can result in a disastrous outcome as Spain is realising today that there is a huge gap between what it's health service states it can do and what it actually delivers.


Whilst today's focus is how Spain's public health service have so spectacularly failed with just 1 Ebola patient for which the authorities had ample time to prepare for. Instead Britain’s NHS is arguable in far worse state of readiness for the public sector lack of competency disease is far more prevalent in the UK that manifests itself in DELAYS in diagnoses and treatment that can not just run in the days but months!

EBOLA IN the UK - How the Pandemic Will Happen

The UK is primed for an Ebola pandemic due to inherent culture of putting patients second, for which the likes of Ebola will be very unforgiving as where Ebola is concerned time is of the essence for this highly infectious virus due to the 12 days or so that the patient is infectious upto the point of death and remains infectious even after death.

A&E - Firstly it can take upto 6 hours to be seen in A&E and then there is a 50/50 risk that the symptoms would be dismissed and the patient sent home to further incubate the virus and spread the infection.

GPs - It can usually take upto 1 week to be seen by your GP for flu like symptoms that Ebola would tend to exhibit in the earlier stages of infection.

Hospital Referrals - It could take as long as 3 months to be referred to a specialist, many times the critical time period of 12 days that the virus can take to KILL the patient let alone infect many others. Especially as the NHS wants patients to first do the appointment dance i.e. GP refers, patient waits for a letter with password to log onto the NHS website to make an appointment, no appointments available so the patient has to go back to their GP, the result a month wasted.

Therefore don't believe state NHS propaganda of the UK being ready and able to cope with Ebola patients for the NHS culture of inconsistency ensures that the NHS WILL FAIL even more spectacularly than the Spanish health service has.

The government believing its own preparedness propaganda has compounded the potential for an UK Ebola crisis by instead of declaring it would stop all flights from affected countries during the current outbreak instead dicing with death complacently states that travellers from Sub-Saharan Africa will not even be checked for signs of infection which sows the seeds for a number of infected individuals to be allowed into the UK where only 1 would be necessary to mark Britain’s patient zero to start an outbreak, especially as free movement of people is enshrined in European union treaties no matter the risk they may pose in terms of spreading a virus.

Furthermore hundreds of UK NHS workers are being flown out to western Europe who given lack of competency will make matters worse ! And a undoubtedly a significant number of whom will become infected and then flown back into the UK who will go on to start their very own outbreaks. I can imagine the BBC 6 o'clock news naming the outbreaks, John, Julie, Simon, Mary and then giving the tallies of the number infected and deaths.

Therefore given that the number of infected people in the effected countries is doubling every 3 weeks then it is highly probable that the UK will have its own out of control Ebola outbreaks before the end of this month (October). This is INEVITABLE!

Consequences of a UK Outbreak

In zones of as much as 50 miles circumference schools will close, shops will be emptied and travel restrictions imposed as areas come under emergency quarantine controls which will impact on economic activity for quarantines will be the only real mechanisms for managing the outbreaks during the critical period of time for preventing new outbreaks from taking place nation wide.

Furthermore, for a time all hospitals near affected areas should be treated as no go areas for they will be the most likely place from where the virus will spread! As in walks an infected patient, sits in A&E for several hours infecting everyone and everything they touch then income the nurses and junior doctors, infected, who go on and infect other patients and family members and on it goes....

Stock Market Fall Out

Expect the travel, holiday and hotels sectors to be increasngly hit hard as the market will tend to discount the future.

Source and Comments:  http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article47650.html

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2014 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Comments

R.E.B
08 Oct 14, 13:59
ebola hysteria

In truth, there is little to fear. You have more chance of dying in a car crash than you do dying of Ebola. It is not an airborne virus, and as a percentage of population it has killed relatively few. Some even survive it, although admittedly a small ratio. I do not see any reason why I should lye awake at night worrying about Ebola.


Nadeem_Walayat
08 Oct 14, 22:20
Ebola Threat

Yes, its not the virus but its the politicians and public services who WILL create a nightmare out of nothing!

How ?

By sending thousands of healthcare workers to the infection zone and then spreading them on their return across Britian which is how the virus outbreaks will take place JUST as has taken place in Spain!

It only needs 1 to spark each outbreak, and by the end of this year there will be many outbreaks across Britian.

Best

NW


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in