Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24
At These Levels, Buying Silver Is Like Getting It At $5 In 2003 - 28th Oct 24
Nvidia Numero Uno Selling Shovels in the AI Gold Rush - 28th Oct 24
The Future of Online Casinos - 28th Oct 24
Panic in the Air As Stock Market Correction Delivers Deep Opps in AI Tech Stocks - 27th Oct 24
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! - 27th Oct 24
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's - 27th Oct 24
7 Days of Crypto Opportunities Starts NOW - 27th Oct 24
The Power Law in Venture Capital: How Visionary Investors Like Yuri Milner Have Shaped the Future - 27th Oct 24
This Points To Significantly Higher Silver Prices - 27th Oct 24
US House Prices Trend Forecast 2024 to 2026 - 11th Oct 24
US Housing Market Analysis - Immigration Drives House Prices Higher - 30th Sep 24
Stock Market October Correction - 30th Sep 24
The Folly of Tariffs and Trade Wars - 30th Sep 24
Gold: 5 principles to help you stay ahead of price turns - 30th Sep 24
The Everything Rally will Spark multi year Bull Market - 30th Sep 24
US FIXED MORTGAGES LIMITING SUPPLY - 23rd Sep 24
US Housing Market Free Equity - 23rd Sep 24
US Rate Cut FOMO In Stock Market Correction Window - 22nd Sep 24
US State Demographics - 22nd Sep 24
Gold and Silver Shine as the Fed Cuts Rates: What’s Next? - 22nd Sep 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks:Nothing Can Topple This Market - 22nd Sep 24
US Population Growth Rate - 17th Sep 24
Are Stocks Overheating? - 17th Sep 24
Sentiment Speaks: Silver Is At A Major Turning Point - 17th Sep 24
If The Stock Market Turn Quickly, How Bad Can Things Get? - 17th Sep 24
IMMIGRATION DRIVES HOUSE PRICES HIGHER - 12th Sep 24
Global Debt Bubble - 12th Sep 24
Gold’s Outlook CPI Data - 12th Sep 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Stock Market Breakdown And Save By The Bulls For Now......

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014 Sep 30, 2014 - 11:05 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman

Stock-Markets

The futures were rocking lower after protests in Hong Kong annihilated their market. Europe was down and we were sinking by the click with the Dow futures down nearly two points at their lows pre market. The S&P 500 1966 key-support double-low level was in jeopardy, and, sure enough, once the market opened, the S&P 500 made its way two points lower at 1964. It looked over, but strong positive divergences on the short-term sixty-minute charts saved the day as the S&P 500 came back from the lows to finish at 1977.


After being down huge early, the bulls found their way back from the dead, so even though all the major indexes finished a bit in the red, they did close over critical support areas. In the end, that's all that matters. But don't turn away from the actual overall price action, which is turning more and more violent in terms of big swings. Historically that hasn't been the best of news for the bulls after a long bull run. The market is at the same price it was on the S&P 500 in early July. Nearly three months of swings with no price appreciation. That may be a warning sign that bulls are slowly losing their hold on things. It's getting interesting.

The market is shooting off large up and down days with lots of gaps along the way. If we see 1966 on the S&P 500 go away then the bears are making progress. However, if they can remove 1950, or the long-term up-trend line, then they are in business. When bull market have been in place for a long time it doesn't come easy for the bears to kill it off. The process to turning things more bearish takes a long time to unfold. Just when it seems the bears are about to take control the bulls save the day. These days we see the bears fight right back, which shows some form of a change of trend.

Getting the market to take out critical support doesn't come simply because there are so many areas of support in terms of trend lines, gaps, and moving averages created by the relentless bulls over time. They don't just vanish. They get fought at over and over and can cause a lot of emotional decisions by the bulls, even if the market is actually weakening. It may not feel like it's getting weaker because of all the initial saves, but it very well may be. There's enough bad action recently to fire up the red flag. The S&P 500 now has three gap downs in a very short period of time. All of them are open in terms of closing back above. It used to be only solid technicals for the bulls, but now the bears are starting to create more headaches for the bulls not seen in quite some time.

Lots of room in between to drive everyone a bit nuts. Go very slow and be careful.

Jack

Jack Steiman is author of SwingTradeOnline.com ( www.swingtradeonline.com ). Former columnist for TheStreet.com, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 15-Day Trial to SwingTradeOnline.com!

© 2014 SwingTradeOnline.com

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in