Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. US Housing Market Real Estate Crash The Next Shoe To Drop – Part II - Chris_Vermeulen
2.The Coronavirus Greatest Economic Depression in History? - Nadeem_Walayat
3.US Real Estate Housing Market Crash Is The Next Shoe To Drop - Chris_Vermeulen
4.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications and AI Mega-trend Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Are Coronavirus Death Statistics Exaggerated? Worse than Seasonal Flu or Not?- Nadeem_Walayat
6.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications, Global Recession and AI Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
7.US Fourth Turning Accelerating Towards Debt Climax - James_Quinn
8.Dow Stock Market Trend Analysis and Forecast - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Britain's FAKE Coronavirus Death Statistics Exposed - Nadeem_Walayat
10.Commodity Markets Crash Catastrophe Charts - Rambus_Chartology
Last 7 days
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Big Pharma Stock for Machine Learning Life Extension Investing - 2nd Jul 20
All Eyes on Markets to Get a Refreshed Outlook - 2nd Jul 20
The Darkening Clouds on the Stock Market S&P 500 Horizon - 2nd Jul 20
US Fourth Turning Reaches Boiling Point as America Bends its Knee - 2nd Jul 20
After 2nd Quarter Economic Carnage, the Quest for Philippine Recovery - 2nd Jul 20
Gold Completes Another Washout Rotation – Here We Go - 2nd Jul 20
Roosevelt 2.0 and ‘here, hold my beer' - 2nd Jul 20
U.S. Dollar: When Almost Everyone Is Bearish... - 1st Jul 20
Politicians Prepare New Money Drops as US Dollar Weakens - 1st Jul 20
Gold Stocks Still Undervalued - 1st Jul 20
High Premiums in Physical Gold Market: Scam or Supply Crisis? - 1st Jul 20
US Stock Markets Enter Parabolic Price Move - 1st Jul 20
In The Year 2025 If Fiat Currency Can Survive - 30th Jun 20
Gold Likes the IMF Predicting a Deeper Recession - 30th Jun 20
Silver Is Still Cheap For Now - 30th Jun 20
More Stock Market Selling Ahead - 30th Jun 20
Trending Ecommerce Sites in 2020 - 30th Jun 20
Stock Market S&P 500 Approaching the Precipice - 29th Jun 20
APPLE Tech Stock for Investing to Profit from the Machine Learning Mega trend - 29th Jun 20
Student / Gamer Custom System Build June 2020 Proving Impossible - Overclockers UK - 29th Jun 20
US Dollar with Ney and Gann Angles - 29th Jun 20
Europe's Banking Sector: When (and Why) the Rout Really Began - 29th Jun 20
Will People Accept Rampant Inflation? Hell, No! - 29th Jun 20
Gold & Silver Begin The Move To New All-Time Highs - 29th Jun 20
US Stock Market Enters Parabolic Price Move – Be Prepared - 29th Jun 20
Meet BlackRock, the New Great Vampire Squid - 28th Jun 20
Stock Market S&P 500 Approaching a Defining Moment - 28th Jun 20
U.S. Long Bond: Let's Review the "Upward Point of Exhaustion" - 27th Jun 20
Gold, Copper and Silver are Must-own Metals - 27th Jun 20
Why People Have Always Held Gold - 27th Jun 20
Crude Oil Price Meets Key Resistance - 27th Jun 20
INTEL x86 Chip Giant Stock Targets Artificial Intelligence and Quantum Computing for 2020's Growth - 25th Jun 20
Gold’s Long-term Turning Point is Here - 25th Jun 20
Hainan’s ASEAN Future and Dark Clouds Over Hong Kong - 25th Jun 20
Silver Price Trend Analysis - 24th Jun 20
A Stealth Stocks Double Dip or Bear Market Has Started - 24th Jun 20
Trillion-dollar US infrastructure plan will draw in plenty of metal - 24th Jun 20
WARNING: The U.S. Banking System ISN’T as Strong as Advertised - 24th Jun 20
All That Glitters When the World Jitters is Probably Gold - 24th Jun 20
Making Sense of Crude Oil Price Narrow Trading Range - 23rd Jun 20
Elon Musk Mocks Nikola Motors as “Dumb.” Is He Right? - 23rd Jun 20
MICROSOFT Transforming from PC Software to Cloud Services AI, Deep Learning Giant - 23rd Jun 20
Stock Market Decline Resumes - 22nd Jun 20
Excellent Silver Seasonal Buying Opportunity Lies Directly Ahead - 22nd Jun 20
Where is the US Dollar trend headed ? - 22nd Jun 20
Most Shoppers have Stopped Following Supermarket Arrows, is Coughing the New Racism? - 22nd Jun 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

AI Stocks 2020-2035 15 Year Trend Forecast

The Coming U.S. Economic Collapse Will Trigger a Revolution

Economics / US Economy Aug 19, 2014 - 03:03 PM GMT

By: Harry_Dent

Economics

When the next economic collapse comes, and it’s inevitable, the revolution against the upper class will kick into higher gear!

Let me explain using my long-term economic cycle — the new 80-year, four season, Generation Wave — and an important 250-year cycle…


Just like the weather, the economy shifts through four seasons as generations pass through it: spring, summer, fall and winter. There are dynamic fluctuations that favor innovation… then efficiency… then inflation… then deflation… all through different booms and busts.

A boom in the fall follows the summer inflationary season. During this fall boom, new technologies move into the mainstream and entrepreneurs and financiers gain the most (as we have witnessed since the late 1970s).

That, in turn, creates a longer-term trend…

That is, everyday people gain as well, thanks to higher wages and increased productivity.

These trends occurred frequently from 1933 to 1972. Everyday people adopted the technologies that enabled a rise in productivity, and so enjoyed an increase in their wages, bringing lower-cost products and a better standard of living.

In fact, we saw the last broad, middle-class boom during the spring season of the economic revolution from 1942 to 1968. During that time, overall income of the average household grew faster than the income of the top 1% and top 10%!

In 1929, the top 1% held 50% of the wealth, but they lost their grip on it. By 1976, they only held 24% of the wealth. Then they regained some of that lost wealth, holding 50% again by 2007.

During normal cycles, 2007 would have been the peak of such income inequality. But not this time…

Since 2000, the middle class in developed countries like America and Europe has seen their wages stagnate as emerging countries like China take over the manufacturing and office tasks at lower prices. We call it “The Great Asian Deflation.”

And the cost of education has inflated so fast that it’s increasingly out of reach of the average person (but that’s a whole other topic for a future article).

However, entrepreneurs have done well, as they create long-term gains for the economy and everyday people through their innovations, new industries and business models.

And financial engineering on Wall Street has accelerated (unfortunately), creating greater speculation and leverage in the economy and generating greater profits for those invested (along with the potential for bubbles to burst like in the 1930s).

The Federal Reserve and central banks around the world have also done some engineering of their own, artificially maintaining stock and debt bubbles. They’ve poured free money into the economy, benefiting the banks, financial institutions and the top 1%.

But here’s the rub.

All of this “engineering” has altered the natural cycle. Instead of peaking in 2007, as it should have, the rich have continued to prosper while everyday people have stagnated or declined.

The thing is, when you fight against nature, you eventually lose. And I believe that all the manipulations and engineering that has distorted the natural cycle will eventually be the Western world’s undoing.

This extended bubble is now (belatedly) reaching its peak, a fact we know because income inequality has become so extreme. We’re rapidly approaching the point where, unless something changes, everyday people will start to revolt.

This is a fact further supported by the larger political and social revolutionary cycle that occurs about every 250 years, when the average Joe rises up against the excessive gains and tyranny of the rich.

In the past we had the Protestant Revolution (early to mid-1500s) against the tyranny of the Catholic Church and the American and French Revolutions in the mid- to late-1700s…

And now it’s time for the next one.

I think that income inequality and special interests have created such an extreme situation today that everyday people will begin to revolt in developed countries. It won’t just be those in the dictator-driven economies of the emerging world trying to make themselves heard and force democracy for the first time.

Sure, the coming “Western” revolution won’t be pretty, but it will usher in the next great resurgence of the middle class in developed countries, and it will accelerate the new middle-class surge in emerging countries.

This revolution will raise the everyday person up and bring the upper class back down to size — as has every economic revolution in history. And as new technologies move mainstream and become less exclusive, the uprising will gather momentum.

So if you’re rich, protect your gains now before Rome falls.

If you’re middle class, hunker down and wait for your day in the sun. It will be well worth it when that time comes.

Harry

http://economyandmarkets.com

Follow me on Twitter @HarryDentjr

Harry studied economics in college in the ’70s, but found it vague and inconclusive. He became so disillusioned by the state of the profession that he turned his back on it. Instead, he threw himself into the burgeoning New Science of Finance, which married economic research and market research and encompassed identifying and studying demographic trends, business cycles, consumers’ purchasing power and many, many other trends that empowered him to forecast economic and market changes.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules