Stock Market Ukraine-Triggered Volatility, But a Flat Finish

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: Today was a busy one for economic updates: the Producer Price Index, Industrial Production and Consumer Sentiment. But the market was primarily focused on the international scene — most notably the conflict in Ukraine. The S&P 500 rose at the open, hitting its 0.45% intraday high an hour later. The breaking news from Europe then sent the index into a sharp nosedive to its -0.70% intraday low shortly before noon. It slowly slogged its way back to an essentially flat finish, down -0.01% for the day. On a brighter note, the index was up 1.22% for the week.

Treasury yields again headed lower. The yield on the 10-year Note closed at 2.33%, down 7 bps from yesterday’s close and a new interim closing low at a level last seen on June 19, 2013. Similarly the yield on the 30-year Bond ended the day at 3.13%, its lowest since the 3.09% on May 16, 2013.

Here is a 15-minute chart of the week.

Here’s a daily chart of the SPY ETF. Volume was a ghostly 36% below its moving average yesterday, but today it was 57% above that level.

A Perspective on Drawdowns

The chart below incorporates a percent-off-high calculation to illustrate the drawdowns greater than 5% since the trough in 2009.

For a longer-term perspective, here is a pair of charts based on daily closes starting with the all-time high prior to the Great Recession.

- Phil

www.philstockworld.com

Philip R. Davis is a founder of Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com), a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders. Mr. Davis is a serial entrepreneur, having founded software company Accu-Title, a real estate title insurance software solution, and is also the President of the Delphi Consulting Corp., an M&A consulting firm that helps large and small companies obtain funding and close deals. He was also the founder of Accu-Search, a property data corporation that was sold to DataTrace in 2004 and Personality Plus, a precursor to eHarmony.com. Phil was a former editor of a UMass/Amherst humor magazine and it shows in his writing -- which is filled with colorful commentary along with very specific ideas on stock option purchases (Phil rarely holds actual stocks). Visit: Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com)

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