Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

The U.S. stock market indexes gained between 0.3% and 0.5% on Monday, following volatile trading session, as investors continued to hesitate. Our yesterday’s neutral outlook has proved to be quite accurate. The S&P 500 index bounced off the support at around 1,840-1,850, which may be considered as a positive signal, however, the nearest important resistance remains at 1,880-1,900, marked by the April 4 all-time high of 1,897.28. There is still no clear short-term direction, as the broad market continues to fluctuate within its March consolidation. Investors weigh corporate earnings releases, economic data announcements (anxiously awaited Friday’s employment report, among others), tomorrow’s FOMC Rate Decision announcement, Russia-Ukraine conflict. These various factors seem to cancel each other – at least for now. Luckily, the chart analysis can give us some insight regardless of the above.

Expectations before the opening of today’s session are positive, with index futures currently up 0.2-0.3%. The European stock market indexes have gained 0.3-0.5% so far. Investors will now wait for some economic data announcements: Case-Shiller 20-city Index at 9:00 a.m., Consumer Confidence at 10:00 a.m. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) trades in an intraday uptrend, just below last week’s highs. The resistance is at 1,875-1,880, and the nearest important support is at around 1,860-1,865, as the 15-minute chart shows:

The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) bounced off the support at 3,480-3,500, which is a positive signal, as it may end its recent downward correction. However, the nearest resistance is at 3,600-3,620:

Concluding, yesterday’s market action has been quite bullish. We may see some short-term uptrend, however, the S&P 500 remains in a month-long consolidation. Will we see new all-time highs for the broad market? In our opinion, small speculative long position with a relatively tight stop-loss (at around 1,850 for the S&P 500 index) seems justified at this moment.

Thank you.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Trading Strategist
Stock Trading Alerts
SunshineProfits.com

Stock market strategist, who has been known for quality of his technical and fundamental analysis since the late nineties. He is interested in forecasting market behavior based on both traditional and innovative methods of technical analysis. Paul has made his name by developing mechanical trading systems. Paul is the author of Sunshine Profits’ premium service for stock traders: Stock Trading Alerts.

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Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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