Stock Market Uncertainty Following Recent Rally
Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014 Feb 19, 2014 - 04:24 AM GMTOur intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
The U.S. stock market indexes gained between 0.1% and 0.8% on Friday, extending their recent rally as investors continued to buy stocks at higher levels. The S&P 500 index got close to its January 15 all-time high of 1,850.84 (Friday's daily high at 1,841.65). The nearest important resistance is at 1,840-1,850. On the other hand, the support remains at 1,800-1,810, marked by the November-December consolidation, among others, as we can see on the daily chart:
Expectations before the opening of today's session are virtually flat, with index futures currently mixed between -0.1% and 0.0%. The European stock market indexes have lost 0.1-0.5% so far, following weaker-than expected economic data release from Germany. Investors will now wait for some U.S. economic data announcements: Empire Manufacturing number at 8:30 a.m., NAHB Housing Market Index at 10:00 a.m. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) trades slightly below its recent highs, fluctuating within a rather narrow range. The resistance is at around 1,840, and the nearest support is at 1,825-1,830, as the 15-minute chart shows:
The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) is in an analogous short-term consolidation, just below its recent highs. The resistance is at around 3,670, and the support is at 3,640-3,650. For now, it looks like a topping consolidation, as the market might retrace some of the recent uptrend:
Thank you.
Paul Rejczak
Stock Trading Strategist
Stock Trading Alerts
SunshineProfits.com
Stock market strategist, who has been known for quality of his technical and fundamental analysis since the late nineties. He is interested in forecasting market behavior based on both traditional and innovative methods of technical analysis. Paul has made his name by developing mechanical trading systems. Paul is the author of Sunshine Profits’ premium service for stock traders: Stock Trading Alerts.
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