Best Financial Markets Analysis Article What do you know, the ProShares UltraShort Oil & Gas ETF (AMEX: DUG) is going up, but the major equity market ETFs, like Q's, SPY, DIA, are barely going down! In other words, it is just the energy sector (XLE) and other commodity sectors, that are getting clobbered while the main equity sectors behave very well after a 4% advance. This is what I was thinking on Monday when I managed to buy the high of the DUG-- that the energy and commodity trades (the crowed ones like gold and oil) were about kaput on the upside, which should in theory reverse, sending the DUG above 42.20 into the 45.00-46.00 target zone.

Well, yesterday's huge rally on The Street also included energy, which took my "short" position in the oil and gas sector to the cleaners. Today I am getting some relief, but should I expect the DUG to climb all the way back to 42.00? Well, I expect 41.20/60 to the next upside target in the DUG, but I doubt it will hurdle 42.00 unless the major equity market ETF's begin to really give back a significant portion of yesterday's advance, which I do NOT expect. I will continue to monitor the DUG closely in the upcoming hours.

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction

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