Why Bernanke and His Pals Are Terrified
Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing May 22, 2013 - 03:44 PM GMTTwo big events have occurred/ are occurring.
1) Chicago Fed President, Charles Evans who is one of the biggest pushers for QE, stated that the Fed has “the appropriate monetary policy in place” and that the economy is “improving quite a lot.”
2) The Bank of Japan is beginning a two-day policy meeting today.
Regarding #1, Evans has been one of the biggest pushers for more QE. Throughout 2011 and 2012, every time he appeared on TV he stated that the Fed should do more.
So for Evans to suddenly change his tune and state that the Fed’s current policy is “appropriate,” indicates a significant shift in tone. This goes along with the Fed’s recent hint at tapering QE, which we’ve noted before on these pages. It’s now becoming more and more clear that the Fed is planning on tapering QE in the coming months and is trying to manage down investor expectations.
Which means that stocks are going to be losing some (not all) of their life support.
Regarding #2, Japan is beginning a two-day monetary policy today. As noted yesterday, Japan is Ground Zero for the great QE experiment. For decades now, Bernanke and his pals have claimed that the biggest problem with the Fed’s actions during the Great Depression was that it didn’t do enough.
Japan, which has now engaged in NINE QE efforts, has finally hit the “enough” stage by announcing a record $1.2 trillion QE plan. To put this in perspective, Japan’s economy is $5.86 trillion, so this single QE effort is equal to 20% of their GDP.
If this plan fails to bring about economic growth in Japan, or worse still fails to bring about growth and unleashes inflation, then it’s GAME OVER for Central Bankers. Their one great claim “we’re not doing enough QE” will have been proven to be total bunk.
At that point there is literally nothing they can do.
We’re keeping an eye on the meeting in Japan for hints that QE isn’t working or that the Bank of Japan may attempt to taper it. If this proves to be the case, then we’re in for a truly rough time in the markets.
Investors, take note… the financial system is sending us major warnings…
If you are not already preparing for a potential market collapse, now is the time to be doing so.
I’ve been warning subscribers of my Private Wealth Advisory that we were heading for a dark period in the markets. I’ve outlined precisely how this will play out as well as which investments will profit from another bout of Deflation.
To join us…
Graham Summers
Chief Market Strategist
Good Investing!
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I call it The Financial Crisis “Round Two” Survival Kit. And its 17 pages contain a wealth of information about portfolio protection, which investments to own and how to take out Catastrophe Insurance on the stock market (this “insurance” paid out triple digit gains in the Autumn of 2008).
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Graham also writes Private Wealth Advisory, a monthly investment advisory focusing on the most lucrative investment opportunities the financial markets have to offer. Graham understands the big picture from both a macro-economic and capital in/outflow perspective. He translates his understanding into finding trends and undervalued investment opportunities months before the markets catch on: the Private Wealth Advisory portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 three of the last five years, including a 7% return in 2008 vs. a 37% loss for the S&P 500.
Previously, Graham worked as a Senior Financial Analyst covering global markets for several investment firms in the Mid-Atlantic region. He’s lived and performed research in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and the United States.
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Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.
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