Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24
At These Levels, Buying Silver Is Like Getting It At $5 In 2003 - 28th Oct 24
Nvidia Numero Uno Selling Shovels in the AI Gold Rush - 28th Oct 24
The Future of Online Casinos - 28th Oct 24
Panic in the Air As Stock Market Correction Delivers Deep Opps in AI Tech Stocks - 27th Oct 24
Stocks, Bitcoin, Crypto's Counting Down to President Donald Pump! - 27th Oct 24
UK Budget 2024 - What to do Before 30th Oct - Pensions and ISA's - 27th Oct 24
7 Days of Crypto Opportunities Starts NOW - 27th Oct 24
The Power Law in Venture Capital: How Visionary Investors Like Yuri Milner Have Shaped the Future - 27th Oct 24
This Points To Significantly Higher Silver Prices - 27th Oct 24
US House Prices Trend Forecast 2024 to 2026 - 11th Oct 24
US Housing Market Analysis - Immigration Drives House Prices Higher - 30th Sep 24
Stock Market October Correction - 30th Sep 24
The Folly of Tariffs and Trade Wars - 30th Sep 24
Gold: 5 principles to help you stay ahead of price turns - 30th Sep 24
The Everything Rally will Spark multi year Bull Market - 30th Sep 24
US FIXED MORTGAGES LIMITING SUPPLY - 23rd Sep 24
US Housing Market Free Equity - 23rd Sep 24
US Rate Cut FOMO In Stock Market Correction Window - 22nd Sep 24
US State Demographics - 22nd Sep 24
Gold and Silver Shine as the Fed Cuts Rates: What’s Next? - 22nd Sep 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks:Nothing Can Topple This Market - 22nd Sep 24
US Population Growth Rate - 17th Sep 24
Are Stocks Overheating? - 17th Sep 24
Sentiment Speaks: Silver Is At A Major Turning Point - 17th Sep 24
If The Stock Market Turn Quickly, How Bad Can Things Get? - 17th Sep 24
IMMIGRATION DRIVES HOUSE PRICES HIGHER - 12th Sep 24
Global Debt Bubble - 12th Sep 24
Gold’s Outlook CPI Data - 12th Sep 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Safer Way to Get Exposure to U.S. Housing Market

Housing-Market / US Housing Apr 18, 2013 - 06:17 PM GMT

By: Profit_Confidential

Housing-Market

George Leong writes: I’m talking about the housing market and the continued recovery taking hold. The housing market is well off its early 2009 lows and is striving higher on the chart.

The number of foreclosures across America is declining, and this is a good sign, as a high foreclosure rate tends to place downward pressure on home prices.


If you are looking at picking up real estate, you better do so soon.

As long as the Federal Reserve continues to pursue its bond-buying program and place downward pressure on financing rates, the housing market will continue to improve. It’s all about the Fed and the easy flow of money into the economy. (For more about how the Fed’s easy money policy has helped the rich, read “Higher Taxes: Who Cares? Not the Rich.”)

In March, a total of 152,500 U.S. properties were foreclosed, which was a 23% year-over-year decline—this also drove the number of foreclosures in March to 442,117 properties, representing the best month since the second quarter in 2007, when the mess in the housing market soon began. (Source: “U.S. Foreclosure Starts Edge Higher for Second Straight Month in March as Bank Repossessions Continue to Drop,” RealtyTrac, April 9, 2013.)

It’s clear the housing market is on the right path, but whether it can continue to be as hot as it has been is uncertain; my feeling is that the easy money has already been made.

And what has been impressive has been the housing market’s recovery in spite of the lack of a strong recovery in the jobs market, which continues to struggle along, as demonstrated by the creation of a mere 88,000 new jobs in March and the edging up of the unemployment rate.

Once the jobs situation improves to where we are seeing the consistent creation of hundreds of thousands of new jobs monthly, I expect the housing market to follow suit.

The housing starts and building permits reports support the housing market recovery. In March, there were an impressive annualized 1.04 million housing starts, which was above the Briefing.com estimate of 935,000 and the upwardly revised 968,000 in February.

We did see some softness in the amount of housing projects that are in the pipeline. The building permits reading fell to an annualized 902,000 in March, below the Briefing.com estimate of 955,000 and the 939,000 building permits in February. Watch this metric, as it may suggest that there is some slowing on the horizon for the housing market.

Along with the lower foreclosure rates and higher buying activity have come steadily rising home prices. The S&P/Case-Shiller index, comprising the 20 largest U.S. metropolitan cites, increased a better-than-expected 8.1% in January, representing the 12th straight up month.

The technical analysis of the chart for the S&P Homebuilders Select Industry Index (NYSE/XHB) below shows the upward trend from the October 2011 bottom to its recent high in March, prior to its retrenchment down to the bottom trendline support. We could see a rally if the moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) turns upward and the support line holds, but be careful.


Chart courtesy of www.StockCharts.com

At this juncture, I’m optimistic; but as I said, much of the easy money in the housing market has been made.

If you still hold some of the hot homebuilder stocks, I suggest taking some money off the table.

Source: http://www.profitconfidential.com/real-estate-market/still-looking-to...

http://www.profitconfidential.com

We publish Profit Confidential daily for our Lombardi Financial customers because we believe many of those reporting today’s financial news simply don’t know what they are telling you! Reporters are trained to tell you the news—not what it can mean for you! What you read in the popular news services, be it the daily newspapers, on the internet or TV, is the news from a “reporter’s opinion.” And there’s the big difference.

With Profit Confidential you are receiving the news with the opinions, commentaries and interpretations of seasoned financial analysts and economists. We analyze the actions of the stock market, precious metals, interest rates, real estate and other investments so we can tell you what we believe today’s financial news will mean for you tomorrow!

© 2013 Copyright Profit Confidential - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in