In our 10 am posting to subscribers yesterday we discussed the powerful up-gap opening in the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) and the fact that the GLD had hurdled the resistance line of its multi-month bullish price channel. We wrote: "This is very interesting action in the GLD -- to see if the up-gap up here can be preserved…[and] to see if the GLD can hold above its upper channel line (96.67) because usually a thrust above the upper channel concludes the underlying upleg."

Forward fast to today's action and what we find is that 1) yesterday's up-gap has been more than filled completely, and 2) the GLD has reversed significantly back below the upper channel line, thereby suggesting to me (technically) that indeed a significant near-term peak has been established at yesterday's high of 97.74. My initial downside target is 93.75 to 92.70 in the GLD.

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction

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