Most Popular
1. Banking Crisis is Stocks Bull Market Buying Opportunity - Nadeem_Walayat
2.The Crypto Signal for the Precious Metals Market - P_Radomski_CFA
3. One Possible Outcome to a New World Order - Raymond_Matison
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Apple AAPL Stock Trend and Earnings Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
6.AI, Stocks, and Gold Stocks – Connected After All - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Stock Market CHEAT SHEET - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.US Debt Ceiling Crisis Smoke and Mirrors Circus - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Silver Price May Explode - Avi_Gilburt
10.More US Banks Could Collapse -- A Lot More- EWI
Last 7 days
Stock Market Volatility (VIX) - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 25th Mar 24
The Federal Reserve Didn't Do Anything But It Had Plenty to Say - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Breadth - 24th Mar 24
Stock Market Margin Debt Indicator - 24th Mar 24
It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - 24th Mar 24
Stocks: What to Make of All This Insider Selling- 24th Mar 24
Money Supply Continues To Fall, Economy Worsens – Investors Don’t Care - 24th Mar 24
Get an Edge in the Crypto Market with Order Flow - 24th Mar 24
US Presidential Election Cycle and Recessions - 18th Mar 24
US Recession Already Happened in 2022! - 18th Mar 24
AI can now remember everything you say - 18th Mar 24
Bitcoin Crypto Mania 2024 - MicroStrategy MSTR Blow off Top! - 14th Mar 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - 11th Mar 24
Gold and the Long-Term Inflation Cycle - 11th Mar 24
Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - 11th Mar 24
Two Reasons The Fed Manipulates Interest Rates - 11th Mar 24
US Dollar Trend 2024 - 9th Mar 2024
The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - 9th Mar 2024
Investors Don’t Believe the Gold Rally, Still Prefer General Stocks - 9th Mar 2024
Paper Gold Vs. Real Gold: It's Important to Know the Difference - 9th Mar 2024
Stocks: What This "Record Extreme" Indicator May Be Signaling - 9th Mar 2024
My 3 Favorite Trade Setups - Elliott Wave Course - 9th Mar 2024
Bitcoin Crypto Bubble Mania! - 4th Mar 2024
US Interest Rates - When WIll the Fed Pivot - 1st Mar 2024
S&P Stock Market Real Earnings Yield - 29th Feb 2024
US Unemployment is a Fake Statistic - 29th Feb 2024
U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - 29th Feb 2024
What a Breakdown in Silver Mining Stocks! What an Opportunity! - 29th Feb 2024
Why AI will Soon become SA - Synthetic Intelligence - The Machine Learning Megatrend - 29th Feb 2024
Keep Calm and Carry on Buying Quantum AI Tech Stocks - 19th Feb 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

How an Economy Collapses... and How to Protect Yourself

Economics / Great Depression II Dec 09, 2011 - 02:30 AM GMT

By: Paul_Mladjenovic

Economics

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere are growing fears that an economic collapse is on the way. Is this fear justified? Before we conclude that it is a by-gone conclusion and that it's time to head for the hills, let's first cover how and why an economy collapses. In this essay I talk about economic collapse as an "internal event". Keep in mind that there are "external" reasons for an economy to collapse (such as war and/or natural events such as earthquakes etc.)


Keep in mind first that we are talking about an "economic" collapse... don't confuse this with a "currency" collapse. History has witnessed thousands of currencies collapsing into oblivion and in many of those the economy in question was able to get through it without general harm to the economic infrastucture and much of society. Yes...currency collapses are very painful but they don't necessarily spell doom for society.

My former country, Yugoslavia, experienced both a currency collapse and also an economic collapse. It was, after all, a communist country (hard-core socialism) and so it was already an "economic basket case". The populace was already suffering before its currency was hyper-inflated into oblivion. During 1993-94, Yugoslavia's hyperinflation caused the dinar (its currency at the time) to become worthless and the currency indeed collapsed. As I have written before, "Economic disintegration leads to social disintegration". Soon the currency collapse led to economic collapse. Chaos and civil war followed.

Could a similar economic collapse occur in the United States?! The harsh truth is that it is not out of the question and...let's face it... we are clearly trending in that direction.

Back to the central topic of "how an economy collapses". It can easily boil down to the simple dynamic of supply and demand. A good economy is a reasonable balance between supply (production) and demand (consumption). Put simply, when consumption greatly exceeds production, you have an "imbalance" which (if not rectified) leads to an unsustainable situation resulting in collapse. The most important hallmark of a successful economy is production. This means that people are producing (goods and services) through work, effort, ambition, innovation and initiative. This is usually embodied in the private sector. The most important economic incentive for production is profit.

The problem is consumption and the culprit is usually found in a single entity...government. No matter how you slice or spin it, for reasons both good and bad, the government (the public sector) is an engine of consumption. More government means more consumption and it also means a coercive burden on the private sector. What happens when the folks in the private sector can no longer sustain the folks in the government?

The current data bear out this imbalance. It was recently reported that over 48 million people in the US receive food stamps. Our current federal government budget deficits annually exceed a mind-boggling $1 trillion. Total federal debt is surpassing $15 trillion. Unfunded federal liabilities (Social Security and Medicare) are passed $50 trillion. Then there is war! War and national defense is also very expensive. Oh...and don't forget about massive bank bailouts too. This explosion of massive spending can not be sustained and the economic danger is unprecedented.

As I wrote earlier, Yugoslavia was a communist country. Communism is an extreme form of "statism" or the idea that "the State" ...government... should be growing in size, scope and reach. A communist government typically rewards or encourages consumption while simultaneously discouraging or penalizing production. Communism obliterates the "profit motive"...so why bother producing? Therefore, communism (or other form of totalitarian government) never survives on its own. The imbalance is impossible to carry indefinitely.

Never forget that federal and state governments are engines of consumption. Government does not produce wealth... it can only take it or destroy it. Politicians promise more and more to win favor with voters. More and more folks are either employed by the government or are dependent on government. Meanwhile, less and less folks are producing and paying for this burden. Is it such a mystery that this type of dynamic usually ends badly? We can only hope that our leaders and our society take the necessary and painful steps to mitigate or avert catastrophe (such as shrink government). Keep praying!

You and I will not be able to turn the situation around in any meaningful way (not yet anyway) but we can take steps to protect ourselves as citizens and investors. I will provide more details in part two of this essay (coming shortly) and make available more video commentaries at my blog, but let me reveal the first thing you should do:

Accumulate gold and silver physical bullion to be diversified away from the risk of paper investments (I cover this in a short video commentary found at my blog (or my Youtube channel (www.youtube.com/paulmlad). That is a first step and an easy step that anyone can do immediately. I will give more details on this and other considerations in part two of this essay and other videos to come.

The bottom line is that an economic collapse will be an ugly event. Let Greece be a warning to you. Even lesser events (such as a banking crisis) could wipe out your savings or investments. Preparing for the potential problems of an economic collapse is prudent and much of what you can do does not require a major lifestyle change (such as moving to a distant cave). The point is that the majority of citizens and investors are not adequately protecting themselves.

What are you doing to minimize the risk? See you in part two (coming soon)...

Paul Mladjenovic is the author of “Stock Investing for Dummies” and his latest seminar “Cash in on the Commodities Super-Boom” is at his website RavingCapitalist.com. Video commentaries by Paul Mladjenovic on the precious metals, the economy & financial markets can also be found at PreciousMetalsInvesting.org .

© 2011 Copyright Paul Mladjenovic - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Comments

Dave Baran
10 Dec 11, 13:03
Free Trade . . .

Hello, Paul:

I thought you were going to give us some tips on how to prepare

for the inevitable, ie. like by a food supply, build up an energy back-

up supply, store goods of immediate value, not gold/silver but items

of immediate need. How about a little more on the basics?

Dave Bara



10 Dec 11, 15:23
'Small' governnent

You sound like Ronald Reagan. 'Small' governnent is the answer once again until 'big' business needs bailing out. Privatisation has meant the transfer of public wealth to private wealth which is squandered not re-invested. The 'trickle down' didn't happen. As the poor get poorer the bottom of the economy shrinks, dragging the middle down, who reduce spending - a snowball effect of contraction.


james k
11 Dec 11, 04:35
How to quickly fix the problem

cull the population of worthless eaters.


Bobbie Brandel
11 Dec 11, 08:43
Buy hyperinflated gold?

It seems every article I read touts gold as the safety net.

1. I cannot afford gold.

2. Last I checked, it was inedible.


Dr Ray
11 Dec 11, 15:38
Eating Gold

Hi Bobbie,

I can give you a good recipe for £50 notes if you don't eat gold.

Layer £50 notes with alternating layers of cheese sauce and tomato sauce and finish off with a layer of grated cheese.

So much more satisfying than gold and so affordable in these times of austerity.


Steve
12 Dec 11, 01:14
E175

Gold is an ingredient of many luxury gourmet foods and drinks.

I know of a liquer, desserts and a few cheeses.

It has an E number to itself - 175

Some believe they will enjoy health benefits.

Perhaps if there is extreme poverty, the rich could be mugged and told to squat in the street.


Anonymous
12 Dec 11, 14:45
Eaters?

James k wrote: "How to quickly fix the problem?

Cull the population of worthless eaters"

Reply:

We should start with you!


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in