Stock Market Reply of 2008 Financial Armageddon Panic All Over Again?
Stock-Markets / Financial Crash Nov 20, 2011 - 06:58 AM GMTWhen I was looking at some long term charts, I found out that the current situation for the SP500 is very similar to the situation in 2008.
Check out the following chart below, and you will see why…
- The RSI hasn’t been overbought anymore in a long time, indicating weakness in stock markets… The same was true in 2008.
- The SP500 found heavy resistance in the 1260-1280 zone (just as we warned our subscribers), which was the low of June 2011. A similar thing happened back in May 2008, where price ran into resistance of the November 2007 low.
- Look at the exponential moving averages (20, 50, 100 and 200 EMA’s). They have now been converging as price rallied, but right now, price is falling below these EMA’s, just like in late May 2008.
- The MACD is now flirting to break the green support line, just like in May 2008, right before financial armageddon occured, and price is right at the green support line now, just like in 2008.
Chart courtesy stockcharts.com
If we are about to see the exact move as in 2008, this is what it would look like…
Chart courtesy stockcharts.com
The Ted Spread, which is the difference between the interest rates on interbank loans and on short-term U.S. government debt or “T-bills”, is rising. This indicates that the banks don’t trust each other anymore. The same thing happened in 2008.
Chart: Bloomberg
One positive thing however, is that when we look at the big picture, we are nowhere near the 2008 highs (yet)…
Chart: Bloomberg
In our weekend reports and nightly updates, we will describe the implications for the different asset classes (USD, Gold, Silver, Stocks, Bonds,…). Would you like to know more? Feel free to subscribe to our services. Willem Weytjenswww.profitimes.com
© 2011 Copyright Willem Weytjens - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.
© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.