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Fed's Operation Twist a "Visual" Success, 30-Year Treasury Bond Yield Drops 17 Basis Points

Interest-Rates / US Bonds Sep 21, 2011 - 02:30 PM GMT

By: Mike_Shedlock

Interest-Rates

Curve Watchers Analysis is following the Operation Twist Story.



Operation Twist Early Results


Yields Rise at Short End, Sink on Long End


Yields are behaving as the Fed wanted. Note that the 30-year long bond is flirting with a sub-3% print. However, much of the move in long-term rates was front-run. Nearly everyone expected this move (even 70% of economists). I am wondering what the other economists were thinking.

The one-day results are a spectacular success visually as depicted in the above charts. Unfortunately, none of this can possibly do much of anything for the real economy, and the patient will die

By Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List

Mike Shedlock / Mish is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management . Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.

Visit Sitka Pacific's Account Management Page to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.

I do weekly podcasts every Thursday on HoweStreet and a brief 7 minute segment on Saturday on CKNW AM 980 in Vancouver.

When not writing about stocks or the economy I spends a great deal of time on photography and in the garden. I have over 80 magazine and book cover credits. Some of my Wisconsin and gardening images can be seen at MichaelShedlock.com .

© 2011 Mike Shedlock, All Rights Reserved.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Comments

Seth Barani
21 Sep 11, 23:46
Fed is behaving as predicted

Fed's only concern is how to service the sovereign debt. I pointed out a year ago that once they lower the short term rate and convert long term bonds into short term, they will lower the long term rate and convert the short term notes into 30 year bonds to lock in the low rates. It has done that very predictably. Fed has shown no concern for the economy. If it had any, it would seriously look into lending practices, force banks to lend, levy a charge for overnight deposits, evaluate the structural problems like overleveraged commercial and retail debt, work to improve the disposable income on the hands of people and prepare the groundwork for increased demand of goods. Fed did none of it. It has a diehard foolish faith on the Yield Curve and how twisting an yield curve would do miracles. Yield Curve is a consequence of market conditions. Putting that cart before the horse and expecting the vehicle to move? And then wondering why the cart isn't going forward? In my world those people would get jail term, not six digit salaries. Economy is a subject that cannot be reduced to a simple sentence "let me twist the yield curve and everything will be fine!".


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