Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Stock Markets and the History Chart of the End of the World (With Presidential Cycles) - 28th Aug 20
2.Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook... AI Tech Stocks Buying Levels and Valuations Q3 2020 - 31st Aug 20
3.The Inflation Mega-trend is Going Hyper! - 11th Sep 20
4.Is this the End of Capitalism? - 13th Sep 20
5.What's Driving Gold, Silver and What's Next? - 3rd Sep 20
6.QE4EVER! - 9th Sep 20
7.Gold Price Trend Forecast Analysis - Part1 - 7th Sep 20
8.The Fed May “Cause” The Next Stock Market Crash - 3rd Sep 20
9.Bitcoin Price Crash - You Will be Suprised What Happens Next - 7th Sep 20
10.NVIDIA Stock Price Soars on RTX 3000 Cornering the GPU Market for next 2 years! - 3rd Sep 20
Last 7 days
Covid and Democrat Blue Wave Beats Gold - 15th Jan 21
On Regime Change, Reputations, the Markets, and Gold and Silver - 15th Jan 21
US Coronavirus Pandemic Final Catastrophe 2021 - 15th Jan 21
The World’s Next Great Onshore Oil Discovery Could Be Here - 15th Jan 21
UK Coronavirus Final Pandemic Catastrophe 2021 - 14th Jan 21
Here's Why Blind Contrarianism Investing Failed in 2020 - 14th Jan 21
US Yield Curve Relentlessly Steepens, Whilst Gold Price Builds a Handle - 14th Jan 21
NEW UK MOT Extensions or has my Car Plate Been Cloned? - 14th Jan 21
How to Save Money While Decorating Your First House - 14th Jan 21
Car Number Plate Cloned Detective Work - PY16 JXV - 14th Jan 21
Big Oil Missed This, Now It Could Be Worth Billions - 14th Jan 21
Are you a Forex trader who needs a bank account? We have the solution! - 14th Jan 21
Finetero Review – Accurate and Efficient Stock Trading Services? - 14th Jan 21
Gold Price Big Picture Trend Forecast 2021 - 13th Jan 21
Are Covid Lockdowns Bullish or Bearish for Stocks? FTSE 100 in Focus - 13th Jan 21
CONgress "Insurrection" Is Just the Latest False Flag Event from the Globalists - 13th Jan 21
Reflation Trade Heating Up - 13th Jan 21
The Most Important Oil Find Of The Next Decade Could Be Here - 13th Jan 21
Work From Home £10,000 Office Tour – Workspace + Desk Setup 2021 Top Tips - 12th Jan 21
Collect a Bitcoin Dividend Without Owning the King of Cryptos - 12th Jan 21
The BAN Hotlist trade setups show incredible success at the start of 2021, learn how you can too! - 12th Jan 21
Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold – How Much Are They Worth? - 12th Jan 21
SPX Short-term Top Imminent - 12th Jan 21
Is This The Most Exciting Oil Play Of 2021? - 12th Jan 21
Why 2021 Will Be the Year Self-Driving Cars Go Mainstream - 11th Jan 21
Gold Began 2021 With a Bang, Only to Plunge - 11th Jan 21
How to Test Your GPU Temperatures - Running Too Hot - GTX 1650 - Overclockers UK - 11th Jan 21
Life Lesson - The Early Bird Catches the Worm - 11th Jan 21
Precious Metals rally early in 2021 - 11th Jan 21
The Most Exciting Oil Stock For 2021 - 11th Jan 21
Financial Market Forecasts 2021: Navigation in Uncharted Waters - 10th Jan 21
An Urgent Message to All Conservatives, Right-Wingers and Patriots - 10th Jan 21
Despite Signs to the Contrary, Gold Price at or Near Top - 10th Jan 21 -
Ultimate Guide On The 6 Basic Types Of Index Funds - 10th Jan 21
Getting Vaccinated at TESCO - Covid-19 Vaccinations at UK Supermarket Pharmacies and Chemists - 10th Jan 21
Cheers for the 2021 Stock Market and These "Great Expectations" - 9th Jan 21
How to Plan Your Child With Better Education - 9th Jan 21
How To Find The Best Casino - 9th Jan 21
Gold Is Still a Bargain Buy - 8th Jan 20
Gold Price Set to Soar as Hyperinflation Looms - 8th Jan 21
Have Big Dreams? Here's How to Pay for Them - 8th Jan 21
Will the Fed Support Gold Prices in 2021? - 8th Jan 21
Stocks trading strategies for beginners - 8th Jan 21
Who is Buying and Selling Stocks in 2021 - 8th Jan 21
Clap for NHS Heroes 2021 as Incompetent Government Loses Control of Virus Again! - 8th Jan 21
Ultimate Gaming and Home Working PC System Build 2021 - 5950X, RTX 3080, Asus MB - Scan Computers UK - 7th Jan 21
Inflation the bug-bear looking forward through 2021 - 7th Jan 21
ESG ETF Investing Flows Drive Clean Energy to Fresh Highs - 7th Jan 21
5 Financial Market Surprises in 2021 - 7th Jan 21
Time to ‘Reset’ Your Investment Portfolio in 2021? - 7th Jan 21
Bitcoin Price Collapses almost 20% at the start 2021 - 7th Jan 21
Fed Taper Nervous Breakdown - 6th Jan 21
What Will the U.S. Dollar Ring in for 2021? - 6th Jan 21
Stock market frenzy- Ride the bandwagon but be sure to take along some gold coins - 6th Jan 21
Overclockers UK Custom Build Gaming System Review Heat Test and Final Conclusion - 6th Jan 21
Precious Metals Resuming Bull Market, Gold, Silver, GDX Trend Forecasts 2021 - 5th Jan 21
Trump’s Iran-COVID-Gate Anniversary  - 5th Jan 21
2021 May Be A Good Year For The Cannabis / Marijuana Sector - 5th Jan 21
Stock Market Approaching an Important Target - 5th Jan 21
Consumer Prices Are Not Reflecting Higher Inflation; Neither Is The CRB - 5th Jan 21
NEW UK Coronavirus PANIC FULL Lockdown Imminent, All Schools to Close! GCSE Exams Cancelled! - 4th Jan 21
The Year the World Fell Down the Rabbit Hole - 4th Jan 21
A Year Like No Other for Precious Metals… and Everything Else - 4th Jan 21
The Stocks Bull Market is Only Half Completed - 4th Jan 21
An In- Depth Look At Gold Price Trend - 4th Jan 21
Building America Back After a Dark Covid Winter - 4th Jan 21
America's Dark Covid Winter Ahead - 4th Jan 21
Buy a Landrover Discovery Sport in 2021? 3 Year Driving Review - 3rd Jan 21
Stock Market Major Peak in Early April 2021 - 3rd Jan 21
Travel and Holidays 2021 - Flight Knight Cabin Bag Review - 3rd Jan 21
�� Happy New Year 2021 Fireworks and Drone Light Show from London and Sheffied - BBC�� - 2nd Jan 2
The Next IMMINENT Global Catastrophe After Coronavirus - 1st Jan 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

FIRST ACCESS to Nadeem Walayat’s Analysis and Trend Forecasts

Stock Market Through 1278 SPX....

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011 Jan 13, 2011 - 03:15 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman

Stock-Markets

The market has been gravitating higher slowly but surely, no question. Over the past many weeks it had set up shop between the gap top low at 1262 and the 1278 as its high. A few tests down at 1262 looked like a breakdown was finally upon us, but that was not to be. There were many test back up to 1278, but failed as well, so it became a chess match between who would make the move first. The bulls pulled off the move today. It wasn't a shocking move higher as we're barely above 1278. Slightly less than half a percent above, but we are above, and that can't be denied by anyone. This opens the door to a move up to the top of the trend line at 1300 on the S&P 500. That chart is there for your viewing this evening. It seems as if this market doesn't waste a point. Although, by no means a guarantee, if the trend line is open to approximately 1300 on the SPX, it seems as if it will find a way to make it there, even if it doesn't hold once it does get there.


We started out with a gap up today. That gap was made possible by some excellent overseas action, first in Asia, and then in Europe, particularly in Germany. After we gapped up we spent most of the rest of the day trying higher after a small pullback early on. We closed a bit off the highs, but nothing to get too worried about. We closed above the open prints and that's what matters the most. Solid action in to increasingly overbought conditions. The bears have to be shaking their heads in disbelief and who can blame them.

Sentiment is now a very real issue for this market. Unfortunately, for the bulls, all this bullish behavior and action has really juiced up the average investor. The bulls are ramping in numbers. We now have a spread of 38.2% more bulls created by 57.3% bulls versus 19.1% bears. Ouch! That's getting a bit out of control. In addition, we now have the daily and weekly charts getting well up there on their RSI's. Well above 70 in many cases. On top of that, we have the NDX monthly chart at 70 RSI. Red flags abound in terms of overbought and sentiment. In time, the market will snap down, but as always, you have to stay with the trend until you get the proper bearish reversal stick. Anticipating the reversal hasn't worked. It means you will likely get caught in a play, or so, but how can you not stay long with a trend that's as powerful as this one! Stay with it until it breaks is the absolute best advice that I, or anyone else, can give folks. Just recognize that the risk in this market is no longer high. It is EXTREME!!!

The market strength is great for this reason. The strength is everywhere. In many markets that are trending higher you get one or two sectors out performing. It's rare you get strength across the board, and it's also bullish because you are getting constant rotation. If one sector gets overbought it slowly, but gradually, unwinds its oscillators, but the money will then rotate in to other places throughout the stock market world. That's the sign of a truly healthy bull market. It's also not as if just a few stocks are carrying the day. There is strength within every sector. Stocks are running up throughout.

The market is very healthy from a technical perspective, but we do have to deal with what I just discussed above with sentiment. But again, make no mistake that this is a healthy market. You can call it frothy, and I wouldn't argue, but that's not what matters. It's about price action, and the action says things are good, whether it's appropriate from a fundamental perspective or not. Don't get emotional with what's taking place. That's the recipe for a rough time trading.

The bulls are gathering amazing strength at S&P 500 1257/1262. There is the top of the gap at 1262. There is the bottom of the gap at 1257. Then there is the 20-day exponential moving average at 1260. That type of confluence of support will make it very difficult for the bears to get much more than a 2% pullback at least initially. It'll take a lot of time and work to get this market to trade below 1257. If the bears can do that then they can work on getting things lower, but because this bull market is well above the 50-day exponential moving average, and because you have so many gap ups in the pattern, nothing will be easy for the bears, even if they can get this market below S&P 500 1257.

With the news, so far, coming in very good in terms of the economic reports, the bears won't have an easy time getting anything accomplished.

Peace,

Jack

Jack Steiman is author of SwingTradeOnline.com ( www.swingtradeonline.com ). Former columnist for TheStreet.com, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 21-Day Trial to SwingTradeOnline.com!

© 2010 SwingTradeOnline.com

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constitutinginvestment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules