The S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) are only about $0.30 from making new multi-year highs above the July high of 156.00. Remarkable though this upmove has been in the "aftermath" of the credit crisis (as if it is no longer a crisis at all), my overall work leaves little doubt that today's thrust is the final upleg in the Aug-Oct advance.

However, the doubt is where this upleg might exhaust itself: at marginal new highs just above 156.00, or closer to 160.00? I really do not know, but because my pattern and momentum work are flying bright yellow caution flags, I will remain on the sidelines.

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction

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