U.S. Treasury Bonds vs Dow Jones 30 Yield Analysis
Interest-Rates / Investing 2010 Aug 17, 2010 - 02:44 PM GMTBy: Dian_L_Chu
Government bonds across the globe are benefiting from concern about anemic economic growth, the risk of deflation in the US, and the Federal Reserve’s decision to reinvest maturing bonds and buy US Treasuries. Yields on Japanese, German, UK and US government bonds fell to fresh multi-month and, in some cases, all-time lows.
Meanwhile, analysts’ advise that “It seems U.S. bonds are still the safest place to hide”, and market herd mentality is making the Hindenburg Omen an ever more self fulfilling prophecy.
With the current terribly low yield (see Treasuries table), it is hard to justify putting one’s hard earned money into the U.S. Treasury. In fact, forget about the China property bubble that everyone seems to be losing sleep over, the global bond market is truly screaming for an imminent burst.
On the other hand, stocks are relatively cheap as compared to bonds. For investors looking for yield and inflation protection, the average 2.94% dividend yield (see Dow table)--plus the potential stock price appreciation--of all 30 Dow Jones Industrial average stocks is looking a lot better than the 2.568% yield on the 10-year Treasury.
Equities historically outperform bonds. And the current Dow 30 composition is probably the strongest on record. So, the strategy here is simple--get in on these blue chips when everyone else is still playing musical chairs over at the bond market. Then, sit tight knowing at least a portion of your profolio will ride the Dow 30's nice dividend yield, and the price appreciation coming from their solid long term top line growth.
Disclosure: No Positions
Dian L. Chu, M.B.A., C.P.M. and Chartered Economist, is a market analyst and financial writer regularly contributing to Seeking Alpha, Zero Hedge, and other major investment websites. Ms. Chu has been syndicated to Reuters, USA Today, NPR, and BusinessWeek. She blogs at Economic Forecasts & Opinions.
© 2010 Copyright Dian L. Chu - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.
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