Inflation Is A Positive Development for the Astute Investor
Stock-Markets / Inflation May 12, 2010 - 05:41 AM GMTBy: Sol_Palha
"When you see a worthy person, endeavor to emulate him. When you see an unworthy person, then examine your inner self." ~ Confucius,BC 551-479, Chinese Ethical Teacher, Philosopher
We all pretty much have felt the effects of inflation in one form or another. However, economists and the central bankers choose to define inflation as an increase in price of goods. This is a very clever way to actually hide what they are doing. If they are able to inflate the money supply but keep the cost of certain goods suppressed, mainly those that the average Joe uses everyday, they have more or less won; the simple reason being that the average person has come to view inflation in terms of rising prices.
One mechanism to keeping the cost of common goods down is through the use of heavy subsidies. This is used everywhere in the farming sectors, Manufacturing and industrial sectors, etc. I will elaborate on this in more detail on a follow up essay as this would a deviation from the topic at hand.
There are some incredibly positive attributes to inflation. As an investor/trader one should be interested in trying to find the best investment that takes advantage of this situation; in other words, the rate of return is several levels higher than the current rate of inflation.
The only problem with inflation is that, for the most part, the poor actually become poorer and the unprepared move down 1-2 ranks. That is why the saying originated the "poor become poorer and the rich get richer" while the middle class gets wiped out.
Since we have greedy slugs at the helm of the banking system, their inflationary tactics are designed to produce unequal benefits. Normally, if one inflates and spreads the money equally there is no net change as the price of goods move in equal percentages to reflect this increase in the money supply. However the central bankers will have none of this. They seek to inflate as much as possible and redistribute as little as possible of the new money they have just created out of thin air. The net result is that if you are unable to see in which direction they are moving, you will simply be left paying the tab. Your purse that was once full is now ¾ full and the prices of goods have moved up unevenly.
This is what is happening now. Manufactured goods are extremely cheap; yet the cost of most commodities has shot up significantly in the past few years. In many cities, the cost of a house is still beyond the reach of many, and this is after the housing crash. Salaries have not kept up with the level of monetary inflation. The only way people are able to buy houses is because of the low artificially controlled interest rates. These fools many a new buyer into taking a debt that he/she really does not have the means to pay of.
However, despite all these negatives the astute investor can make a tremendous killing if they take a little time to look at what is going on. For example, the intelligent investor would have started to notice that prices of houses started to increase rather drastically towards the end of 1999 and early 2000. They would have also noticed that Gold actually broke its Downtrend in 2000. They would have noticed that basic raw materials broke their down trend in Early 2003. They would have also noticed the trend of printing more dollars, if they bothered to read what this new administration was proposing. So the middle class family could have taken a mortgage and bought one house as the price inflated, they could have possibly taken a loan on the existing house say at the end of 2000 or early 2001 and used it to buy a second home. They could have put some of their money into Gold bullion and a little into some gold stocks, many of which are up over several hundred percentage points, some are showing gains in excess of a 1000%.
Let's now look at the true full range benefits of Inflation. In this world if you do not spend time educating yourself the price you pay is extremely high. If you thought education was expensive, try ignorance for a lifetime.
Almost every Gold bug is secretly rooting for inflation. Why do I say this? If they are expecting Gold to reach 1300, 1500, 2000, etc they are rooting for inflation. Gold prices are one of the main indicators that there is something seriously wrong with the banking system and that the monetary supply is going out of control. In the later stages, the fear factor will kick in as everyone panics and looks for a way to protect their assets; this will drive the price of precious metals and other commodities to the moon.
Those that have bought real estate are also secretly rooting for inflation, as they want the prices of their property to increase. If you really take the time to think about it inflation is very beneficial to the astute investor. Those that are investing in the stock market are also rooting for inflation. It is the free money policies that push people and business to risk more of their money in the market. Look at the present market, it keeps going higher and higher, but when you price it in Gold or any other strong currency it has done nothing. However, the astute investor could spot that the central crack head bankers were out of control and knew that not only would the price of Gold rise but there would be a rise in the price of general equities to. These prices increases have more than compensated for the inflationary practices of the central bankers. However the only ones who have benefited from this move are a small group of smart investors (investors who were smart enough to jump out of dollars and into commodities) and the cronies of the central bankers who were privy to this information, long before the Junkies, oops we mean central bankers decided to press the pedal to the metal and push the printing press into overdrive.
When you think about it, life is nothing but one huge market place and in the end someone needs to lose in order for someone else to win. Not everyone can win and not everyone can lose. The sad part is that it takes a lot of someone's to lose to make one someone wealthy. The net effect is zero. Money is not really lost it simply moves from many pockets to a few large pockets.
When the NASDAQ crashed everyone was made to believe that several trillion dollars of wealth were lost. That was and is a fat huge lie. Those trillions of dollars simply moved out from hundreds of thousands if not millions of pockets into a select few thousand pockets.
It's a net 0 game. So when people scream about the negatives of inflation. They are doing so because they have not taken the time to educate themselves on the many tools that are available to protect themselves against this insidious disease. This once again brings life to the saying, "An Empty Tin makes the most Noise."
"In spite of the cost of living, it's still popular." ~ Kathleen Norris 1880-1966, American Novelist
Do we condone inflation? No we don't. Do we really think it is something great? No we don't. However, what one thinks and what one can do become rich are two different things. The central bankers are not going to change; they have been doing this for far too long. . They are masters at this game, one day they will lose, but I might be dead and gone by then. So rather than screaming from the top of my lungs like an empty can about the negatives of inflation, we would rather be a silent and have our eyes on what the central bankers are doing so that we can position ourselves to take advantage of their dirty moves. We will leave the screaming to the "Empty cans"; they seem to have plenty of time on their hands.
In the end, all that really matters is for one to find a way to take care of one's self and one's loved ones. And if you take the time to educate yourself than you put yourself into the driver's seat inside of being locked up in the trunk. Make sure you learn the true definition of inflation, the effects of inflation, how the central bankers operate, and you can use this info to ride on their tail coats and increase your net worth in the process. One of the best hedges against inflation is to have a position in precious metals (Gold, Silver, Palladium, and Platinum)
"Next to inflation, majority rule is the most ingenious scheme ever contrived by government. Most people have never dared to question the basic morality or logic in the assumption that the majority should have power over the minority. A majority of the people in the South once believed in black slavery. Did that make it moral? A lynch mob is majority rule stripped of its fancy trappings and its facade of respectability. In a community where homosexuals outnumber heterosexuals, should the majority have the right to outlaw sex between married partners of the opposite sex? In a community where atheists outnumber non- atheists, should the majority have the right to outlaw the practice of religion? ... a dictatorship allows only a small number of people to interfere with the rights of others, a democracy makes it possible for great numbers of people to impose their will on others -- through the force of government. Is an act of aggression more right if carried out by the majority than by a dictator? Since approximately half the eligible voters vote this means that approximately 75% of the people are ruled by 25% of the people." ~ Robert J. Ringer, American Writer
by Sol Palha
Sol Palha is a market analyst and educator who uses Mass Psychology, Technical Analysis and Esoteric Cycles to keep you on the right side of the market. He and his partners are on the web at www.tacticalinvestor.com.
© 2010 Copyright Sol Palha - All Rights Reserved
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