Best Financial Markets Analysis Article This article lists Sheffield's current sitting MP's, the results of the 2005 general election, candidates for the forthcoming General Election to be held on 6th May 2010, and the percentage swing that would be result in a change.

UK General Election Opinion Polls Projection

According to the current analysis of average opinion polls which put the Conservatives on 36%, and Labour and the Liberal Democrats oscillating around 28%. The average swing from Labour to Conservatives is 5%, the Conservatives require an average swing of 7% to win the next General Election, therefore at this point in time the national opinion polls suggest a hung parliament with the Conservative party with the most seats on 296 against Labour on 233 and Liberal Democrats on 91.

Sheffield Central

MP Richard Caborn - Labour - Majority 7,055 - Standing Down

2005 Results

Party	Votes	%
Labour	14,950	50%
Lib Dem	7,895	26%
Conservative	3,094	10%
Others	4,300	14%

For Labour to lose this seat would require a swing of 12%.

Candidates 2010

Paul Blomfield, Labour
Jillian Creasy, Green Party
Wayne Harling, UK Independence Party
Andrew Lee, Conservative
Paul Scriven, Liberal Democrat

Sheffield Attercliffe - Renamed Sheffield South East

Mr Clive Betts - Labour - Majority 15,967

2005 Results

Party	Votes	%
Labour	22,250	60%
Lib Dem	6,283	17%
Conservative	5,329	14%
Others	3,195	9%

For Labour to lose this seat would require a swing of 22%.

Candidates 2010

Clive Betts, Labour
Jonathan Arnott, UK Independence Party
Nigel Bonson, Conservative
Gail Smith, Liberal Democrat

Sheffield Brightside - Addition of Hillsborough

Rt Hon David Blunkett - Labour - Majority 16,876

2005 Results

Party	Votes	%
Labour	16,876	68%
Lib Dem	3,232	13%
Conservative	2,205	9%
Others	2,295	9%

For Labour to lose this seat would require a swing of 28%.

Candidates 2010

David Blunkett - Labour
John Sharp - Conservative
Patricia Sullivan UK IP

Sheffield Hallam

Rt Hon Nick Clegg - Liberal Democrats - Majority 8,682

2005 Results

Party	Votes	%
Lib Dem	20,710	51%
Labour	12,028	30%
Conservative	5,110	13%
Others	2,551	6%

Candidates 2010

Nick Clegg, Liberal Democrat
Steve Barnard, Green Party
Nicola Bates, Conservative
Nigel James, UK Independence Party
Jack Scott, Labour

Sheffield Heeley

Meg Munn - Labour - Majority 11,170.

2005 Results

Party	Votes	%
Labour	18,205	54%
Lib Dem	7,035	20%
Conservative	4,987	15%
Others	3,695	11%

For Labour to lose this seat would require a swing of 17%.

Candidates 2010

Meg Munn, Labour
Charlotte Arnott, UK Independence Party
Simon Clement-Jones, Liberal Democrat
Anne Crampton, Conservative
Gareth Roberts, Green Party

Sheffield Hillsborough - Merged with other Constituencies

Ms Angela C. Smith

2005 Results

Party	Votes	%
Labour	18,205	54%
Lib Dem	7,035	20%
Conservative	4,987	15%
Others	3,695	11%

This constituency has been merged with neighbouring constituencies

Sheffield UK General Election Forecast

The only constituency where there is a chance of a change in MP / party is for Sheffield Central, which would require a large 12% swing from Labour to Lib Dems. None of the other four constituencies is expected to see any change given the large swings required of more than 17%.

Out of the 650 seats, approx 390 require a swing of 15% or more which therefore means that the election battle will be fought out in the 140 or so marginal constituencies.

Source: http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article19164.html

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Nadeem Walayat has over 20 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis specialises on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and the housing market and he is the author of the NEW Inflation Mega-Trend ebook that can be downloaded for Free. Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication. We present in-depth analysis from over 500 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets. Thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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