Although the major equity market ETFs feel like they are moving around quite a bit, actually in relation to the intense volatility during the prior two weeks, this is a pretty calm day! The pattern the Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) have carved out since Friday's spike high at 46.99 appears to me to be taking the form of a coil (lower highs and higher lows). As long as 45.59 contains any forthcoming weakness, the integrity of the lower side of the coil will remain intact. Conversely, I think that today's high at 46.64 is a second data point near the top side of the coil.

As long as rallies fail to hurdle 46.64, the integrity of the resistance line of the coil will be preserved. As of now, I am expecting the Q's to press towards 46.00-45.90 prior to another attempt to break out above the top of the pattern -- which will continue the larger recovery upleg off of last week's low at 44.39 -- towards a target zone of 47.50-48.

By Mike Paulenoff

Mike Paulenoff is author of the MPTrader.com (www.mptrader.com) , a real-time diary of Mike Paulenoff's trading ideas and technical chart analysis of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that track equity indices, metals, energy commodities, currencies, Treasuries, and other markets. It is for traders with a 3-30 day time horizon, who use the service for guidance on both specific trades as well as general market direction

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