Sheffield UK General Election 2010 Candidates and Forecast
ElectionOracle / UK General Election Apr 09, 2010 - 01:10 AM GMTBy: N_Walayat
This article lists Sheffield's current sitting MP's, the results of the 2005 general election, candidates for the forthcoming General Election to be held on 6th May 2010, and the percentage swing needed to replace the sitting MP.
UK General Election Opinion Polls Projection
According to the current analysis of average opinion polls which put the Conservatives on 39%, Labour on 32% and Liberal Democrats on 21%. The average swing from Labour to Conservatives is 5%, From Labour to Liberal Democrats is 0%. The Conservatives require an average swing of 7% to win the next General Election, therefore at this point in time the opinion polls suggest a hung parliament with the Conservative party with the most seats on 296 against Labour on 269.
Sheffield Central
MP Richard Caborn - Labour - Majority 7,055 - Standing Down
2005 Results
| Party | Votes |
% |
|
| Labour | 14,950 |
50% |
|
| Lib Dem | 7,895 |
26% |
|
| Conservative | 3,094 |
10% |
|
| Others | 4,300 |
14% |
For Labour to lose this seat would require a swing of 12%, therefore unlikely.
Candidates 2010
- Paul Blomfield, Labour
- Jillian Creasy, Green Party
- Wayne Harling, UK Independence Party
- Andrew Lee, Conservative
- Paul Scriven, Liberal Democrat
Sheffield Attercliffe - Renamed Sheffield South East
Mr Clive Betts - Labour - Majority 15,967
2005 Results
| Party | Votes |
% |
|
| Labour | 22,250 |
60% |
|
| Lib Dem | 6,283 |
17% |
|
| Conservative | 5,329 |
14% |
|
| Others | 3,195 |
9% |
For Labour to lose this seat would require a swing of 22%, therefore highly unlikely.
Candidates 2010
- Clive Betts, Labour
- Jonathan Arnott, UK Independence Party
- Nigel Bonson, Conservative
- Gail Smith, Liberal Democrat
Sheffield Brightside - Addition of Hillsborough
Rt Hon David Blunkett - Labour - Majority 16,876
2005 Results
| Party | Votes |
% |
|
| Labour | 16,876 |
68% |
|
| Lib Dem | 3,232 |
13% |
|
| Conservative | 2,205 |
9% |
|
| Others | 2,295 |
9% |
For Labour to lose this seat would require a swing of 28%, therefore highly unlikely.
Candidates 2010
- David Blunkett - Labour
- John Sharp - Conservative
- Patricia Sullivan UK IP
Sheffield Hallam
Rt Hon Nick Clegg - Liberal Democrats - Majority 8,682
2005 Results
| Party | Votes |
% |
|
| Lib Dem | 20,710 |
51% |
|
| Labour | 12,028 |
30% |
|
| Conservative | 5,110 |
13% |
|
| Others | 2,551 |
6% |
Candidates 2010
- Nick Clegg, Liberal Democrat
- Steve Barnard, Green Party
- Nicola Bates, Conservative
- Nigel James, UK Independence Party
- Jack Scott, Labour
Sheffield Heeley
Meg Munn - Labour - Majority 11,170.
2005 Results
| Party | Votes |
% |
|
| Labour | 18,205 |
54% |
|
| Lib Dem | 7,035 |
20% |
|
| Conservative | 4,987 |
15% |
|
| Others | 3,695 |
11% |
Candidates 2010
- Meg Munn, Labour
- Charlotte Arnott, UK Independence Party
- Simon Clement-Jones, Liberal Democrat
- Anne Crampton, Conservative
- Gareth Roberts, Green Party
Sheffield Hillsborough - Merged with other Constituencies
Ms Angela C. Smith
2005 Results
| Party | Votes |
% |
|
| Labour | 18,205 |
54% |
|
| Lib Dem | 7,035 |
20% |
|
| Conservative | 4,987 |
15% |
|
| Others | 3,695 |
11% |
This constituency has been merged with neighbouring constituencies
Sheffield UK General Election Forecast
The only constituency where there is a chance of a change in MP / party is for Sheffield Central, which would require a large 12% swing from Labour to Lib Dems. None of the other four constituencies is expected to see any change given the large swings required of more than 17%.
Out of the 650 seats, approx 390 require a swing of 15% or more and therefore mean the sitting MP's have effectively a job for life without any real impact from local issues. The outcome of the election will be decided in the 120 marginal constituencies whose electorate will be wooed by the candidates with promises of new hospitals, health centres, schools, nurseries and more over the coming 4 weeks.
Source: http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article18499.html
By Nadeem Walayat
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