Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
THEY DON'T RING THE BELL AT THE CRPTO MARKET TOP! - 20th Dec 24
CEREBUS IPO NVIDIA KILLER? - 18th Dec 24
Nvidia Stock 5X to 30X - 18th Dec 24
LRCX Stock Split - 18th Dec 24
Stock Market Expected Trend Forecast - 18th Dec 24
Silver’s Evolving Market: Bright Prospects and Lingering Challenges - 18th Dec 24
Extreme Levels of Work-for-Gold Ratio - 18th Dec 24
Tesla $460, Bitcoin $107k, S&P 6080 - The Pump Continues! - 16th Dec 24
Stock Market Risk to the Upside! S&P 7000 Forecast 2025 - 15th Dec 24
Stock Market 2025 Mid Decade Year - 15th Dec 24
Sheffield Christmas Market 2024 Is a Building Site - 15th Dec 24
Got Copper or Gold Miners? Watch Out - 15th Dec 24
Republican vs Democrat Presidents and the Stock Market - 13th Dec 24
Stock Market Up 8 Out of First 9 months - 13th Dec 24
What Does a Strong Sept Mean for the Stock Market? - 13th Dec 24
Is Trump the Most Pro-Stock Market President Ever? - 13th Dec 24
Interest Rates, Unemployment and the SPX - 13th Dec 24
Fed Balance Sheet Continues To Decline - 13th Dec 24
Trump Stocks and Crypto Mania 2025 Incoming as Bitcoin Breaks Above $100k - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Multiple Confirmations - Are You Ready? - 8th Dec 24
Gold Price Monster Upleg Lives - 8th Dec 24
Stock & Crypto Markets Going into December 2024 - 2nd Dec 24
US Presidential Election Year Stock Market Seasonal Trend - 29th Nov 24
Who controls the past controls the future: who controls the present controls the past - 29th Nov 24
Gold After Trump Wins - 29th Nov 24
The AI Stocks, Housing, Inflation and Bitcoin Crypto Mega-trends - 27th Nov 24
Gold Price Ahead of the Thanksgiving Weekend - 27th Nov 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast to June 2025 - 24th Nov 24
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Breaking Bad on Donald Trump Pump - 21st Nov 24
Gold Price To Re-Test $2,700 - 21st Nov 24
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: This Is My Strong Warning To You - 21st Nov 24
Financial Crisis 2025 - This is Going to Shock People! - 21st Nov 24
Dubai Deluge - AI Tech Stocks Earnings Correction Opportunities - 18th Nov 24
Why President Trump Has NO Real Power - Deep State Military Industrial Complex - 8th Nov 24
Social Grant Increases and Serge Belamant Amid South Africa's New Political Landscape - 8th Nov 24
Is Forex Worth It? - 8th Nov 24
Nvidia Numero Uno in Count Down to President Donald Pump Election Victory - 5th Nov 24
Trump or Harris - Who Wins US Presidential Election 2024 Forecast Prediction - 5th Nov 24
Stock Market Brief in Count Down to US Election Result 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally 2024 - 3rd Nov 24
Why Countdown to U.S. Recession is Underway - 3rd Nov 24
Stock Market Trend Forecast to Jan 2025 - 2nd Nov 24
President Donald PUMP Forecast to Win US Presidential Election 2024 - 1st Nov 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Congress's FCIC Nearly Nailed Former Citigroup Executives to the Wall -- Then Blew It

Politics / Credit Crisis 2010 Apr 08, 2010 - 06:46 PM GMT

By: Janet_Tavakoli

Politics

Phil Angelides, Chairman of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, had Robert Rubin, former senior advisor Citigroup (also former Treasury Secretary under President Bill Clinton, and former Co-Chair of Goldman Sachs), and Chuck Prince, former CEO of Citigroup, in the palm of his hand today. He asked them why they weren't alarmed for Citigroup in May of 2007, when the Bear Stearns hedge funds ran into trouble. He recalled they imploded in June 2007 and joked that it happened around the time of his birthday. Rubin and Prince shrugged it off, and Rubin that he didn't know about Citigroup's CDO troubles until the fall of 2007.


Seperately, Tom Maheras, then a top fixed income executive at Citigroup, said in the fall of 2007 that Citigroup's "super senior" CDOs were worth 100 cents on the dollar.

Angelides may not have realized it, but there were facts in the public domain that tie Citigroup very closely to the fate of Bear Stearns's hedge funds. Either these top people from Citigroup didn't ask their subordinates about their exposure -- and the nature of their exposure to the Bear Stearns hedge funds -- or the controls in Citigroup broke down. Rubin testified today: "I don't think Citi is too big to manage." Yet, these events suggest something is seriously amiss.

In my book on the financial meltdown, Dear Mr. Buffett, I explain how I knew Citigroup was in trouble and its involvement in value-destroying CDOs purchased by Bear Stearns Asset Management's imploding hedge funds. At the time, I spoke to investigative reporters Matthew Goldstein ("Bear Stearns's Subprime IPO," BusinessWeek, May 11, 2007. Goldstein is now with Reuters.) and Jody Shenn ("Bear Stearns Funds to Transfer Subprime-Mortgage Risk with IPO," Bloomberg News, May 11, 2007) about Bear Stearns and the disturbing assets, including some created by Citigroup, revealed by an SEC filing it made in May 2007 for a proposed initial public offering (IPO):

I went to the SEC's web site, and as I scanned the document I thought to myself: Has Bear Stearns Asset Management completely lost its mind? There is a difference between being clever and being intelligent. I was surprised to read that funds managed by BSAM invested in the unrated first loss risk (equity) of CDOs. In my view, the underlying assets were neither suitable nor appropriate investments for the retail market.

I did not have time for a thorough review, so I picked a CDO investment underwritten by Citigroup in March of 2007 bearing in mind that if the Everquest IPO came to market, some of the proceeds would pay down Citigroup's $200 million credit line.* [Emphasis added] Everquest held the "first loss" risk, usually the riskiest of all of the CDO tranches, and it was obvious to me that even the investors in the supposedly safe "triple-A" tranches were in trouble. Time proved my concerns warranted, since the CDO triggered an event of default in February 2008, at which time Standard & Poor's downgraded even the original safest "triple-A" tranche to junk.

All the banks that lent to Bear Stearns Asset Management's (BSAM) two problematic hedge funds pressured the managers to mark down the prices of their assets by late May and early June 2007 -- even the prices of "AA" and "AAA" rated assets. Before the hedge funds went under, BSAM circulated bid lists for the assets, and the prices were atrocious.

How is it that given Citigroup's huge loan and creation of CDOs that these two funds bought didn't draw the attention of Citigroup's senior management? Citigroup was deeply involved, and there was obvious danger to its own balance sheet.

Chairman Angelides was apparently unaware that Citigroup had reason to be deeply alarmed by the events that caused the Bear Stearns hedge funds to implode. He missed a golden opportunity to ask Citigroup's former executives about their seeming obliviousness to this enormous risk.

More to the point, Angelides might ask these executives why Citigroup's officers made rosy public statements and why Citigroup's financial filings with the SEC did not show huge accounting losses for the second quarter of 2007 (and earlier).

Note: After the negative publicity, the Everquest IPO did not come to market.

* Offering Circular for Octonion I CDO, Ltc. Octonion I CDO Corp., March 16, 2007. Most of Everquest's assets were priced as of December 31, 2006, but there were some 2007 additions to the portfolio. For example, it owned some of the "first loss" equity risk of a CDO named Octonion I CDO (Octonion), a deal underwritten by Citigroup in March 2007. If the IPO came to market, some of the proceeds from Everquest would pay down Citigroup's $200 million credit line. Octonion's prospectus disclosed an inexperienced CDO manager with conflicts of interest with the CDO investors. It used 95% credit default swaps referencing BBB rated asset backed securities including subprime assets. This CDO appeared to be a very risky investment for investors in the AAA or AA rated tranches. The equity, 48% of which was owned by Everquest, may have been entitled to the residual cash flow of the deal, even if they did not, the tranches looked high risk, undeserving of an investment grade rating. Time proved my concerns warranted, since Octonion triggered an event of default in February 2008, at which time even the original senior-most AAA tranche was downgraded to CCC by S&P (it was still AAA by Moody's). By the summer of 2008, the senior-most "AAA" had been downgraded to Caa3 by Moody's and CCC- by S&P.

By Janet Tavakoli

web site: www.tavakolistructuredfinance.com

Janet Tavakoli is the president of Tavakoli Structured Finance, a Chicago-based firm that provides consulting to financial institutions and institutional investors. Ms. Tavakoli has more than 20 years of experience in senior investment banking positions, trading, structuring and marketing structured financial products. She is a former adjunct associate professor of derivatives at the University of Chicago's Graduate School of Business. Author of: Credit Derivatives & Synthetic Structures (1998, 2001), Collateralized Debt Obligations & Structured Finance (2003), Structured Finance & Collateralized Debt Obligations (John Wiley & Sons, September 2008). Tavakoli’s book on the causes of the global financial meltdown and how to fix it is: Dear Mr. Buffett: What an Investor Learns 1,269 Miles from Wall Street (Wiley, 2009).

© 2010 Copyright Janet Tavakoli- All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in