Silver Commodity Bears Look Well-Placed
Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010 Jan 22, 2010 - 03:22 AM GMTThe impressive 2009 recovery in Silver began to show signs of maturing in the latter part of the year, with price action in Dec giving a hint of bear fatigue. We remain content with the bearish stance that we hold in the Commodity Specialist Guide and now expect to see further confirmation of this.
The Commodity Specialist view
WEEKLY CHART – CONTINUATION: The 76.4% recovery level wasn’t very effective as resistance – it is arguable whether or not it has had a residual resistive influence. What is clear, though, is the resistance found from the Jul-08 high. First interesting support on this chart is implied around 16.00 (see also Daily chart below). |
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DAILY CHART – MAR-10: An initial negative sign came from the Dec break below the small bull channel base projection, implying loss of momentum. The recent bounce off clear 38.2% support has met equally clear resistance from the 76.4% s/term recovery level – we had assumed that such strength would not be long-lasting. A break below the 38.2% area is likely, the next target being the 16.00 area, 50% pullback and Jun-09 high. However, we also keep in mind a lower Fibo projection at 15.55. We are not yet looking for a major reversal in bull trend, though. |
Philip Allwright
Mark Sturdy
Seven Days Ahead
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