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Silver Plods Along Whilst Gold Soars, Bearish Wedge Pattern?

Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009 Nov 30, 2009 - 02:00 AM GMT

By: Clive_Maund

Commodities

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile gold has soared in recent weeks silver has put in a plodding performance unable, thus far at least, to break above the zone of major resistance and the return line of the uptrend channel in force from late last year shown on our 2-year chart. Of course, if gold marshalls itself soon and resumes its advance then we can expect silver to overcome these restraining influences.


However, if gold now reacts further, which looks likely for reasons set out in the latest Gold Market update, then silver can be expected to drop back towards the lower support line of the channel, currently in the $15.70 area.

The failure in recent weeks to "open out" the uptrend channel by advancing more strongly, which we had been looking for, means that the potentially bearish convergence remains - it is a Rising Wedge, and a breakdown from this channel, should it occur, would obviously be bearish and a sell signal. Such a development would likely follow on from a dollar upside breakout and strong advance which would be associated with another deflationary downwave developing. This scenario, which technically looks increasingly likely is discussed in the Gold Market update, which includes an analysis of the latest dollar charts.

By Clive Maund
CliveMaund.com

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© 2009 Clive Maund - The above represents the opinion and analysis of Mr. Maund, based on data available to him, at the time of writing. Mr. Maunds opinions are his own, and are not a recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. No responsibility can be accepted for losses that may result as a consequence of trading on the basis of this analysis.

Mr. Maund is an independent analyst who receives no compensation of any kind from any groups, individuals or corporations mentioned in his reports. As trading and investing in any financial markets may involve serious risk of loss, Mr. Maund recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction and do your own due diligence and research when making any kind of a transaction with financial ramifications.

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