Looking at figure 1, which is a daily chart of the S&P500, we note that the amount of assets in the Rydex leveraged and bearish funds are now greater than the assets in the leveraged and bullish.

Figure 1. Rydex Leveraged and Bullish (green) v. Leveraged and Bearish (red)/ daily

Despite the short term over bought conditions and the recent 5 day lift in the equity markets on diminishing volume, the markets continue to chug higher. As has occurred since March, 2009, bearish positions have been losing positions. It doesn't pay to "fight the tape".

By Guy Lerner

http://thetechnicaltakedotcom.blogspot.com/

Guy M. Lerner, MD is the founder of ARL Advisers, LLC and managing partner of ARL Investment Partners, L.P. Dr. Lerner utilizes a research driven approach to determine those factors which lead to sustainable moves in the markets. He has developed many proprietary tools and trading models in his quest to outperform. Over the past four years, Lerner has shared his innovative approach with the readers of RealMoney.com and TheStreet.com as a featured columnist. He has been a regular guest on the Money Man Radio Show, DEX-TV, routinely published in the some of the most widely-read financial publications and has been a marquee speaker at financial seminars around the world.

© 2009 Copyright Guy Lerner - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

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