Most Popular
1. It’s a New Macro, the Gold Market Knows It, But Dead Men Walking Do Not (yet)- Gary_Tanashian
2.Stock Market Presidential Election Cycle Seasonal Trend Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin S&P Pattern - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
4.U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - Raymond_Matison
5. How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - Nadeem_Walayat
9.It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - Stephen_McBride
10.Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold and Silver Markets Brief - 18th Feb 25
Harnessing Market Insights to Drive Financial Success - 18th Feb 25
Stock Market Bubble 2025 - 11th Feb 25
Fed Interest Rate Cut Probability - 11th Feb 25
Global Liquidity Prepares to Fire Bull Market Booster Rockets - 11th Feb 25
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: A Long-Term Bear Market Is Simply Impossible Today - 11th Feb 25
A Stock Market Chart That’s Out of This World - 11th Feb 25
These Are The Banks The Fed Believes Will Fail - 11th Feb 25
S&P 500: Dangerous Fragility Near Record High - 11th Feb 25
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto Markets Get High on Donald Trump Pump - 10th Feb 25
Bitcoin Break Out, MSTR Rocket to the Moon! AI Tech Stocks Earnings Season - 10th Feb 25
Liquidity and Inflation - 10th Feb 25
Gold Stocks Valuation Anomaly - 10th Feb 25
Stocks, Bitcoin and Crypto's Under President Donald Pump - 8th Feb 25
Transition to a New Global Monetary System - 8th Feb 25
Betting On Outliers: Yuri Milner and the Art of the Power Law - 8th Feb 25
President Black Swan Slithers into the Year of the Snake, Chaos Rules! - 2nd Feb 25
Trump's Squid Game America, a Year of Black Swans and Bull Market Pumps - 24th Jan 25
Japan Interest Rate Hike - Black Swan Panic Event Incoming? - 23rd Jan 25
It's Five Nights at Freddy's Again! - 12th Jan 25
Squid Game Stock Market 2025 - 5th Jan 25

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Why Your Company Pension is in Danger!

Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement Apr 20, 2009 - 10:49 AM GMT

By: MoneyWeek

Personal_Finance

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCompany pensions are in big trouble.
UK company pension funds are now in the red to the tune of over £240bn - the biggest shortfall ever recorded. And here's the irony. It's partly due to QE – quantitative easing, the Bank of England's cash printing press, which is supposed to be bailing Britain out.


And there are even bigger pension problems looming. With the economy going downhill fast, more firms will go bust and the company fund deficit will just keep climbing.

OK, there's a back-up plan - the Pension Protection Fund (PPF). But will the PPF cope with the growing demands on it? And should you now transfer out of your company's final salary scheme?

QE hasn't helped pension funds at all, despite being the Bank of England's £150bn money-minting method for boosting the economy.

Here's why not. When the Bank began adding liquidity to the system by buying UK government bonds - gilts - it forced up prices, which in turn slashed yields to the lowest levels ever recorded. But rather than support big gilt-holding pension funds, it's done the opposite. Those funds now get less from their fixed-income assets than before, which means they'll need more money to meet their future liabilities.

More pension problems are looming

Mind you, QE isn't the only pension fund problem. Big share price falls have been adding to the shortfall by knocking large chunks out of the assets of company pension schemes. And while some share prices may recover, Deloitte's consultants warn that rising deficits could already require many employers to pony up higher pension contributions, which some cash-strapped companies may not be able to afford. No wonder 80% of schemes have closed their doors to new members.

But there's an even bigger problem looming. With the economy on a slippery downhill slope, more and more businesses will bite the dust. As Mehernosh Engineer at BNP Paribas puts it: "We expect a combination of further weakening in the economy leading to sharp profit declines, large and looming refinancing risk, and a further decrease in risk and bank lending appetite to lead to higher stress and defaults". We've also discussed the dangers that many industries face in last Thursday's Money Morning: Dividend payments are diving: what can you do?

In other words, the business damage-to-date will look like a minor hiccough compared with what's in store. And this will further widen the total company pension fund deficit as 'underfunding' increases, i.e. the kitty will prove well short of what's needed to pay all the claims.

The Pension Protection Fund may not protect you

There is, of course, a backstop - the PPF, which is backed by levies on member pension funds. If companies go bust when their schemes are underfunded, the PPF pays out 90% of the pension you would have received, up to £28,000 a year.

But the PPF already has its hands more than full. Its losses have been stacking up, and there's a growing risk this pension lifeboat could itself be swamped, says the Guardian's Simon Bowers and Philip Inman. The government's under pressure to guarantee it, though with the public purse being stretched every which way but loose, there's not enough spare cash. "Rhetoric about guarantees has conspicuously disappeared", says Watson Wyatt's David Robbins, "with more ministerial speeches saying only that the PPF 'provides a safety net'."

In short, the PPF could be an accident waiting to happen. And rising worries about so many funds mean that it may be time to think the unthinkable. Such as transferring out of your company final salary scheme into a personal pension, known as a DC – defined contribution – plan, where you'd have much more control over your own money.

This could be a good time to go it alone

One reason this could be a good time to 'go it alone' is that some firms are now offering their employees sweeteners to ditch their company pensions, says the Sunday Times' Jennifer Hill.

And here's the rub. By forcing gilt yields down so low, QE is now opening up an unprecedented window of opportunity. Because for exactly the same reason that it's made life harder for your employer's scheme, i.e. with more money being needed to pay for your eventual pension, QE has pushed up the transfer values you'd now receive. These soared by as much as a staggering 31% in March alone, says Hill, quoting First Actuarial data.

Clearly, while transferring depends on the solvency of your employers' scheme, there are risks. The decision is final, i.e. you can't reverse it. You'd want a new personal pension to match up to what you should get by staying put. It also depends on individual circumstances, so you should consult a financial adviser before taking the plunge. And check out the useful Pensions Advisory Service site - an independent adviser backed by the Department for Work & Pensions.

With many company schemes, and the PPF, looking ever dodgier, it could be well worth considering...

By David Stevenson for Money Morning, the free daily investment email from MoneyWeek magazine.

© 2009 Copyright Money Week - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Money Week Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in