Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, August 07, 2017
Canadian Dollar Bullish Trend Reversal Triggered / Currencies / Canadian $
Last week the USD/CAD currency pair triggered a bullish trend reversal as it rose above the prior week’s high and closed above it on a weekly basis. That’s the first time in 13 weeks that the pair closed above the prior week’s high. At the same time the 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) turned up from its most oversold position since October 2007 and crossed above the 30 line. Further, a double bottom breakout was triggered on the 4-hour chart (see below). This bullish price behavior follows support hit two weeks ago at 1.2412. That’s within the area of support from early-May 2016.
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Monday, August 07, 2017
BOOM! Bitcoin Rockets To New All-Time High As Cryptocurrencies Surge Higher! / Currencies / Bitcoin
All eyes were on bitcoin on August 1st, as it underwent the biggest change it had undergone since its inception in 2009.
After years of debate, the issue of scalability resulted in a fracturing of bitcoin onto two separate paths, now called Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash.
The usual cast of characters came out to warn that this was the death of bitcoin. And, as it always seems to do, bitcoin pushed on unscathed.
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Sunday, August 06, 2017
BitCoin (GBTC) Cycle Update : Beware the Gap / Currencies / Bitcoin
BitCoin trades 24/7 and is surging this weekend into an ATH as shown on my first chart. GBTC made a new Trading Cycle high on day 14 Friday and may well gap up on Monday morning on day 15 if BitCoin is able to sustain its trend into next week. Note that my GBTC trade was up $1,718 at the close on Friday. Sure wish I had bought more but I do feel good at my entry point after closer analysis spotted the recent low as a 5-6 month Intermediate Cycle Low (ICL).
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Friday, August 04, 2017
NZDUSD Broke Above 0.7484 Resistance / Currencies / Forex Trading
After breaking above the resistance of the September 2016 high of 0.7484 high, NZDUSD pulled back from 0.7557, suggesting that a short term top had been formed on the daily chart.
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Thursday, August 03, 2017
Ethereum vs. Tangibleum: Why Cryptocurrencies Can Never Replace Physical Gold / Currencies / BlockChain
Shannara Johnson : On June 11, 2017, Bitcoin reached its all-time high of $3,025.47… followed by a 27.7% plunge only four days later.
By July 12, it had lost a total of $12 billion off its value within a month.
Ethereum, another popular cryptocurrency, increased its market share from a mere 5% at the beginning of the year to a breathtaking 30% in June, only to plummet 65% from its record-high by mid-July.
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Thursday, August 03, 2017
EURUSD Broke Above Neckline Resistance / Currencies / Euro
EURUSD broke above a major trend line from the August 2015 high of 1.1713 to the May 2016 high of 1.1616 at 1.1445 on the weekly chart, and extended its bullish movement to as high as 1.1908, indicating that a double bottom pattern had been formed.
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Thursday, August 03, 2017
US Dollar Testing Long Term Support / Currencies / US Dollar
Mike Golembesky : The U.S. Dollar has continued to fall hitting a low of 92.72 on Monday, July 31st. The U.S. Dollar also broke through shorter term support levels and is now closing in on long term support that could very well define the longer term trend over the next several years.
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Wednesday, August 02, 2017
USDCAD Broke Below 1.2460 Support / Currencies / Canadian $
USDCAD recently broke below an important support level at the May 2016 low of 1.2460 and reached as low as 1.2413, confirming that the long term downtrend from the January 2016 high of 1.4689 had resumed.
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Wednesday, August 02, 2017
Bitcoin Hits New Combined All-Time High Above $3,000 After Bitcoin Fork / Currencies / Bitcoin
Many people considered today to be the most important day for bitcoin since its creation in 2009.
It was the first serious fork of the bitcoin chain into two different coins. Many people, including ourselves, were preparing for major volatility. And some people, like Mike Adams, said it was the death of bitcoin.
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Wednesday, August 02, 2017
GBP/USD - Will Currency Bulls Break above Long-term Resistances? / Currencies / Forex Trading
Although GBP/USD moved higher once again earlier today, currency bulls approached two very important resistances on their way to higher levels. Will they be strong enough to push the exchange rate above them?
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Wednesday, August 02, 2017
Bitcoin in Trading Range / Currencies / Bitcoin
The BTC-e debacle continues with the U.S. government seizing the exchange’s website. Now, BTC-e has its data center seized by the FBI. On CoinDesk, we read:
(…) in a statement on the Bitcoin Talk forum (that was tweeted out via its official account), representatives for the exchange issued new comments, including a pledge to return users' funds.
Tuesday, August 01, 2017
GBPUSD Broke Above Channel Resistance / Currencies / British Pound
GBPUSD broke above the descending price channel at 1.3100 on its weekly chart, indicating that lengthier correction for the long term downtrend from the July 2014 high of 1.7190 is needed.
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Tuesday, August 01, 2017
When Fiat Currencies Die - Preparing to Barter and Trade Is NOT a Loony Idea / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Let’s start with this fact; fiat (paper) currencies die – often spectacularly. That is why precious metals may someday be needed for barter and trade. Anyone who thinks it is silly to worry about such a thing is putting blind faith in Federal Reserve Notes.
The U.S. dollar is having a great run, no question. It will soon be 50 years since Nixon closed the gold window, thereby converting the dollar to a purely fiat currency. Five decades is longer than most purely fiat currencies survive.
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Saturday, July 29, 2017
Bitcoin Price Soars As Everyone Wants a Bitcoin Cash Lottery Ticket on August 1st / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin has been soaring in recent days and it is likely due to the fact that there will be a bitcoin hard fork on August 1st.
Many speculated that a fork would cause the price of bitcoin to drop. But that is far from the case. And it makes sense that the price is actually increasing on this news because if you hold bitcoin properly (more on that soon) you will end up with both Bitcoin (BTC) and Bitcoin Cash (BCC)... and we know from experience with the Ethereum fork into Ethereum and Ethereum Classic, that the two combined can be worth much more than just the one.
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Saturday, July 29, 2017
Are Cryptocurrencies for Real? / Currencies / BlockChain
Bitcoin. Blockchain. Ethereum. Veritaseum. Litecoin. Ripple. ICOs.
It seems like nowadays you can’t listen to or read the news without hearing something about cryptocurrencies. And it looks like investors are going crazy over it.
Ripple has gained 3,000% this year.
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Friday, July 28, 2017
Will USD/CAD Drop Further? / Currencies / Forex Trading
Yesterday, the greenback extended losses against the Canadian dollar, which resulted in a drop below the May 2016 low. Does it mean that the way to lower levels is open?
EUR/USD
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Thursday, July 27, 2017
US Dollar - Make Way For Uncle Buck / Currencies / US Dollar
It has been a contrarian trade that has not yet worked out; by that I mean my short position on the Euro and preparation for a firming US dollar. Yesterday the market cheered the supposedly dovish Fed, and USD got smeared again as the world’s counter party paper boosted assets far and wide… on nothing but perceptions and a hell of a lot of momentum and gaming on FOMC day.
USD opened weak again today but so far at least, is sporting a Hammer which, if it stays in play, would be a bullish reversal candle.
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Thursday, July 27, 2017
The Fed May Influence the Bounce in USD / Currencies / US Dollar
USD futures remain flat at this time. However, it may have reached its Head & Shoulders target and Master Cycle low today. The Fed action may have some influence on the bounce, since it is ready to do so.
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Wednesday, July 26, 2017
Money Is Money, Wherever It Comes From / Currencies / Fiat Currency
One of the crucial things to understand about today’s world is that money is fungible. Whether it’s created in Japan, Europe, China or the US, once it’s tossed by a central bank into one or another part of the global economy, it eventually finds its way to a common pool of liquidity.
So the modest US tightening of the past year (100 basis point increase in the Fed Funds rate, slight decrease in Fed balance sheet) has to be seen in a global context. And that context is still insanely easy. Here, for instance, is China’s “social financing” – their term for total new debt:
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Wednesday, July 26, 2017
Bitcoin Price Close to All-time High / Currencies / Bitcoin
The recent surge in Bitcoin is associated with the technical details of the currency and an agreement which avoids a fork for the time being. In an article on Business Insider, we read:
Bitcoin has recovered somewhat from the drop in value seen last Sunday, with the price of the cryptocurrency reaching $2,701 at the time of this writing.
The stabilization seems to be the result of Bitcoin miners reaching an agreement on the enactment of the Bitcoin Improvement Proposal.
This agreement means the avoidance of a user-activated softfork (UASF), the possibility of which caused significant unease among investors.