Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, May 27, 2011
Equities And Treasuries Forecasting Past Recessions / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Tony_Pallotta
One thing the 2007 recession taught us is how horrible the equity market was at forecasting economic contraction. The S&P 500 peaked in October 2007, just two months before the recession officially began. By contrast the 2001 recession saw the S&P 500 peak nine months earlier.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2009
How to Profit as Consumers Tighten Their Purse Strings / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: MoneyWeek
If you're expecting a brief round of belt-tightening before things return to normal, you'll be disappointed. It's time to get defensive, says David Stevenson.
A seismic shift is starting, both in Britain and America, in the way that people spend – or save – their cash. And it could flag the biggest change in consumer behaviour for 50 years.
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Saturday, August 01, 2009
The Recession is Over, What to Do Now / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Q1_Publishing
One of the most watched indicators just flashed the “sell” signal…
What are you going to do?
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Friday, July 31, 2009
Urgent Financial and Economic Crisis Investment Strategy Update / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_and_Markets
Hello — this is Martin Weiss with an important strategy update.
It’s only fair to acknowledge that the economic depression I foresaw in my book and in my reports is unfolding more slowly than I had expected.
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Saturday, June 20, 2009
Stocks Bull Market Bullish Bias, "This Time its Different" / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Mauldin
This Time It's Different*
Peter Bernstein, R.I.P.
Welcome to the New Normal
The Three Amigos
Credit Spreads - Bullish or Bearish?
ISM - Is Less Bad That Good?
Contain Your Enthusiasm
I have often written that the four most dangerous words in the investment world are "This Time It's Different." If memory serves me, I have written several e-letters disparaging various personages who have uttered those very words, and gone one to confirm later that it wasn't different. It almost never is.
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Saturday, May 16, 2009
The Impact of Economic Data Revisions at Stock Market Junctures / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Mauldin
Can I Have Some More of that Data, Please?
The Fault, Dear Brutus, is Not in Our Stars
Faith-Based Economics
Is Unemployment a Lagging or a Leading Indicator?
An Unsustainable Trend in Debt
Some Thoughts on the Health Care Problem
Why does government data need to be revised so often? Is it conspiracy, as some claim, or is it methodology? And if it is methodology that leads to faulty data, then why not change the methodology? Is unemployment a lagging indicator, as conventional wisdom suggests? We look again at the underlying assumptions to suggest that things are not always the same. And finally, we look at unsustainable trends, fiscal deficits, and health care -- there is a connection.
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Thursday, April 23, 2009
Strategic Economic, Financial Markets and Geopolitical Forecasts for 2nd Quarter 2009 / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Mauldin
Dear Friends: I've been in this business a long time. Some days it feels like a very long time. But never in all the years that I've been in the financial markets have I felt like business per se has less impact on my investment decisions. Let me explain.
GM shares have gone from being a claim on earnings from car sales to being a call option on whether the US government will extend another lifeline. Banks' capital structures have gone from being the province of Boards of Directors and CFOs to the "expertise" of Congressional committees and appointed regulators. Used to be when I thought about Financial Centers New York and London came to mind. Instead now I have to think about Washington and Brussels.
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Tuesday, March 10, 2009
America's Second Great Depression and Great Stocks Bear Market Have Arrived / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_and_Markets
Emergency Briefing Transcript - America's Second Great Depression has arrived; and a great bear market is here. I prayed this day would never come as often as I predicted it. But now that it's here, I have a new prayer: Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 02, 2009
Stock Markets Log Worst January Ever! / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
US markets finished the week very much on the back foot. Disappointing earnings from P&G, Allstate & Caterpillar trailed analysts estimates while the entrails of the GDP report revealed that consumer spending was down a massive 9% . No wonder exports from Germany, China and Japan are falling off a cliff. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 30, 2009
Economic & Financial Markets Forecast 2009: Collapsing Global Financial System Ponzi Scheme / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Ty_Andros
As economic activity and PONZI finance fall off the face of the earth, we enter the stretch run of the CON game known as the Bond and FIAT currency markets. Although both are headed for their ultimate demise, the path will be quite different. In 2009, these challenges will be headed your way. Prepare properly and thrive, or fail to do so and fall to your demise. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 30, 2009
U.S. Economy Contracts 3.8% as Wallstreet Rewards Failure with Bailout Cash / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The U.S. economy shrank the most in the fourth quarter since 1982 as consumer spending recorded the worst slide in the postwar era, a trajectory that's likely to continue in coming months.
The 3.8 percent annual pace of contraction was less than forecast, with a buildup of unsold goods cushioning the blow. Excluding inventories, the decline was 5.1 percent, the Commerce Department said today in Washington. A survey of purchasing managers also indicated today that business in January was the weakest in almost 27 years.
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Friday, January 30, 2009
Cassandra John Paulson Hedge Fund Manager Makes Billions from the Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Oxbury_Research
As expected, the Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate near 0% and claimed it stands ready to take additional steps such as purchasing longer-term Treasury bonds if such a move will help get credit flowing once again.
It seems their logic is that lowering the yield on government bonds will spur other lenders to lower their own yields. Hmmm, isn't the mantra of cheaper money everywhere sounding familiar? Why, of course it is.
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Sunday, January 25, 2009
Investor Flight to Safety as Global Recession Fears Intensify / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Fears about the intensity of the global recession and renewed skepticism regarding the beleaguered financial sector fueled a flight to safety during the past holiday-shortened trading week. President Obama's inauguration offered only a brief respite from the dreadful economic and earnings data and pounding of the stock markets. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 07, 2008
Manipulated Stock Market Discounting a Recovery? / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mick_Phoenix
Welcome to the Weekly Report. This week some fool decided the US had been in recession for a year. I hope they don't get paid too much. What I find amusing is that straight away all sorts of bull side writers and shills started talking about the US stock market being a discounting system, looking 6 months ahead, look for signs of recovery etc blah. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 05, 2008
US Jobs Report To Set Market Tone / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: PaddyPowerTrader
Yesterday was another sloppy day for stocks which sagged under the weight of earnings misses and dismal 2009 guidance (Nokia, Merck), big layoff announcements (AT&T, DuPont), weak chain stores sales numbers and ever widening credit spreads for corporates. This sell off comes despite another supportive plunge in the price of crude oil and more eye catching rate cuts from central banks in New Zealand, Indonesia, Sweden, UK and the Eurozone. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 23, 2008
Stocks Soar as Obama Assembles Recession War Council / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mick_Phoenix
Welcome to the Weekly Report. This week we look at new appointments, timings and why Obama is willing to start work early.
An hour before the stock markets closed on Friday we started to get some "breaking news" scrolling across the screens of the financial TV channels, pointing to new appointments in the Obama administration-in-waiting.
Friday, November 21, 2008
Economic Consequences of De-leveraging for Investors / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Hans_Wagner
The explosion of credit taken on by consumers and some businesses is the major cause of the current economic problems faced by the U.S. Over the last 20 years consumer debt has risen to $2.6 trillion. In the past when the economy faltered, the consumer has been able to generate a robust recovery. Is this time different? Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 16, 2008
Extreme Stock Market Volatility as Corporate America Heads Towards Bankruptcy / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
The Oxford Dictionary defines “volatility” as “liable to change rapidly and unpredictably, especially for the worse”. It's not as if investors do not know this by now, as global stock markets were again subjected to extreme fluctuations during the past week.
The red line in the chart below shows the daily percentage change in the S&P 500 Index, illustrating the severe movements stock markets have seen in recent times.
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Saturday, October 18, 2008
Economic Crisis Worsens as Consumer Confidence Hits Record Low / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Confidence among Americans fell by the most on record and single-family housing starts hit a 26- year low, posing an increasing threat to consumer spending that accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 03, 2008
Sectors Rotating into Recession as Credit Contraction Deepens / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Kurt_Kasun
Things are about to get really bad. Rotating bubbles are now becoming rotating sector recessions as the positive feedback loops, created as money and credit growth ballooned over the last 25 years, have reversed and are now becoming negative feedback loops. I expect to see those 25 years of excesses to dramatically unwind over the course of the next few years. The evaporation of paper wealth will be breathtaking. A "buy on the dips" mentality has been replaced by "sell on the rallies." Declining house values will further hinder the finance sector which will impede the real economy, causing asset prices to further plunge. The tipping point for debt creation's positive impact has been reached and we can expect economic convulsions similar to what a drug addict experiences after kicking the habit "cold turkey." Read full article... Read full article...