Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, May 17, 2022
What Should We Do If There Is No Fed Monetary Policy Pivot? / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: The_Gold_Report
While investors may have been betting on a Fed pivot, expert Michael Ballanger analyzes where we may find ourselves if they don't.
As a young and very brash “stock salesman” in the early 1980s (Note: Back then, they did not call us “wealth managers” or “investment professionals” or “advisors.”), I discovered a newsletter writer that was the best storyteller I have ever read, and his name was Richard Russell. The author and founder of the 1958 “Dow Theory Letters,” he rose to fame after calling the bottom of the horrendous 1973-1974 bear market in December of the terminal year resulting in a bombardment of catcalls and peer-pressure ridicule. Nobody—and I mean NOBODY—expected that stock prices were going to do anything but continue to crater and that was what made him such a beast.
As we do our collective best to weather this storm of selling pressure in what started as tech stocks but which has now migrated to literally everything, I am reminded of one of the more poignant “Russell-isms.” He said, “In a bear market, he who loses the least, wins.”
“My losses have taught me that I must not begin to advance until I am sure I shall not have to retreat.” — Edwin Lefevre
That phrase is the major portion of the reason that I advised subscribers on January 7th of this year, with the S&P 500 clipping above 4,800, that capital preservation was our primary focus and that volatility would dominate the investment landscape in 2022.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 06, 2020
Bananas for All! Keep Dancing… FOMC / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Gary_Tanashian
Keep Dancing (while the music plays)
FOMC came, FOMC delivered what we knew they would, FOMC left and the machines drove the markets down and up for a couple days, leaving the situation largely as it had been. NDX near its highs, SPX holding the support of its EMA 20 and DJIA thus far successfully testing its moving average convergence (SMA 50 & 200).
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 12, 2019
The Fed Created an Economy of Zombies and Unicorns / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: John_Mauldin
Central bankers have a well-worn playbook for handling recessions.
Cut interest rates, increase liquidity, and otherwise shove capital into the private sector. This helps businesses hire more workers and raise wages. Then gradually remove all the stimulus as growth recovers.
This playbook truly fell apart in 2008. The system had so much debt that adding yet more of it didn’t have the desired effect.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 16, 2018
Federal Reserve And The Markets / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Kelsey_Williams
Analysis and opinions of the financial markets vary depending on who is doing the analyzing. The most critical element that affects the song is the singer.
There is nothing wrong with that. But we should be aware that our own prejudice clouds our perspective. However, there is more that is not so obvious. With that in mind, lets take a look at things.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 13, 2017
2 Charts That Might Define the Fed’s Jerome Powell Era / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: F_F_Wiley
In September, we proposed a theory of the Fed and suggested that the FOMC will soon worry mostly about financial imbalances without much concern for recession risks. We reached that conclusion by simply weighing the reputational pitfalls faced by the economists on the committee, but now we’ll add more meat to our argument, using financial flows data released last week. We’ve created two charts, beginning with a look at cumulative, inflation-adjusted asset gains during the last seven business cycles:
Thursday, October 08, 2015
FOMC Minutes Fireworks / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has risen back to the 50-da Moving Average for the 5th time. I don’t like this action, but it seems that the market is waiting for the release of the FOMC Minutes at 2:00 pm.
Reuters reports, “U.S. stocks fell on Thursday as investors await the minutes of the Federal Reserve's September meeting to get an insight into the central bank's decision to keep interest rates steady.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 22, 2015
FED Guidance Like Flying in Bermuda Triangle / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week, I thought from what I was reading on my volume indicators, (showing that money was leaving the S&P 500) that the market would fall on the FOMC news Wednesday. WRONG! Here I am flying in the Bermuda Triangle!
A few weeks ago, I related how last year was so difficult trading the market for me. The normal 10,20,30, 40 week cycle lows are not acting like they used to. I had surmised that the normal 20 week (100 trading day 15-16%) low would not be the dominant low, but that it would likely come in April instead. March 11 proved to be the 100 trading day low and we fell less than 4% top to bottom! But, because of volume indicators like OBV, Money Flow and Chaiken Money Flow that are showing net money outflows (I'll elaborate on these more next week), I thought this time might be different. WRONG!
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 24, 2015
Bird Doo; Yellen Goes to Congress / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Gary_Tanashian
The best one by far is the un-photoshopped Loretta Mester in all her natural hawkish glory. Note the piercing eyes, the aerodynamic features and the focused intensity. Also I must say, at 56 she has a youthful dynamism about her. If she were Fed chief and told me to jump I’d ask ‘how high?’… or if she told me to print I’d ask ‘how much?’
Monday, December 22, 2014
Janet Yellen's Christmas Gift to Wall Street / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Dr_Ron_Paul
Last week we learned that the key to a strong economy is not increased production, lower unemployment, or a sound monetary unit. Rather, economic prosperity depends on the type of language used by the central bank in its monetary policy statements. All it took was one word in the Federal Reserve Bank's press release -- that the Fed would be "patient" in raising interest rates to normal levels -- and stock markets went wild. The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average had their best gains in years, with the Dow gaining nearly 800 points from Wednesday to Friday and the S&P gaining almost 100 points to close within a few points of its all-time high.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 10, 2014
Run Away from the Fed Economic Tsunami / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Dennis_Miller
This warning comes from “Big Al” Greenspan, age 88. He’s been in the news a lot lately, speaking with Gillian Tett of the Financial Times at the Council on Foreign Relations and at the New Orleans Investment Conference. After reading several reports of both events, I spoke with Casey Research colleagues who’d attended the conference and asked, “Did Big Al really say this, this, and this?”
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 14, 2014
How the Government and the Fed are Looting Your Accumulated Wealth / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: EWI
Greetings,
We have just obtained an engaging -- and perhaps even an enraging -- new report that chronicles 200 years of ineptitude, 100 years of theft and failure, and 50 years of economic regression by the Fed and the U.S. government -- committed against YOU.
The government and the quasi-governmental bank, the U.S. Federal Reserve, do not want you to read this report we are about to share with you, because it uncovers the devastating impact they have had on the nation's money (YOUR money), as well as the U.S. economy and financial markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 13, 2014
Prechter Slams the Fed, Pulls Back Curtain on 200 Years of Government Ineptitude / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: EWI
Recently, Barron's included an article from Robert
Prechter, founder of Elliott Wave International (EWI), the
world's largest financial forecasting firm. It was adapted
from a recent issue of Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist,
the investment letter the famed market forecaster has published
every month since 1979.
Part monetary history lesson, part big-picture market forecast, the full report -- Barron's published only part of it -- uncovers "200 Years of Ineptitude, 100 Years of Theft and Failure, and 50 Years of Economic Regression."
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 25, 2014
Bernanke’s Legacy - Good for Bankers, Bad for Anyone Who Wants to Retire / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Don_Miller
"Mr. Bernanke, on the way out, don't let the door hit ya, where the good Lord split ya!" That's what I've imagined my former coworker Charley—a brilliant Alabamian who was proud to be called a redneck—might have said as the former Fed chairman stepped down.
In case you missed it, here's Bernanke's highlight reel:
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 25, 2014
How to Profit from the Yellen Fed / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Axel_Merk
Janet Yellen might have the most powerful job in the world, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) she now chairs controls what may be the world’s most powerful printing press. We take a closer look at what her reign might mean for investors’ portfolios.
Friday, January 17, 2014
Happy 100th U.S. Fed Birthday / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: EWI
On December 23, the U.S. Federal Reserve celebrated its 100th birthday. When legislation creating its existence was signed on December 23, 1913 (in a sneaky move during a holiday week), Congress granted the Fed a monopoly on creating dollars backed by debt.
The ongoing QE program is an unprecedented use of that power. This chart of the Fed's stated capital of $55 billion compared to its total assets of $4 trillion shows the extent to which the Fed is the focal point of dollar creation and therefore credit creation.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 28, 2013
The Creature from Jekyll Island Fed Anniversary Exposé Benefits / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Secret negotiations established a banking cartel. It’s grown ever stronger through the years.” It operates “independently.”
“Rather than preventing financial crises, it precipitates new ones.”
“We know Fed policy continues to reap profits for Wall Street while impoverishing Main Street.”
“One hundred years is long enough. End the Fed.”
– Ron Paul
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 01, 2013
Ben Bernanke Financial Crisis Hero? / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: John_Mauldin
The true measure of a career is to be able to be content, even proud, that you succeeded through your own endeavors without leaving a trail of casualties in your wake. – Alan Greenspan
If economists could manage to get themselves thought of as humble, competent people on a level with dentists, that would be splendid. – John Maynard Keynes
And He spoke a parable to them: "Can the blind lead the blind? Will they not both fall into the ditch?" – Luke 6:39-40
Six years ago I hosted my first Thanksgiving in a Dallas high-rise, and my then-90-year-old mother came to celebrate, along with about 25 other family members and friends. We were ensconced in the 21st floor penthouse, carousing merrily, when the fire alarms went off and fire trucks began to descend on the building. There was indeed a fire, and we had to carry my poor mother down 21 flights of stairs through smoke and chaos as the firemen rushed to put out the fire. So much for the advanced fire-sprinkler system, which failed to work correctly.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 26, 2013
Janet Yellen Is Close to Making History - Market Psychology Appears Near A Major Turn / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: EWI
Janet Yellen just moved closer to her place in history when the Senate Banking Committee approved her nomination to lead the Federal Reserve. The full Senate is expected to confirm. If so, she will be the first chairwoman in the central bank's 100 year history.
Wednesday, November 20, 2013
Fed on Asset Prices and QE Tapering Next Month / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Bloomberg
St. Louis Federal Reserve president, James Bullard, sat down with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker this morning live from Bloomberg's The Year Ahead: 2014 conference in Chicago and said:
- Taper is 'on the table' for the central bank's next policy meeting and a strong jobs report would increase Dec. Taper chance.
- Says QE as effective as it's ever been and doesn't buy argument that QE has diminishing returns
- Fed seeks to push people into riskier assets
- Fed doesn't directly target asset prices
Tuesday, November 19, 2013
U.S. Debt Crisis, Evidence Fed Does Not Control Markets / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: EWI
Dear Reader
Ever heard of a wedding crasher? You know -- that distant “cousin” who shows up uninvited, hangs around the open bar all night, chugs down double-everythings and falls on his butt on the dance floor -- all before mysteriously vanishing and leaving his night of indulgence on the father of the bride’s tab.
Read full article... Read full article...