Category: Financial Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, May 13, 2011
Winning in the Hyperinflation Deflation War / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“… the U.S. dollar remains on track for an eventual complete collapse in a hyperinflation, and the roots of that hyperinflation remain imbedded in the system. The primary hedge against losing U.S. dollar purchasing power remains physical gold (and silver), with some funds outside the U.S. dollar…
Today (May 6th), stocks are soaring as we go to press, purportedly due to an upside surprise in April nonfarm payroll growth, a gain of 244,000…
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Thursday, May 12, 2011
Gold and Stock Market Sentiment Reaching Extreme Levels / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This week we are seeing fear across the board from traders and investors as they dump their long positions is stocks and commodities. Just in the past two trading sessions alone we have seen extreme overbought conditions and extreme oversold conditions which generally mean another big move is brewing…Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 11, 2011
Isn't Economics Fun, If You're an IBank / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
As Dave Fry notes in his chart on the right, we had a lovely boost yesterday as the Fed pumped $7.24Bn into the IBanks covering a solid 34% of the $20.98Bn of junk that was offered up to them - in this case bonds that were maturing 2018-2021 at toxically low rates. The idiot taxpayers in this country will never know what hit them in this scam until rates begin to fly up and these bonds that the Fed is putting us on the hook for begin to be discounted towards zero.
Wednesday, May 11, 2011
Stock and Commodity Markets Consolidation Phase Continues / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Donald_W_Dony
In the follow-up to the May newsletter, equity and commodity markets are continuing to trade in a consolidation phase after the low in mid-March. Both stocks and raw material indexes are moving in tandem and in an average 14-16 week cycle. This would suggests that the next trough should occur by late June.
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Monday, May 09, 2011
Key Levels to Watch in Stocks, Dollar, and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
If you follow the markets closely, it is easy to produce a back-of-the-envelope bull/bear analysis given the mixed bag of fundamentals and technicals. On the bullish side of the equation:
Monday, May 09, 2011
Commodities Crash Pain Eased by Dividends From Large-Cap Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
After several weeks of quiet in the markets, economy and geopolitics, last week exploded with excitement and volatility, seeing commodities tumble and large-cap stocks end strong.
It started with news that Seal Team Six had taken out Osama bin Laden in Pakistan and ended with silver crashing 26%, crude oil plunging 15%, and corn down 6.5%. Determining how these events are connected will provide historians with rich material to ponder in years to come.
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Saturday, May 07, 2011
What's Next for the Stock Market, Gold, Silver and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
The price action in precious metals and oil this past week has been breathtaking. The last time we have seen this much volatility in commodity prices was amidst the financial crisis in 2008 and the early part of 2009. Does this mean we are at the brink and risk assets are going to decline precipitously? Obviously that question cannot be answered with any certainty, but the underlying price action in the S&P 500 has been relatively strong compared to gold, silver, and oil.
Saturday, May 07, 2011
Bin Laden...Jobs....Sentiment....Weekly's...Daily's......Down Week...Commodities Crushed.... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
So much took place this week it's hard to keep up with it all. The week began with an eye sore. The weekly charts on the small caps, mid caps, Nasdaq, Dow, and S&P 500 all flashed nasty negative divergences. The daily charts were also showing negative divergences on the small and mid caps. The S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq had no negative divergences on their daily charts, which was a savior for this market. You don't want all the major indexes flashing negative divergences on both the daily and weekly charts.
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Friday, May 06, 2011
Investor Opportunity-Lifeboats for Investors on Today’s Economic Titanic / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“We are supposed to be two years into an economic recovery. Tell that to those with stagnant wages who have to fight against 10% inflation, which our government ingeniously tells us, is 1.9%. Some $900 billion or more will have been created out of thin air by the Fed and spent buying Treasury and Agency bonds, notes and bills and the $862 billion consigned to the economy in December will all have been spent…
The downgrade from AAA for US government debt is 100% surety over the next couple of years. It looks like it has been decided that European debt is to collapse first.
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Friday, May 06, 2011
Commodities Plunge Calls for Stock Market Contingency Plans / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
While we still believe the S&P 500 can hit 1,400 to 1,440 sometime in 2011, the next few trading sessions are very important for intermediate-term outlook for stocks and commodities. If you own stocks you should be concerned about the May 5 plunge in the commodity markets. Why? Commodities, especially silver and copper, have been the leaders of the current bull market in risk assets. When the leaders of a bull market become weak, it is prudent to become concerned about the entire market.
Thursday, May 05, 2011
From Bin Laden To Ben Bernanke, From War On Terror To War On Debt / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Andrew_McKillop
The notion that "war on terror" events have a large negative impact on the economy, when the terrorists are winning, and a large positive effect when they are losing is well anchored in market mythology. Gold and silver prices, and of course oil prices have been falling since May 1.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 03, 2011
What Bin Laden's Death Means for the Stock Market and Your Financial Security / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
The finding and killing of Osama bin Laden after 10 years of searching is clearly being heralded as an enormous U.S. victory.
But once you look past the news itself, the death of bin Laden brings to light some highly worrisome revelations about Pakistan. And those revelations have some potentially serious long-term implications for the Dow Jones Industrial Average - and for your money and future financial security.
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Tuesday, May 03, 2011
Major Market Turning Points, The Gallery of Crowd Behavior Returns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Doug_Wakefield
" [From an intensive two-year study], I found that market price movements are like people - they have statistically significant life expectancy profiles that can be used to measure risk exposure...Consider life insurance, which deals with the life expectancy of people instead of price moves. If you're writing life insurance policies, it's going to make a great deal of difference whether the applicant is twenty years old or eighty years old.... Similarly, in a market that is in a stage of old age; it is particularly important to be attuned to symptoms of a potential end to the current trend. To use the life insurance analogy, most people who become involved in the stock market don't know the difference between a twenty-year old and an eighty-year-old."
Tuesday, May 03, 2011
Obama Kills Osama After the Bernank Spoke, US Dollar Bubble Bursts Trending Towards USD69 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Nadeem_Walayat
What a week! A series ever more historic events accompanied by the dollar's continuing in the background meltdown.
Firstly, the Bernank spoke, spouting more central bank propaganda which as expected has been liberally lapped up by the mainstream financial press and further regurgitated at length by the BlogosFear, after all talk is cheap when compared with the increasing costs of actually doing something.
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Tuesday, May 03, 2011
Nouriel Roubini on U.S. Economy, Bond Vigilantes, and Yuen Becoming a Reserve Currency / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Bloomberg
Today on Bloomberg Television, NYU professor and economist Nouriel Roubini talked about the euro and China's currency during a panel with Bloomberg TV's Tom Keene at the Milken Institute Global Conference in Los Angeles.
Saturday, April 30, 2011
Bursting Bubbles, Waning Currency Systems and Insolvent Financial Institutions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Bob_Chapman
We keep searching Congress for leadership and all we see and hear is compromises and moneyed footsteps leading back to their controllers on Wall Street and in banking. We find few willing to stand up to the military industrial complex or the moneyed powers that control our country. Spending restraint is very difficult to find.
Saturday, April 30, 2011
Investors Be Thematic In Your Approach / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Richard_Mills
When looking for a dominant investment theme the approach I take involves looking at global or big picture conditions. I study trends, read the news, basically watch and listen to what's going on in the world. What I'm looking for is something so powerful, so dominant, it's going to be my guide to where I invest - I focus on the factors that I think will drive headlines going forward.
Friday, April 29, 2011
U.S. Dollar Investors Reality Check - How Much is that Priced in Euros? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
It’s as if 2008 never happened.
Once again the worlds investors are pumping up bubbles that will probably explode in their faces. After the popping of a real estate bubble led to the first global recession since the 1930s, world markets are frothing like shaken Champagne. Pundits claim to have spotted price increases that are unsupported by economic fundamentals in assets ranging from U.S. farmland to Israeli biotech to Australian housing to Chinese cemetery sites. Commodities have soared. Global junk-bond issuance hit a record in the first three months of the year … this is the granddaddy of them all, an almost-encompassing bubble right at the heart of monetary systems. - Peter Coy & Roben Farzad
Thursday, April 28, 2011
GDPs, Gold, Silver and double dips- June's the month! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Richard_Hartley
Undeniably there has been some GDP growth but as Ben Bernanke said yesterday at what point does Quantitative Easing stop making sense. The truth is that the payback in jobs is the monitor he is using
Thursday, April 28, 2011
U.S. Dollar, Gold and SP500 Trend Analysis Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The dollar continues to control the equities and commodities market with its inverse relationship to them. The past couple years it seems that the dollar does what it wants and the all other investments move according to their relationship with rising or falling dollar prices.
Most of you know that I follow the dollar very closely. And each morning I provide my analysis with what I feel will take place throughout the session or next 48 hours.